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Unite to Remain (Welsh: Uno i Aros)[1] was a campaign and electoral pact during the 2019 United Kingdom general election. It involved three parties that supported remaining in the European Union: the Liberal Democrats, the Green Party of England and Wales, and, in Wales, Plaid Cymru. Its stated goal was to avoid the spoiler effect and maximise the number of MPs elected who would oppose Brexit.
In 49 constituencies in England and 11 in Wales, the pact led to only one of these parties standing a candidate. Of the 60 constituencies, 43 had Liberal Democrat candidates only, 10 had Green Party candidates only, and 7 had Plaid Cymru candidates only.[2][3][4][5][6] The seats covered by the pact included some defended by a Unite to Remain party, as well as target seats held by the Conservative or Labour parties.
Nine Unite to Remain candidates were elected (5 Liberal Democrats, 3 Plaid Cymru, 1 Green), which represented one gain and one loss compared to the 2017 general election results.
Details
[edit]Though there was no formal pact, the August 2019 Brecon and Radnorshire by-election saw the Greens and Plaid Cymru stand aside for the Liberal Democrat candidate Jane Dodds,[7] who defeated the Conservative candidate by a small margin.[8] This arrangement was mooted as being the basis for a wider-ranging "Remain Alliance".[9]
The Unite to Remain group which brokered the pact was formed by the outgoing MP for South Cambridgeshire, Heidi Allen and former Liberal Democrat Treasurer Peter Dunphy in July 2019.[10][11] The alliance approached the Labour party at an early stage, but were rebuffed.[12] The Labour peer Jim Knight was one of the directors of Unite to Remain.[13] The group was registered as a "non-party campaigner" with the Electoral Commission in November 2019.[14]
Seats were selected based on a targeted pooling of resources and only with the consent of local parties. [citation needed] All the parties also support electoral reform.[12] Liberal Democrat activists in constituencies where their party stood aside were encouraged to either campaign for the Unite to Remain candidate there, or to campaign in a nearby seat.[15]
On 13 November 2019, Unite to Remain and the Renew Party announced that Renew would not contest any of the 60 Unite to Remain target seats.[16]
List of constituencies
[edit]Incumbents marked in italics did not stand for re-election in that constituency.
Darker rows indicate constituencies where the Unite to Remain party won the previous election (the 2017 general election or the 2019 Brecon and Radnorshire by-election). The pact also covers three seats where, during the 2017–2019 Parliament, incumbent MPs defected from other parties to the Liberal Democrats.
Constituency | Country | Unite to Remain party | Unite to Remain candidate | Incumbent party | Incumbent | Refs | Result | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arfon | Wales | Plaid Cymru | Hywel Williams | Plaid Cymru | Hywel Williams | [17] | Elected | ||
Bath | England | Liberal Democrats | Wera Hobhouse | Liberal Democrats | Wera Hobhouse | Elected | |||
Bermondsey and Old Southwark | England | Liberal Democrats | Humaira Ali | Labour | Neil Coyle | [18] | Not elected | ||
Brecon and Radnorshire | Wales | Liberal Democrats | Jane Dodds | Liberal Democrats | Jane Dodds | [17] | Not elected | ||
Brighton Pavilion | England | Green | Caroline Lucas | Green | Caroline Lucas | [19] | Elected | ||
Bristol West | England | Green | Carla Denyer | Labour | Thangam Debbonaire | [20] | Not elected | ||
Buckingham | England | Liberal Democrats | Stephen Dorrell | Speaker | John Bercow | [21] | Not elected | ||
Bury St Edmunds | England | Green | Helen Geake | Conservative | Jo Churchill | Not elected | |||
Caerphilly | Wales | Plaid Cymru | Lindsay Whittle | Labour | Wayne David | [22] | Not elected | ||
Cannock Chase | England | Green | Paul Woodhead | Conservative | Amanda Milling | Not elected | |||
Cardiff Central | Wales | Liberal Democrats | Bablin Molik | Labour | Jo Stevens | [17] | Not elected | ||
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr | Wales | Plaid Cymru | Jonathan Edwards | Plaid Cymru | Jonathan Edwards | [17] | Elected | ||
Cheadle | England | Liberal Democrats | Tom Morrison | Conservative | Mary Robinson | Not elected | |||
Chelmsford | England | Liberal Democrats | Marie Goldman | Conservative | Vicky Ford | Not elected | |||
Chelsea and Fulham | England | Liberal Democrats | Nicola Horlick | Conservative | Greg Hands | Not elected | |||
Cheltenham | England | Liberal Democrats | Max Wilkinson | Conservative | Alex Chalk | Not elected | |||
Chippenham | England | Liberal Democrats | Helen Belcher | Conservative | Michelle Donelan | Not elected | |||
Dulwich and West Norwood | England | Green | Jonathan Bartley | Labour | Helen Hayes | [18] | Not elected | ||
Dwyfor Meirionnydd | Wales | Plaid Cymru | Liz Saville Roberts | Plaid Cymru | Liz Saville-Roberts | [17] | Elected | ||
Esher and Walton | England | Liberal Democrats | Monica Harding | Conservative | Dominic Raab | Not elected | |||
Exeter | England | Green | Joe Levy | Labour | Ben Bradshaw | [23] | Not elected | ||
Finchley and Golders Green | England | Liberal Democrats | Luciana Berger | Conservative | Mike Freer | Not elected | |||
Forest of Dean | England | Green | Chris McFarling | Conservative | Mark Harper | Not elected | |||
Guildford | England | Liberal Democrats | Zöe Franklin | Independent won as Conservative |
Anne Milton | Not elected | |||
Harrogate and Knaresborough | England | Liberal Democrats | Judith Rogerson | Conservative | Andrew Jones | Not elected | |||
Hazel Grove | England | Liberal Democrats | Lisa Smart | Conservative | William Wragg | Not elected | |||
Hitchin and Harpenden | England | Liberal Democrats | Sam Collins | Conservative | Bim Afolami | Not elected | |||
Isle of Wight | England | Green | Vix Lowthion | Conservative | Bob Seely | Not elected | |||
Llanelli | Wales | Plaid Cymru | Mari Arthur | Labour | Nia Griffith | [22] | Not elected | ||
Montgomeryshire | Wales | Liberal Democrats | Kishan Devani | Conservative | Glyn Davies | [22] | Not elected | ||
North Cornwall | England | Liberal Democrats | Danny Chambers | Conservative | Scott Mann | Not elected | |||
North Norfolk | England | Liberal Democrats | Karen Ward | Liberal Democrats | Norman Lamb | Not elected | |||
Oxford West and Abingdon | England | Liberal Democrats | Layla Moran | Liberal Democrats | Layla Moran | Elected | |||
Penistone and Stocksbridge | England | Liberal Democrats | Hannah Kitching | Liberal Democrats won as Labour |
Angela Smith | Not elected | |||
Pontypridd | Wales | Plaid Cymru | Fflur Elin | Labour | Owen Smith | [22] | Not elected | ||
Portsmouth South | England | Liberal Democrats | Gerald Vernon-Jackson | Labour | Stephen Morgan | Not elected | |||
Richmond Park | England | Liberal Democrats | Sarah Olney | Conservative | Zac Goldsmith | Elected | |||
Romsey and Southampton North | England | Liberal Democrats | Craig Fletcher | Conservative | Caroline Nokes | Not elected | |||
Rushcliffe | England | Liberal Democrats | Jason Billin | Independent won as Conservative |
Kenneth Clarke | Not elected | |||
Stroud | England | Green | Molly Scott Cato | Labour | David Drew | Not elected | |||
South Cambridgeshire | England | Liberal Democrats | Ian Sollom | Liberal Democrats won as Conservative |
Heidi Allen | [24] | Not elected | ||
South East Cambridgeshire | England | Liberal Democrats | Pippa Heylings | Conservative | Lucy Frazer | Not elected | |||
South West Surrey | England | Liberal Democrats | Paul Follows | Conservative | Jeremy Hunt | Not elected | |||
Southport | England | Liberal Democrats | John Wright | Conservative | Damien Moore | Not elected | |||
Taunton Deane | England | Liberal Democrats | Gideon Amos | Conservative | Rebecca Pow | Not elected | |||
Thornbury and Yate | England | Liberal Democrats | Claire Young | Conservative | Luke Hall | Not elected | |||
Totnes | England | Liberal Democrats | Sarah Wollaston | Liberal Democrats won as Conservative |
Sarah Wollaston | Not elected | |||
Tunbridge Wells | England | Liberal Democrats | Ben Chapelard | Conservative | Greg Clark | Not elected | |||
Twickenham | England | Liberal Democrats | Munira Wilson | Liberal Democrats | Vince Cable | Elected | |||
Wantage | England | Liberal Democrats | Richard Benwell | Conservative | Ed Vaizey | Not elected | |||
Warrington South | England | Liberal Democrats | Ryan Bate | Labour | Faisal Rashid | Not elected | |||
Westmorland and Lonsdale | England | Liberal Democrats | Tim Farron | Liberal Democrats | Tim Farron | Elected | |||
Watford | England | Liberal Democrats | Ian Stotesbury | Conservative | Richard Harrington | Not elected | |||
Wells | England | Liberal Democrats | Tessa Munt | Conservative | James Heappey | Not elected | |||
Wimbledon | England | Liberal Democrats | Paul Kohler | Conservative | Stephen Hammond | Not elected | |||
Winchester | England | Liberal Democrats | Paula Ferguson | Conservative | Steve Brine | Not elected | |||
Witney | England | Liberal Democrats | Charlotte Hoagland | Conservative | Robert Courts | Not elected | |||
Vale of Glamorgan | Wales | Green | Anthony Slaughter | Conservative | Alun Cairns | [22] | Not elected | ||
York Outer | England | Liberal Democrats | Keith Aspden | Conservative | Julian Sturdy | Not elected | |||
Ynys Môn | Wales | Plaid Cymru | Aled ap Dafydd | Labour | Albert Owen | [22] | Not elected |
Pre-election analysis
[edit]Psephologist John Curtice stated that the pact could be critical in "half a dozen" seats that could have otherwise been won by the Conservatives.[25]
An analysis published in the Financial Times attempted to evaluate the potential impact of the pact. This analysis applied uniform regional swing based on polling (as of early November) to the 2017 result to estimate the parties' standings in the seats before the pact, then assumed that voters for parties standing aside would transfer their support as per the pact. The analysis found that in 18 seats the Unite to Remain party would not need the pact in order to win, in 39 the pact would be insufficient to secure victory, and in two (Brecon and Radnorshire and Winchester) the pact would make the critical difference between winning and losing for the Unite to Remain party.[26]
Other pro-Remain arrangements
[edit]In addition to the Unite to Remain pact, the Liberal Democrats did not stand candidates against the following anti-Brexit or "soft Brexit" supporting incumbents:
- Dominic Grieve (independent), Beaconsfield[27]
- Gavin Shuker (independent), Luton South[28]
- Anna Soubry (The Independent Group for Change), Broxtowe[29]
All failed to be elected.
In Canterbury, the original Liberal Democrat candidate (Tim Walker) stood down in aid of the Labour incumbent Rosie Duffield, but the Lib Dems stood a replacement candidate.[30] Duffield retained her seat.
In Northern Ireland, Sinn Féin, the SDLP and the Green Party in Northern Ireland all stood aside in certain constituencies to increase the chances of anti-Brexit candidates.[31]
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ "Gwil #FBPE #RevokeA50 #UniteToRemain 🚥 🌏 (@Better_Gov) | Twitter". twitter.com.
- ^ "The Guardian view on the Unite to Remain pact: a response to a failed system | Editorial". The Guardian. 7 November 2019. Retrieved 7 November 2019.
- ^ Nixon, Matthew (7 November 2019). "Polling expert John Curtice makes prediction about Remain pact". The New European. Retrieved 7 November 2019.
- ^ Hymas, Charles (7 November 2019). "Tories seek electoral watchdog inquiry into Remain electoral pact that threatens their seats". The Telegraph. Retrieved 7 November 2019.
- ^ "Unite to Remain agreement". Liberal Democrats. 7 November 2019. Retrieved 7 November 2019.
- ^ Proctor, Kate (7 November 2019). "Lib Dems, Greens and Plaid Cymru reveal remain election pact". The Guardian. Retrieved 7 November 2019.
- ^ Devlin, Kate (4 July 2019). "Remain by-election pact could cut new PM's majority to three". The Times. ISSN 0140-0460. Retrieved 10 November 2019.
- ^ "'Surely now he has to listen?' Newly-elected MP Jane Dodds says she will challenge PM to take no deal off table". ITV News. 2 August 2019. Retrieved 10 November 2019.
- ^ "Hopes grow for General Election 'Remain Alliance' following Brecon and Radnorshire by-election". Left Foot Forward. 2 August 2019. Retrieved 10 November 2019.
- ^ "Green Party responds to announcement of formation of Unite for Remain | The Green Party". www.greenparty.org.uk. Retrieved 10 November 2019.
- ^ Tidey, Alice (7 November 2019). "'Unite to Remain': UK parties form anti-Brexit election pact". euronews. Retrieved 8 November 2019.
- ^ a b Rea, Ailbhe (7 November 2019). "A guide to the Remain pact between the Liberal Democrats, Plaid Cymru and the Greens". New Statesman. Retrieved 9 November 2019.
- ^ Walker, Peter; Stewart, Heather (6 November 2019). "Lib Dems, Plaid Cymru and Greens to launch pro-remain pact". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 9 November 2019.
- ^ "View registration – Unite to Remain". The Electoral Commission. Retrieved 10 November 2019.
- ^ "Unite to Remain agreement". Liberal Democrats. 7 November 2019. Retrieved 10 November 2019.
- ^ Allen, Heidi (13 November 2019). "Thank you @RenewParty ! This is what country first politics looks like https://twitter.com/renewparty/status/1194570741410344960 …". @heidiallen75. Retrieved 14 November 2019.
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- ^ a b c d e "The seats in Wales that are part of the 'Remain Alliance' pact". ITV News. 7 November 2019. Retrieved 7 November 2019.
- ^ a b Salisbury, Josh (7 November 2019). "General Election 2019: 'Unite to Remain' pact agreed in Bermondsey & Old Southwark and Dulwich & West Norwood". Southwark News. Retrieved 7 November 2019.
- ^ le Duc, Frank (7 November 2019). "Brighton Pavilion Lib Dem candidate stands down for second election running". Brighton and Hove News. Retrieved 7 November 2019.
- ^ Cork, Tristan; Rogers, Alexandra (7 November 2019). "Lib Dems will not field a candidate in Bristol West". Bristol Post. Retrieved 7 November 2019.
- ^ Dean, Sam (7 November 2019). "Liberal Democrat candidate 'grateful' The Green Party is stepping aside in Buckingham". Buckingham Today. Retrieved 7 November 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f "The seats in Wales that are part of the 'Remain Alliance' pact". ITV News. 7 November 2019. Retrieved 8 November 2019.
- ^ Lloyd, Howard (7 November 2019). "Liberal Democrats reveal they will not contest Exeter at general election". Devon Live. Retrieved 7 November 2019.
- ^ Gardner, Gemma (7 November 2019). "General Election 2019: Green Party step aside for Liberal Democrats in Unite to Remain agreement". Cambridge Independent. Retrieved 7 November 2019.
- ^ Nixon, Matthew. "Polling expert John Curtice makes prediction about Remain pact". The New European. Retrieved 10 November 2019.
- ^ Payne, Sebastian; Stabe, Martin (7 November 2019). "Three anti-Brexit parties launch election pact in 60 seats". Financial Times. Retrieved 8 November 2019.
- ^ Jones, Amy (30 October 2019). "Lib Dems will stand aside for Dominic Grieve, as polling predicts a Boris Johnson majority". The Telegraph. ISSN 0307-1235. Retrieved 8 November 2019.
- ^ "Luton Liberal Democrats Put Country Before Party By Standing Down In Luton South For Pro-Remain Independent – Luton Liberal Democrats". www.lutonlibdems.org.uk. Retrieved 9 November 2019.
- ^ Sandeman, Kit (7 November 2019). "Lib Dems will not stand in Broxtowe against Anna Soubry, party confirms". Nottingham Post. Retrieved 9 November 2019.
- ^ Francis, Paul (13 November 2019). "General Election 2019: Liberal Democrats line up new candidate Claire Malcolmson to replace Tim Walker in Canterbury". Kent Online. Retrieved 15 November 2019.
- ^ Rory Carroll (4 November 2019). "Sinn Féin to stand aside for remain candidates in three constituencies". The Guardian. Retrieved 8 November 2019.
External links
[edit]- Official website (Archived site, 13 December 2019)