Future election in Quebec, Canada
44th Quebec general election Opinion polls
Leader
François Legault
Marc Tanguay (interim)
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois [a]
Party
Coalition Avenir Québec
Liberal
Québec solidaire
Leader since
November 4, 2011
November 10, 2022[b]
May 21, 2017
Leader's seat
L'Assomption
LaFontaine
Gouin
Last election
90 seats, 40.98%
21 seats, 14.37%
11 seats, 15.43%
Current seats
88
19
12
Seats needed
44
51
Leader
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
Éric Duhaime
Party
Parti Québécois
Conservative
Leader since
October 9, 2020
April 17, 2021
Leader's seat
Camille-Laurin
None
Last election
3 seats, 14.61%
0 seats, 12.91%
Current seats
4
0
Seats needed
59
63
The 44th Quebec general election is scheduled to take place on or before October 5, 2026, to elect the members of the National Assembly of Quebec . Under the province's fixed election date law , passed in 2013, "the general election following the end of a Legislature shall be held on the first Monday of October of the fourth calendar year following the year that includes the last day of the previous Legislature",[3] setting the date for October 5, 2026. However, the act does not fetter the discretion of the Lieutenant Governor of Quebec to dissolve the legislature before that time, in accordance with the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system .
Background [ edit ]
In the 2022 general election , the Coalition Avenir Québec increased its parliamentary majority, winning 90 seats. The Liberals, despite finishing fourth in the popular vote behind Québec solidaire and the Parti Québécois , remained the official opposition winning 21 seats.[4] The Parti Québecois lost most of its remaining seats but managed to elect its previously seatless leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon to a seat.[5] The Conservatives increased their share of the vote to 13%; however, as their support was more spread out throughout Quebec, they did not gain any seats.[6]
Timeline [ edit ]
Opinion polls [ edit ]
Opinion Polling since 2022 election
Polling aggregators
Polling aggregator
Date updated
Source
CAQ
QS
PQ
PLQ
PCQ
Other[c]
Lead
338Canada
June 18, 2024
[1]
[d]
23.8
13.8
32.0
17.0
11.2
2.2
8.2
Polling Canada
June 13, 2024
[2]
—
23.3
15.1
32.6
16.1
10.6
2.3
9.3
2022 election
October 3, 2022
41.0
15.4
14.6
14.4
12.9
1.7
25.6
Polling organisation
Last date of polling
Source
Sample size
CAQ
QS
PQ
PLQ
PCQ
Other
Lead
Leger
July 2, 2024
HTML
1,155
±3.00%
20.6
15.4
34.1
17.3
9.6
3.1
13.5
Pallas Data[e]
June 22, 2024
PDF
1,445
±2.6%
21.7
13.2
35.0
16.7
12.2
1.2
13.3
Pallas Data
June 8, 2024
PDF
1,339
±2.7%
21.5
15.9
33.1
17.1
10.6
1.8
11.6
Leger
June 3, 2024
PDF
1,015
±3.08%
25
14
32
15
10
3
7
Leger
May 13, 2024
PDF
1,031
±3.05%
22
12
32
17
12
4
10
Leger
April 21, 2024
PDF
1,026
±3.06%
24
14
34
15
10
3
10
Pallas Data
April 21, 2024
PDF
1,256
±2.8%
19.5
12.9
32.9
22.8
10.7
1.2
10.1
Leger
March 18, 2024
PDF
1,033
±3.05%
22
18
34
14
10
2
12
Pallas Data
February 24, 2024
PDF
1,122
±2.9%
23.1
16.5
31.4
14.5
12.8
1.7
8.3
Leger
February 5, 2024
PDF
1,032
±3.05%
25
16
32
15
11
1
7
Pallas Data
January 24, 2024
PDF
1,175
±2.9%
21.1
17.0
31.7
15.4
11.5
3.2
10.6
Leger
December 4, 2023
PDF
1,040
±3.04%
25
17
31
14
11
2
6
Pallas Data
November 18, 2023
PDF
1,178
±2.86%
24.1
16.1
30.4
15.5
11.3
2.7
6.3
Leger
October 30, 2023
PDF
1,026
±3.06%
30
15
26
15
12
3
4
PQ wins the by-election in Jean-Talon on October 2, 2023.
Pallas Data
September 27, 2023
PDF
1,095
±3.0%
34.5
15.4
19.0
14.7
14.6
1.9
15.5
Leger
September 25, 2023
PDF
1,028
±3.06%
34
17
22
14
12
1
12
Leger
August 21, 2023
PDF
1,036
±3.0%
37
15
22
12
11
3
15
Leger
June 12, 2023
PDF
1,042
±3.0%
37
16
23
13
9
2
14
Angus Reid
June 3, 2023
PDF
506
—
33
17
22
13
12
3[f]
11
Leger
May 1, 2023
PDF
1,201
±3.0%
36
16
22
14
10
2
14
QS wins the by-election in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne on March 13, 2023.
Leger
February 26, 2023
PDF
1,044
±3.0%
40
17
18
14
9
2
22
Leger
December 10, 2022
PDF
1,002
±3.1%
41
14
18
14
10
3
23
Leger
November 6, 2022
PDF
1,028
±3.1%
36
19
18
14
11
3
17
2022 election
October 3, 2022
4,169,137
41.0
15.4
14.6
14.4
12.9
1.7
25.6
References [ edit ]
^ "Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois to take leadership role in Québec Solidaire as Manon Massé steps back" . CBC News . May 16, 2021. Archived from the original on April 21, 2022. Retrieved May 13, 2022 .
^ "Party details – Québec solidaire" . Élections Québec. July 28, 2021. Retrieved November 28, 2023 .
^ An Act to amend the Election Act for the purpose of establishing fixed-date elections , L.Q. 2013, c. 13, s. 3
^ "Le PLQ formera l'opposition officielle" . TVA Nouvelles (in French). October 3, 2022. Retrieved October 4, 2022 .
^ Lachance, Nicolas (October 3, 2022). "PSPP fait son entrée à l'Assemblée nationale" . TVA Nouvelles (in French). Retrieved October 4, 2022 .
^ Serebrin, Jacob (October 4, 2022). "Quebec opposition parties call for electoral reform after vote, seat results" . The Globe and Mail . Retrieved October 4, 2022 .
^ "Marie-Claude Nichols expelled from Que. Liberal caucus, will sit as independent" . Montreal . October 27, 2022. Retrieved October 28, 2022 .
^ a b Bruemmer, René (November 7, 2022). "Yielding to critics, Anglade quits as Quebec Liberal leader and MNA" . Montreal Gazette . Retrieved November 7, 2022 .
^ "Quebec Liberal Party names Marc Tanguay as interim leader" . CBC News . November 10, 2022. Retrieved December 6, 2022 .
^ Joe Lofaro (March 7, 2023). "MNA Marie-Louise Tardif temporarily withdraws from CAQ caucus amid police investigation" . CTV News . Retrieved October 22, 2023 .
^ "Québec Solidaire wins Montreal's Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne byelection" . CBC News . March 10, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023 .
^ QMI Agency (March 28, 2023). "Aucune accusation contre la députée: Marie-Louise Tardif réintègre le caucus de la CAQ" . Le Journal de Québec (in French). Retrieved October 22, 2023 .
^ "Manon Massé quitte son rôle de co-porte-parole" . La Presse (in French). May 16, 2023. Retrieved August 7, 2023 .
^ Charles Lecavalier (October 13, 2023). "QS facture les médias couvrant son congrès et fait marche arrière" . Le Journal de Québec (in French). Retrieved November 28, 2023 .
^ "La députée caquiste Joëlle Boutin démissionne" . Radio-Canada (in French). July 19, 2023. Retrieved August 7, 2023 .
^ "Results and statistics" . May 17, 2021.
^ "Frédéric Beauchemin exclu du caucus libéral" . Radio-Canada (in French). October 7, 2023. Retrieved October 22, 2023 .
^ Charles Lecavalier (November 26, 2023). "Émilise Lessard-Therrien élue co-porte-parole" . La Presse (in French). Retrieved November 27, 2023 .
^ Karim Ouadia (December 15, 2023). "Parti libéral du Québec : le député Frédéric Beauchemin réintègre le caucus" . Radio-Canada (in French). Retrieved December 18, 2023 .
^ Marc-André Gagnon (April 16, 2024). "Eric Lefebvre quitte le caucus de la CAQ" . Le Journal de Québec (in French). Retrieved April 17, 2024 .
^ Radio-Canada. "Émilise Lessard-Therrien démissionne de son poste de co-porte-parole de Québec solidaire" [Émilise Lessard-Therrien resigns from her position as co-spokesperson for Québec solidaire]. CBC (in French). Retrieved April 30, 2024 .
^ Nicolas Lachance (May 2, 2024). "Christine Labrie devient la co-porte-parole par intérim de Québec solidaire" . Le Journal de Québec (in French). Retrieved May 3, 2024 .
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