An upset is a victory by an underdog team. In the context of the NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament, a single-elimination tournament, this generally constitutes a lower seeded team defeating a higher-seeded (i.e., higher-ranked) team; a widely recognized upset is one performed by a team ranked substantially lower than its opponent.
This is the list of victories by teams seeded 11 or lower in the first round and second rounds of the tournament, as well as those by teams seeded 8 or 9 against 1 and 7 or 10 against 2 seeds in the second round, since it expanded to 64 teams in 1985; as these low-seeded teams were automatically paired against higher-seeded teams at the start of the tournament, their opening victories are almost always considered upsets (to date only three teams seeded 11 or lower in the first round won as betting favorites, and only one such team won in the first round as a pick 'em). Most victories by these teams in later rounds were usually against better seeded opponents as well. The list also includes victories by teams seeded 8 or lower in the Sweet 16 (the four regional semifinals), teams seeded 7 or lower in the Elite Eight (the four regional finals), and teams seeded 6 or lower in the Final Four. All teams are listed by athletic brand names they used at the time of their wins, which do not always match those in use today.
The NCAA defines a tournament "upset" as a victory by a team seeded 5 or more lines below its defeated opponent.[1]
On March 16, 2018, the University of Maryland, Baltimore County (UMBC) Retrievers became the first 16-seed to upset a 1-seed when they defeated the Virginia Cavaliers 74–54 in the first round;[2] this was followed by the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights defeating the Purdue Boilermakers 63–58 on March 17, 2023.[3]
Most successful low seeds
[edit]Best outcomes for low seeds since expansion to 64 teams in 1985:
Seed | 2nd Round | Sweet Sixteen | Elite Eight | Final Four | Championship Game | National Champion |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. 16 | – | – | – | – | – | |
No. 15 |
Richmond (1991) |
Florida Gulf Coast (2013) |
Saint Peter's (2022) | – | – | – |
No. 14 | numerous (20 teams) | – | – | – | – | |
No. 13 | numerous (25 teams) | – | – | – | – | |
No. 12 | numerous (31 teams) |
numerous (20 teams) |
|
– | – | – |
No. 11 | numerous (31 teams) |
numerous (17 teams) |
– | – | ||
No. 10 | — |
numerous (15 teams) |
– | – | ||
No. 9 | — | – | – | |||
No. 8 | — | |||||
No. 7 | — |
numerous (15 teams) |
– | |||
No. 6 | — | — | — |
Best performances by No. 16 seeds
[edit]In 2018, UMBC became the first No. 16 seed to defeat a No. 1 seed in the men's tournament, shocking Virginia 74–54. Before this breakthrough, five other 16 seeds lost by 4 or fewer points:
- While ultimately Murray State lost to Michigan State by 4 points (75–71) in 1990, it was the only No. 16 team to take a game into overtime.
- East Tennessee State lost to Oklahoma in 1989 (1 point, 72–71)
- Princeton lost to Georgetown in 1989 (1 point, 50–49)
- Western Carolina lost to Purdue in 1996 (2 points, 73–71)
- Fairleigh Dickinson lost to Michigan in 1985 (4 points, 59–55)
In 2023, Fairleigh Dickinson became the second No. 16 seed to defeat a No. 1 seed in the tournament, beating Purdue 63–58.
Lowest-seeded pairings by round
[edit]- The lowest-seeded combination in the national championship game is the 2014 pairing of No. 7 seed UConn and No. 8 seed Kentucky. UConn won and became the second-lowest-seeded team to win the tournament.
- The pairing of No. 8 seed Butler and No. 11 seed VCU in the 2011 National semifinals game was the lowest seeded combination to play in a National semifinals game.
- The pairing of No. 8 seed North Carolina and No. 15 seed Saint Peter's in the 2022 East Regional Final was the lowest-seeded combination to play in a Regional Final.
- The pairing of No. 10 seed Providence and No. 14 seed Chattanooga in the 1997 Southeast Regional semifinal was the lowest-seeded combination to play in a Regional semifinal.
- There have been twenty-five Round of 32 matchups between two seeds who had won as the underdogs in the Round of 64: twelve 12-13 matchups, six 11-14 matchups, five 10-15 matchups, and two 9-16 matchups. The seeds add to 25 in each case, which is the lowest possible total for the second round.
Additional low-seed stats
[edit]- Villanova in 1985, a No. 8 seed, was the lowest seeded team to win the tournament.
- Penn's 1979 Final Four appearance as a No. 9 seed—out of 10 teams in their region—made them the lowest seed to make the Final Four in the pre-64-team era.[4]
- Butler is the only team to make consecutive Final Fours (let alone Championship Games) while not being a No. 1 or No. 2 seed either time (No. 5 in 2010, No. 8 in 2011).
- In 1989, the four 11-seeds swept the first round against their 6-seed opponents. As of 2023 this is the only time that 11-seeds have achieved this feat, and no lower seed ever has. Three out of four 12-seeds have advanced five times, in 2002, 2009, 2013, 2014, and 2019. The 10-seeds also swept the 7-seeds once, in 1999.
- Richmond is the only team to win first-round games ranked as a No. 15, No. 14, No. 13, and No. 12 seed.
- The most Round of 64 upsets over top-3 seeds occurring in a single tournament has been two, which has occurred ten times:
- 1986, 1995, 2015: Two No. 14 seeds over No. 3 seeds
- 1991, 1997, 2013, 2016, 2021: One No. 15 seed over a No. 2 seed and one No. 14 seed over a No. 3 seed
- In 1991, 2013, 2016, and 2021, at least one team of every seed between No. 1 and No. 15 advanced to the round of 32.
- 2012: Two No. 15 seeds over No. 2 seeds
- 2023: One No. 16 seed over a No. 1 seed and one No. 15 seed over a No. 2 seed
- 2014 produced the highest total seed differential in an NCAA Tournament, with 128 across all the rounds of play. That is, the sum of seed differences among the 19 games won by lower-seeded teams was 128. This surpassed the previous mark of 111 in 2014, in which 22 games were won by lower seeded teams.
- 2013 was the only tournament to have three teams seeded No. 12 or lower in the Sweet Sixteen: No. 12 Oregon, No. 13 La Salle, and No. 15 Florida Gulf Coast.
- The 2018 South Region was the first region since seeding began in 1979 in which no top-4 seed advanced to the Sweet Sixteen (No. 5 Kentucky, No. 7 Nevada, No. 9 Kansas State, No. 11 Loyola–Chicago).
- Georgetown is the only team to lose in five consecutive tournament appearances against a team seeded at least five spots lower:
- 2008 (round of 32): No. 10 Davidson 74, No. 2 Georgetown 70.
- 2010 (round of 64): No. 14 Ohio 97, No. 3 Georgetown 83.
- 2011 (round of 64): No. 11 VCU 74, No. 6 Georgetown 56.
- 2012 (round of 32): No. 11 NC State 66, No. 3 Georgetown 63.
- 2013 (round of 64): No. 15 Florida Gulf Coast 78, No. 2 Georgetown 68.
- In 2021, Houston, a 2 seed, was the first team ever to reach the Final Four by defeating only double-digit seeds—in order, Cleveland State (15), Rutgers (10), Syracuse (11), and Oregon State (12).
- 2021 featured 14 upsets, the most upsets in a single tournament. NCAA defines an upset as 5 seed lines or more between teams.[5]
Point spread upsets
[edit]Despite numerous instances of early-round tournament upsets, only two No. 1 seeds have lost in the first round to a No. 16 seed. However, while seeding is one way of measuring the impact of an upset, prior to the implementation of seeding, point spread was the better determinant of an upset, and a loss by a highly favored team remains for many the definition of "upset". As the NCAA forbids any association with gambling, and point spreads vary depending on the bookie taking the bets, these are unofficial:
- Biggest point-spread upsets since expansion to 64 teams in 1985:
- Fairleigh Dickinson +23.5 over Purdue 63–58 in 2023[6]
- Norfolk State +21.5 over Missouri 86–84 in 2012[7]
- UMBC +20.5 over Virginia 74–54 in 2018[8]
- Santa Clara +20 over Arizona 64–61 in 1993.[7]
- Coppin State +18.5 over South Carolina 78–65 in 1997
- Saint Peter's +18 over Kentucky 85–79 in 2022
- Arkansas–Little Rock +17.5 over Notre Dame 90–83 in 1986[7]
- Hampton +17.5 over Iowa State 58–57 in 2001[7]
- Biggest point-spread upsets in NCAA championship game history:
- Connecticut +9.5 over Duke, 77–74, in 1999
- Villanova +9 over Georgetown, 66–64, in 1985
- Kansas +8 over Oklahoma, 83–79, in 1988
- North Carolina State +7.5 over Houston, 54–52 in 1983
- Texas Western +6.5 over Kentucky, 72–65 in 1966
Round of 64
[edit]This round was called the first round until 2011, when the introduction of the First Four caused the round to be renamed the second round. Starting with the 2016 tournament, it returned to being called the first round. There were eight official first round upsets in 2016, which was the most in tournament history.[9]
Detail between each pair of seeds in this section has been updated as of completion of the 2024 Round of 64, representing 156 games played between each pair.
16 defeats 1
[edit]There have been 2 games where a 16-seed has defeated a 1-seed (1.28%), in the round of 64, since 1985:
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
2018 | UMBC | Virginia | 74–54[10] |
2023 | Fairleigh Dickinson | Purdue | 63–58[11] |
15 defeats 2
[edit]There have been 11 games where a 15-seed has defeated a 2-seed (7.05%), in the round of 64, since 1985:[12]
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1991 | Richmond | Syracuse | 73–69 |
1993 | Santa Clara | Arizona | 64–61 |
1997 | Coppin State | South Carolina | 78–65 |
2001 | Hampton | Iowa State | 58–57 |
2012 | Lehigh | Duke | 75–70 |
Norfolk State | Missouri | 86–84 | |
2013 | Florida Gulf Coast | Georgetown | 78–68 |
2016 | Middle Tennessee | Michigan State | 90–81 |
2021 | Oral Roberts | Ohio State | 75–72OT |
2022 | Saint Peter's | Kentucky | 85–79OT |
2023 | Princeton | Arizona | 59–55 |
14 defeats 3
[edit]There have been 23 games where a 14-seed has defeated a 3-seed (14.74%), in the round of 64, since 1985:
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1986 | Cleveland State | Indiana | 83–79 |
Arkansas–Little Rock[a] | Notre Dame | 90–83 | |
1987 | Austin Peay | Illinois | 68–67 |
1988 | Murray State | NC State | 78–75 |
1989 | Siena | Stanford | 80–78 |
1990 | Northern Iowa | Missouri | 74–71 |
1991 | Xavier | Nebraska | 89–84 |
1992 | East Tennessee State | Arizona | 87–80 |
1995 | Old Dominion | Villanova | 89–813 OT |
Weber State | Michigan State | 79–72 | |
1997 | Chattanooga | Georgia | 73–70 |
1998 | Richmond | South Carolina | 62–61 |
1999 | Weber State | North Carolina | 76–74 |
2005 | Bucknell | Kansas | 64–63 |
2006 | Northwestern State | Iowa | 64–63 |
2010 | Ohio | Georgetown | 97–83 |
2013 | Harvard | New Mexico | 68–62 |
2014 | Mercer | Duke | 78–71 |
2015 | Georgia State | Baylor | 57–56 |
UAB | Iowa State | 60–59 | |
2016 | Stephen F. Austin | West Virginia | 70–56 |
2021 | Abilene Christian | Texas | 53–52 |
2024 | Oakland | Kentucky | 80–76 |
13 defeats 4
[edit]There have been 33 games where a 13-seed has defeated a 4-seed (21.15%), in the round of 64, since 1985:
12 defeats 5
[edit]There have been 55 games where a 12-seed has defeated a 5-seed (35.26%), in the round of 64, since 1985:
11 defeats 6
[edit]There have been 61 games where an 11-seed has defeated a 6-seed (39.1%), in the round of 64, since 1985:
Round of 32
[edit]This round is called the second round. Occasionally, it is referred to as the regional quarterfinals.
This shows all Round of 32 upset victories by teams seeded 11 or lower, continuing their upset victories from the round of 64. This section introduces additional "meeting criteria of team seeded 5 or more lines below its defeated opponent", being all Round of 32 upset victories by teams seeded 8 or 9 against 1 seeds and by teams seeded 7 or 10 against 2 seeds.
16th seed victories
[edit]No 16 seed has won a second-round game. The only 16 seeds to ever reach the second round are the UMBC Retrievers in 2018, who lost to 9 seed Kansas State 50–43, and the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights in 2023, who lost to 9 seed Florida Atlantic 78–70.
15th seed victories
[edit]Four of the eleven 15 seeds (36.36%) who advanced from the round of 64 also achieved an upset victory in the round of 32. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses. Due to these results, 15 seeds have a winning record (4-2) against 7 seeds, but have never beaten a 10 seed (0-5).
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
2013 | Florida Gulf Coast | (7) San Diego State | 81–71[16] |
2021 | Oral Roberts | (7) Florida | 81–78[17] |
2022 | Saint Peter's | (7) Murray State | 70–60[18] |
2023 | Princeton | (7) Missouri | 78–63[19] |
14th seed victories
[edit]Two of the twenty-three 14 seeds (9.09%) who advanced from the round of 64 also achieved an upset victory in the round of 32. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses.
Seven of the 14 seeds who advanced from the round of 64 lost to 11 seeds in the round of 32. Two of the sixteen 14 seeds who faced 6 seeds advanced to the Sweet Sixteen (12.5%).
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1986 | Cleveland State | (6) Saint Joseph's | 75–69 |
1997 | Chattanooga | (6) Illinois | 75–63 |
13th seed victories
[edit]Six of the thirty-three 13 seeds (18.18%) who advanced from the round of 64 also achieved a victory in the round of 32. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses.
Twelve of the 13 seeds who advanced from the round of 64 faced a 12 seed that had also advanced from the round of 64 due to an upset. Against 12 seeds, 13 seeds are 3-9 (25%). Three of the twenty-one 13 seeds who have faced 5 seeds have advanced to the Sweet Sixteen (14.29%).
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1988 | Richmond | (5) Georgia Tech | 59–55 |
1998 | Valparaiso‡ | (12) Florida State | 83–77OT |
1999 | Oklahoma | (5) UNC Charlotte[j] | 85–72 |
2006 | Bradley | (5) Pittsburgh | 72–66 |
2012 | Ohio‡ | (12) South Florida | 62–56 |
2013 | La Salle‡ | (12) Ole Miss | 76–74 |
‡ Not officially an upset because the teams were separated by only 1 seed line.
12th seed victories
[edit]Twenty-two of the fifty-five 12 seeds (40%) who advanced from the round of 64 also won in the round of 32. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses.
Nine of these victories were against lower seeded teams that had also advanced from the round of 64 due to upsets; thus, these nine victories do not count as upsets, and have been grouped here in a table separate from the thirteen upset wins by 12 seeds in the second round. Thirteen of the forty-three 12 seeds who have faced 4 seeds have advanced to the Sweet Sixteen (30.23%).
Defeated a lower seed | |||
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
1991 | Eastern Michigan | (13) Penn State | 71–68OT |
1992 | New Mexico State | (13) Southwestern Louisiana[b] | 81–73 |
1993 | George Washington | (13) Southern | 90–80 |
2001 | Gonzaga | (13) Indiana State | 85–68 |
2008 | Western Kentucky | (13) San Diego | 72–63 |
Villanova | (13) Siena | 84–72 | |
2009 | Arizona | (13) Cleveland State | 71–57 |
2011 | Richmond | (13) Morehead State | 65–48 |
2019 | Oregon | (13) UC Irvine | 73–54 |
Second Round upsets | |||
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
1985 | Kentucky | (4) UNLV | 64–61 |
1986 | DePaul | (4) Oklahoma | 74–69 |
1987 | Wyoming | (4) UCLA | 78–68 |
1990 | Ball State | (4) Louisville | 62–60 |
1994 | Tulsa | (4) Oklahoma State | 82–80 |
1996 | Arkansas | (4) Marquette | 65–56 |
1999 | Southwest Missouri State[k] | (4) Tennessee | 81–51 |
2002 | Missouri | (4) Ohio State | 83–64 |
2003 | Butler | (4) Louisville | 79–71 |
2005 | Milwaukee | (4) Boston College | 83–75 |
2010 | Cornell | (4) Wisconsin | 87–69 |
2013 | Oregon | (4) Saint Louis | 74–57 |
2021 | Oregon State | (4) Oklahoma State | 80–70 |
11th seed victories
[edit]Twenty-seven of the sixty-one 11 seeds (44.26%) who advanced from the round of 64 also won in the round of 32. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses.
Seven of these victories were against lower seeded teams that had also advanced from the round of 64 due to upsets; thus, these seven victories do not count as upsets, and have been grouped here in a table separate from the twenty upset wins by 11 seeds in the second round. Twenty of the fifty-four 11 seeds who have faced 3 seeds advanced to the Sweet Sixteen (37.04%).
Defeated a lower seed | |||
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
1989 | Minnesota | (14) Siena | 80–67 |
1991 | Connecticut[c] | (14) Xavier | 66–50 |
1998 | Washington | (14) Richmond | 81–66 |
2014 | Tennessee | (14) Mercer | 83–63 |
2015 | UCLA | (14) UAB | 92–75 |
2021 | UCLA | (14) Abilene Christian | 67–47 |
2024 | NC State | (14) Oakland | 79–73OT |
Second Round upsets | |||
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
1985 | Auburn | (3) Kansas | 66–64 |
Boston College | (3) Duke | 74–73 | |
1986 | LSU | (3) Memphis State[d] | 83–81 |
1988 | Rhode Island | (3) Syracuse | 97–94 |
1990 | Loyola Marymount | (3) Michigan | 149–115 |
2001 | Temple | (3) Florida | 75–54 |
2002 | Southern Illinois | (3) Georgia | 77–75 |
2006 | George Mason | (3) North Carolina | 65–60 |
2010 | Washington | (3) New Mexico | 82–64 |
2011 | Marquette | (3) Syracuse | 66–62 |
VCU | (3) Purdue | 94–76 | |
2012 | NC State | (3) Georgetown | 66–63 |
2014 | Dayton | (3) Syracuse | 55–53 |
2016 | Gonzaga | (3) Utah | 82–59 |
2017 | Xavier | (3) Florida State | 91–66 |
2018 | Loyola Chicago | (3) Tennessee | 63–62 |
Syracuse | (3) Michigan State | 55–53 | |
2021 | Syracuse | (3) West Virginia | 75–72 |
2022 | Iowa State | (3) Wisconsin | 54–49 |
Michigan | (3) Tennessee | 76–68 |
10th seed victories
[edit]Twenty-four of the sixty 10 seeds who advanced from the round of 64 (40%) also won in the round of 32. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses.
Five of these victories were against lower seeded teams that had also advanced from the round of 64 due to upsets; thus, these six victories do not count as upsets, and have been grouped here in a table separate from the nineteen upset wins by 10 seeds in the second round. Nineteen of the fifty-five 10 seeds who faced 2 seeds advanced to the Sweet Sixteen (34.55%).
Defeated a lower seed | |||
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
1991 | Temple | (15) Richmond | 77–64 |
1997 | Texas | (15) Coppin State | 82–81 |
2001 | Georgetown | (15) Hampton | 76–57 |
2012 | Xavier | (15) Lehigh | 70–58 |
2016 | Syracuse | (15) Middle Tennessee | 75–50 |
Second Round upsets | |||
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
1987 | LSU | (2) Temple | 72–62 |
1990 | Texas | (2) Purdue | 73–72 |
1994 | Maryland | (2) UMass | 95–87 |
1997 | Providence | (2) Duke | 98–87 |
1998 | West Virginia | (2) Cincinnati | 75–74 |
1999 | Purdue | (2) Miami (FL) | 73–63 |
Miami (OH) | (2) Utah | 66–58 | |
Gonzaga | (2) Stanford | 82–74 | |
2000 | Seton Hall | (2) Temple | 67–65OT |
Gonzaga | (2) St. John's | 82–76 | |
2002 | Kent State | (2) Alabama | 71–58 |
2003 | Auburn | (2) Wake Forest | 68–62 |
2004 | Nevada | (2) Gonzaga | 91–72 |
2005 | NC State | (2) Connecticut[c] | 65–62 |
2008 | Davidson | (2) Georgetown | 74–70 |
2010 | St. Mary's | (2) Villanova | 75–68 |
2011 | Florida State | (2) Notre Dame | 71–58 |
2014 | Stanford | (2) Kansas | 60–57 |
2022 | Miami (FL) | (2) Auburn | 79–61 |
9th seed victories
[edit]Eight of the eighty-one 9 seeds (9.88%) who advanced from the round of 64 also won in the round of 32. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses.
Two of these victories were against a lower seeded team that had also advanced from the round of 64 due to upset; thus, these second-round victories do not count as upsets, and has been shown here in a table separate from the six upset wins by 9 seeds in the second round. Six of the seventy-nine 9 seeds who have faced a 1 seed advanced to the Sweet Sixteen (7.59%).
Defeated a lower seed | |||
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
2018 | Kansas State | (16) UMBC | 50–43 |
2023 | Florida Atlantic | (16) Fairleigh Dickinson | 78–70 |
Second Round upsets | |||
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
1992 | UTEP | (1) Kansas | 66–60 |
1994 | Boston College | (1) North Carolina | 75–72 |
2004 | UAB | (1) Kentucky | 76–75 |
2010 | Northern Iowa | (1) Kansas | 69–67 |
2013 | Wichita State | (1) Gonzaga | 76–70 |
2018 | Florida State | (1) Xavier | 75–70 |
8th seed victories
[edit]Sixteen of the seventy-five 8 seeds (21.33%) who advanced from the round of 64 also achieved an upset victory in the round of 32. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses.
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1985 | Villanova | (1) Michigan | 59–55 |
1986 | Auburn | (1) St. John's | 81–65 |
1990 | North Carolina | (1) Oklahoma | 79–77 |
1996 | Georgia | (1) Purdue | 76–69 |
1998 | Rhode Island | (1) Kansas | 80–75 |
2000 | North Carolina | (1) Stanford | 60–53 |
Wisconsin | (1) Arizona | 66–59 | |
2002 | UCLA | (1) Cincinnati | 105–1012OT |
2004 | Alabama | (1) Stanford | 70–67 |
2011 | Butler | (1) Pittsburgh | 71–70 |
2014 | Kentucky | (1) Wichita State | 78–76 |
2015 | NC State | (1) Villanova | 71–68 |
2017 | Wisconsin | (1) Villanova | 65–62 |
2021 | Loyola Chicago | (1) Illinois | 71–58 |
2022 | North Carolina | (1) Baylor | 93–86OT |
2023 | Arkansas | (1) Kansas | 72–71 |
7th seed victories
[edit]Twenty-nine of the ninety-six 7 seeds who advanced from the round of 64 (30.21%) also won in the round of 32.
Two of these 7 seeds (Temple in 1993 and Florida in 2012) advanced to the Sweet Sixteen after playing against 15 seeds that also advanced from the round of 64 due to upsets, while four 7 seeds have lost to 15 seeds, meaning that 7 seeds have a losing record against 15 seeds (2-4). Twenty-seven of the ninety 7 seeds who faced 2 seeds advanced to the Sweet Sixteen (30%). This means that 7 seeds have a lower winning percentage in the round of 32 than 10 seeds do.
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1985 | Alabama | (2) VCU | 63–59 |
1986 | Navy | (2) Syracuse | 97–85 |
Iowa State | (2) Michigan | 72–69 | |
1988 | Vanderbilt | (2) Pittsburgh | 80–74 |
1990 | UCLA | (2) Kansas | 71–70 |
Alabama | (2) Arizona | 77–55 | |
1992 | Georgia Tech | (2) USC | 79–78 |
1993 | Western Kentucky | (2) Seton Hall | 72–68 |
2000 | Tulsa | (2) Cincinnati | 69–61 |
2001 | Penn State | (2) North Carolina | 82–74 |
2003 | Michigan State | (2) Florida | 68–46 |
2004 | Xavier | (2) Mississippi State | 89–74 |
2005 | West Virginia | (2) Wake Forest | 111–1052OT |
2006 | Georgetown | (2) Ohio State | 70–52 |
Wichita State | (2) Tennessee | 80–73 | |
2007 | UNLV | (2) Wisconsin | 74–68 |
2008 | West Virginia | (2) Duke | 73–67 |
2014 | UConn | (2) Villanova | 77–65 |
2015 | Wichita State | (2) Kansas | 78–65 |
Michigan State | (2) Virgnia | 60–54 | |
2016 | Wisconsin | (2) Xavier | 66–63 |
2017 | South Carolina | (2) Duke | 88–81 |
Michigan | (2) Louisville | 73–69 | |
2018 | Nevada | (2) Cincinnati | 75–73 |
Texas A&M | (2) North Carolina | 86–65 | |
2021 | Oregon | (2) Iowa | 95–80 |
2023 | Michigan State | (2) Marquette | 69–60 |
Sweet Sixteen
[edit]The Sweet Sixteen are the eight pairs of teams that meet in the Regional semifinals.
15 seeds
[edit]One of the four 15 seeds (25%) who advanced from the round of 32 also achieved an upset victory in the Sweet Sixteen, that being Saint Peter’s in 2022. Seed of the team they defeated is in parentheses.
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
2022 | Saint Peter's | (3) Purdue | 67–64[20] |
14 seeds
[edit]Although two 14 seeds made it to the Sweet Sixteen, neither of them won their games in this round. In 1986, Cleveland State lost to 7 seed Navy by only a single point.
13 seeds
[edit]Although six 13 seeds made it to the Sweet Sixteen, none of them won their games in this round. The closest margin of defeat happened in 1998, when Valparaiso lost to 8 seed Rhode Island by 6 points.
12 seeds
[edit]Two of the twenty-two 12 seeds (9.09%) who advanced from the round of 32 also won in the Sweet Sixteen. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses.
Interestingly, with these two victories, a 12 seed has never lost against an 8 seed.[21]
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
2002 | Missouri‡ | (8) UCLA | 82–73 |
2021 | Oregon State‡ | (8) Loyola Chicago | 65–58 |
‡ Not officially an upset because the teams were separated by fewer than 5 seed lines.
11 seeds
[edit]Ten of the twenty-seven 11 seeds (37.04%) who advanced from the round of 32 also won in the Sweet Sixteen. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses, showing that four of these were upset victories (separated by more than 4 seed lines).
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1986 | LSU | (2) Georgia Tech | 70–64 |
1990 | Loyola Marymount‡ | (7) Alabama | 62–60 |
2001 | Temple‡ | (7) Penn State | 84–72 |
2006 | George Mason‡ | (7) Wichita State | 63–55 |
2011 | VCU‡ | (10) Florida State | 72–71OT |
2014 | Dayton‡ | (10) Stanford | 82–72 |
2017 | Xavier | (2) Arizona | 73–71 |
2018 | Loyola Chicago‡ | (7) Nevada | 69–68 |
2021 | UCLA | (2) Alabama | 88–78OT |
2024 | NC State | (2) Marquette | 67–58 |
‡ Not officially an upset because the teams were separated by fewer than 5 seed lines.
10 seeds
[edit]Nine of the twenty-four 10 seeds (37.5%) who advanced from the round of 32 also won in the Sweet Sixteen. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses, showing that four of these were upset victories (separated by more than 4 seed lines).
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1987 | LSU | (3) DePaul | 63–58 |
1990 | Texas‡ | (6) Xavier | 102–89 |
1991 | Temple | (3) Oklahoma State | 72–63 |
1997 | Providence† | (14) Chattanooga | 71–65 |
1999 | Gonzaga‡ | (6) Florida | 73–72 |
2002 | Kent State | (3) Pittsburgh | 78–73 |
2008 | Davidson | (3) Wisconsin | 73–56 |
2016 | Syracuse† | (11) Gonzaga | 63–60 |
2022 | Miami (FL)† | (11) Iowa State | 70–56 |
† Not an upset victory, as the 10 seed defeated a lower seed.
‡ Not officially an upset, as the teams were separated by fewer than 5 seed lines.
9 seeds
[edit]Five of the eight 9 seeds (62.5%) who advanced from the round of 32 also won in the Sweet Sixteen. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses, showing that one of these was an upset victory (separated by more than 4 seed lines).
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1994 | Boston College‡ | (5) Indiana | 77–68 |
2013 | Wichita State† | (13) La Salle | 72–58 |
2018 | Florida State | (4) Gonzaga | 75–60 |
Kansas State‡ | (5) Kentucky | 61–58 | |
2023 | Florida Atlantic | (4) Tennessee | 62–55 |
† Not an upset victory, as the 9 seed defeated a lower seed.
‡ Not officially an upset, as the teams were separated by fewer than 5 seed lines.
Elite Eight
[edit]The Elite Eight are the four pairs of teams that meet in the Regional Finals.
15 seeds
[edit]The only 15 seed who advanced from the Sweet Sixteen, Saint Peter's in 2022, was defeated in the Elite Eight by eight-seed North Carolina, 69-49.
12 seeds
[edit]Although two 12 seeds have advanced from the Sweet Sixteen, both were defeated in the Elite Eight: Missouri to second-seeded Oklahoma, 81-75 in 2002, and Oregon State to second-seeded Houston, 67-61 in 2021.
11 seeds
[edit]Six of the ten 11 seeds who advanced from the Sweet Sixteen also won in the Elite Eight. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses, showing that five of these were upset victories (separated by more than 4 seed lines). None of those teams would go on to win in the Final Four.
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1986 | LSU | (1) Kentucky | 59–57 |
2006 | George Mason | (1) Connecticut[c] | 86–84OT |
2011 | VCU | (1) Kansas | 71–61 |
2018 | Loyola Chicago‡ | (9) Kansas State | 78–62 |
2021 | UCLA | (1) Michigan | 51–49 |
2024 | NC State | (4) Duke | 76–64 |
‡ Not officially an upset, as the teams were separated by fewer than 5 seed lines.
10 seeds
[edit]One of the nine 10 seeds who advanced from the Sweet Sixteen also won in the Elite Eight. Seed of the team they defeated is in parentheses, showing that this was an upset victory (separated by more than 4 seed lines). The team did not win in the Final Four.
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
2016 | Syracuse | (1) Virginia | 68–62 |
9 seeds
[edit]Two of the five 9 seeds who advanced from the Sweet Sixteen also won in the Elite Eight. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses, showing that these were upset victories (separated by more than 4 seed lines). Neither team won in the Final Four.
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
2013 | Wichita State | (2) Ohio State | 70–66[16] |
2023 | Florida Atlantic | (3) Kansas State | 79–76[22] |
8 seeds
[edit]Six of the nine 8 seeds who advanced from the Sweet Sixteen also won in the Elite Eight. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses, showing that three of these were upset victories (separated by more than 4 seed lines).
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1985 | Villanova | (2) North Carolina | 56–44 |
2000 | Wisconsin‡ | (6) Purdue | 64–60 |
North Carolina‡ | (7) Tulsa | 59–55 | |
2011 | Butler | (2) Florida | 74–71OT |
2014 | Kentucky | (2) Michigan | 75–72 |
2022 | North Carolina† | (15) Saint Peter's | 69–49 |
† Not an upset victory, as the 8 seed defeated a lower seed.
‡ Not officially an upset. as the teams were separated by fewer than 5 seed lines.
7 seeds
[edit]Three 7 seeds have advanced to the Final Four. Seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses.
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
2014 | UConn‡ | (4) Michigan State | 60–54 |
2015 | Michigan State‡ | (4) Louisville | 76–70 |
2017 | South Carolina‡ | (4) Florida | 77–70 |
‡ Not officially an upset, as the teams were separated by fewer than 5 seed lines.
6 seeds
[edit]Three 6 seeds have advanced to the Final Four. Seed of the team they defeated are in parentheses, showing that two of these were upset victories (separated by more than 4 seed lines).
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1987 | Providence | (1) Georgetown | 88–73 |
1988 | Kansas‡ | (4) Kansas State | 71–58 |
1992 | Michigan | (1) Ohio State | 75–71OT |
‡ Not officially an upset, as the teams were separated by fewer than 5 seed lines.
Final Four
[edit]The Final Four are the winners of the four Regional Finals.
9 seeds or lower
[edit]No team seeded 9 or lower has ever won a game in the Final Four. Notable close losses include a four-point loss by (9) Wichita State in 2013 to top-seed and eventual champions Louisville, while two other teams lost on buzzer-beating shots: (11) UCLA to (1) Gonzaga, 93-90 in overtime in 2021; and (9) Florida Atlantic to (5) San Diego State, 71-72 in 2023.
8 seeds
[edit]Four of the six 8 seeds who advanced from the Elite Eight also won in the Final Four. The seeds of the teams they defeated are in parentheses, showing that three were upset victories (separated by more than 4 seed lines).
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1985 | Villanova | (2) Memphis State | 52–45 |
2011 | Butler† | (11) VCU | 70–62 |
2014 | Kentucky | (2) Wisconsin | 74–73 |
2022 | North Carolina | (2) Duke | 81–77 |
† Not an upset victory, as the 8 seed defeated a lower seed.
7 seeds
[edit]One of the three 7 seeds who advanced from the Elite Eight also won in the Final Four. Seed of the team they defeated is in parentheses, showing that this was an upset victory (separated by more than 4 seed lines).
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
2014 | UConn | (1) Florida | 63–53 |
6 seeds
[edit]Two 6 seeds have advanced to the national championship game. Seeds of the Final Four team they defeated are in parentheses.
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1988 | Kansas‡ | (2) Duke | 66–59 |
1992 | Michigan‡ | (4) Cincinnati | 76–72 |
‡ Not officially an upset, as the teams were separated by fewer than 5 seed lines.
National championship
[edit]8 seeds
[edit]Only one of the four 8 seeds who advanced from the Final Four won the national championship, the lowest seed ever to do so. Seed of the team they defeated is in parentheses, showing that this was an upset victory (separated by more than 4 seed lines).
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1985 | Villanova | (1) Georgetown | 66–64 |
7 seeds
[edit]The only 7 seed to advance from the Final Four went on to win the national championship. Seed of the team they defeated is in parentheses.
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
2014 | UConn† | (8) Kentucky | 60–54 |
† Not an upset victory, as the 7 seed defeated a lower seed.
6 seeds
[edit]One of the two 6 seeds who advanced from the Final Four won the national championship.
Year | Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1988 | Kansas | (1) Oklahoma | 83–79 |
Footnotes
[edit]- ^ Known athletically as Little Rock since 2015–16.
- ^ a b Now known athletically as Louisiana.
- ^ a b c d e Known athletically as UConn since 2013–14.
- ^ a b c Known as Memphis since 1994–95.
- ^ Now known athletically as Green Bay.
- ^ Although this institution has been known as Detroit Mercy since a 1990 merger, it did not add "Mercy" to its athletic brand name until 2017.
- ^ a b Entered the game as the betting favorite in Las Vegas sports books.[14]
- ^ Entered the game as pick'em (even money) in Las Vegas sports books.[14]
- ^ Entered the game as the betting favorite in Las Vegas sports books.[15]
- ^ Known athletically as Charlotte since 2000–01.
- ^ Known as Missouri State since 2005–06.
References
[edit]- ^ Thamel, Pete (March 22, 2021). "Why this may already be the craziest NCAA men's tournament ever". Yahoo Sports. Archived from the original on March 22, 2021. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
- ^ Wilco, Daniel (March 17, 2018). "Last perfect bracket busts after UMBC pulls off biggest upset in NCAA tournament history". NCAA.com. National Collegiate Athletic Association. Archived from the original on March 18, 2018. Retrieved March 18, 2018.
UMBC (The University of Maryland Baltimore County) scored the biggest upset in the history of the NCAA tournament, beating top overall seed Virginia 74–54 Friday night, and becoming the first 16 seed to win a game in 136 tries.
- ^ Camargo, Alberto (March 17, 2023). "16-seed FDU shocks 1-seed Purdue in first round of March Madness". NCAA.com. NCAA. Archived from the original on March 18, 2023. Retrieved March 17, 2023.
Five years and one day since UMBC became the first 16-seed to beat a 1-seed, FDU pulled off the unthinkable yet again, knocking off 1-seed Purdue in a 63-58 shock upset on Friday. 16-seeds are now 2-150 all-time since the men's tournament expanded to 64 teams.
- ^ "NCAA Final Four Tournament Seeds". Retrieved 30 March 2011.
- ^ "UCLAs win over Michigan". 13 August 2021. Retrieved 26 March 2022.
- ^ Trotter, Jake (March 17, 2023). "16-seed Fairleigh Dickinson, a 23.5-point underdog, shocks No. 1 Purdue". ESPN.com. Retrieved March 18, 2023.
- ^ a b c d Kraemer, Mackenzie; Nelson, Rob (March 16, 2018). "Biggest NCAA tournament upsets of the 64-team era". ESPN.com. Retrieved March 16, 2018.
- ^ "Summary: UMBC vs. Virginia". ESPN.com. March 16, 2018. Retrieved March 17, 2018.
- ^ "NCAA tourney upsets match first-round record". ESPN.com. March 19, 2016. Archived from the original on July 13, 2016. Retrieved March 20, 2018.
- ^ Wilco, Daniel (March 17, 2018). "Last perfect bracket busts after UMBC pulls off biggest upset in NCAA tournament history". NCAA.com. National Collegiate Athletic Association. Retrieved March 18, 2018.
- ^ Camargo, Alberto (March 17, 2023). "No. 16 FDU shocks No. 1 Purdue in first round of March Madness". National Collegiate Athletic Association. Turner Sports Interactive, Inc. Archived from the original on March 18, 2023. Retrieved March 18, 2023.
- ^ Boone, Kyle (March 17, 2022). "March Madness 2022: Saint Peter's stuns Kentucky, No. 15 upsets No. 2 for 10th time in NCAA Tournament history". CBSSports.com. Archived from the original on March 18, 2022. Retrieved March 17, 2022.
- ^ Goodall, Fred (March 16, 2023). "No. 13 seed Furman hands UVA its latest early March exit". Associated Press News. Archived from the original on March 16, 2023. Retrieved March 17, 2023.
- ^ a b Lipscomb, Keith (March 17, 2019). "March Madness bracket facts for 2019 NCAA tournament". ESPN.com. Archived from the original on March 19, 2019. Retrieved March 17, 2019.
- ^ Bromberg, Nick (March 17, 2022). "NCAA tournament: No. 11 Michigan rides big second half to win over No. 6 Colorado State". Yahoo Sports. Archived from the original on March 18, 2023. Retrieved March 17, 2022.
- ^ a b "2013 NCAA tournament: Bracket, scores, stats, records". NCAA.com. National Collegiate Athletic Association. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
- ^ "We're tracking upsets in the 2021 NCAA tournament". NCAA.com. March 19, 2021. Retrieved March 27, 2022.
- ^ "Saint Peter's Makes History as First MAAC Men's Basketball Program to Reach March Madness Sweet Sixteen". MAACSports.com. March 20, 2022. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
- ^ Bonagura, Kyle (March 18, 2023). "Princeton takes out Missouri, latest 15-seed to make Sweet 16". ESPN.com. Archived from the original on March 21, 2023. Retrieved March 19, 2023.
- ^ McDaniel, Mike (25 March 2022). "No. 15 Saint Peter's Continues Cinderella Run, Upsets No. 3 Purdue to Advance to Elite Eight". Sports Illustrated. Retrieved 2022-04-01.
- ^ "Mcubed.net : Men's NCAA Basketball Tournament : : Records by Seed". Archived from the original on 2023-02-27. Retrieved 2023-02-27.
- ^ Russo, Ralph D. (March 25, 2023). "FAU holds off Nowell and K-State to reach 1st Final Four". The Associated Press. Retrieved March 26, 2023.