![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d1/Natural_increase%2C_2017_CIA_World_Factbook.svg/400px-Natural_increase%2C_2017_CIA_World_Factbook.svg.png)
≥ 30 25 – 29.99 20 – 24.99 15 – 19.99 | 10 – 14.99 5 – 9.99 0 – 4.99 -5 – -0.01 | < -5 Data unavailable |
This article contains a list of countries by rate of natural increase.
Methodology[edit]
The rate of natural increase (RNI) is defined as the birth rate minus the death rate. It is typically expressed either as a number per 1,000 individuals in the population or as a percentage. RNI can be either positive or negative. It contrasts to total population change by ignoring net migration.
Countries and subnational areas[edit]
The birth rates[1] and death rates[2] in columns one and two are the CIA World Factbook estimates for the year 2022 unless otherwise noted, rounded to the nearest tenth (except for Mayotte and the Falkland Islands with 2010 and 2012 estimates respectively). The natural increase rate in column three is calculated from the rounded values of columns one and two. Rates are the average annual number of births or deaths during a year per 1,000 persons; these are also known as crude birth or death rates.
Column four is from the UN Population Division [3] and shows a projection for the average natural increase rate for the time period shown using the medium fertility variant. Blank cells in column four indicate lack of data.
- Note: Rates below are per 1000 population.
- Location links are Demographics of LOCATION links.
Location | Crude birth rate | Crude death rate | Natural increase rate | Natural increase rate (2015–20)[4] |
---|---|---|---|---|
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47.1 | 9.9 | 37.2 | 37.9 |
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40.9 | 5.0 | 35.9 | 31.8 |
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41.8 | 8.0 | 33.8 | 32.6 |
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41.2 | 8.0 | 33.2 | 27.4 |
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41.1 | 8.5 | 32.6 | 32.0 |
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40.1 | 7.9 | 32.2 | 31.8 |
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38.76[n 1] | 7.05 | 31.71 | 25.6 |
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40.5 | 9.5 | 31.0 | 30.2 |
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36.6 | 6.6 | 30.0 | 25.6 |
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35.2 | 6.0 | 29.2 | 31.2 |
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36.5 | 7.5 | 29.0 | 25.7 |
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34.9 | 6.1 | 28.8 | 29.7 |
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33.3 | 5.1 | 28.2 | 30.4 |
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37.7 | 9.5 | 28.2 | 24.6 |
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35.5 | 7.7 | 27.8 | 26.3 |
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35.7 | 8.1 | 27.6 | 26.0 |
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37.5 | 10.3 | 27.2 | 29.1 |
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33.5 | 6.3 | 27.2 | 25.1 |
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31.9 | 5.3 | 26.6 | 24.8 |
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31.5 | 5.1 | 26.4 | 28.9 |
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38.0 | 11.6 | 26.4 | 30.9 |
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33.6 | 7.7 | 25.9 | 29.9 |
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34.2 | 8.7 | 25.5 | 26.1 |
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30.9 | 5.6 | 25.3 | |
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30.5 | 5.7 | 24.8 | 25.9 |
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27.7 | 2.9 | 24.8 | |
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33.1 | 8.8 | 24.3 | 22.8 |
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29.0 | 5.5 | 23.5 | 19.8 |
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31.8 | 8.4 | 23.4 | 26.3 |
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27.9 | 4.6 | 23.3 | 27.5 |
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35.5 | 12.3 | 23.2 | 26.3 |
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28.8 | 5.8 | 23.0 | 30.8 |
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32.2 | 9.3 | 22.9 | 21.8 |
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28.7 | 6.0 | 22.7 | 26.7 |
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28.6 | 6.1 | 22.5 | 22.2 |
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28.2 | 6.2 | 22.0 | 26.9 |
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26.4 | 5.0 | 21.4 | 23.4 |
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32.8 | 11.8 | 21.0 | 23.0 |
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24.4 | 3.4 | 21.0 | |
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30.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 24.0 |
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24.7 | 3.9 | 20.8 | 24.3 |
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28.3 | 7.6 | 20.7 | 25.7 |
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28.1 | 7.4 | 20.7 | 26.6 |
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26.4 | 5.9 | 20.5 | 26.8 |
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26.5 | 6.0 | 20.5 | 21.5 |
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26.0 | 5.7 | 20.3 | 25.1 |
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27.0 | 6.7 | 20.3 | 23.4 |
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22.6 | 3.5 | 19.1 | 18.2 |
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24.6 | 5.6 | 19.0 | 24.7 |
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22.1 | 3.2 | 18.9 | 17.2 |
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22.7 | 4.0 | 18.7 | 28.5 |
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22.7 | 4.2 | 18.5 | |
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25.0 | 6.9 | 18.1 | 20.6 |
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21.6 | 3.5 | 18.1 | 13.9 |
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22.0 | 4.3 | 17.7 | |
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21.6 | 4.0 | 17.6 | 24.5 |
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22.3 | 4.9 | 17.4 | 20.0 |
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21.3 | 3.9 | 17.4 | 16.8 |
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21.5 | 4.3 | 17.2 | 20.7 |
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22.5 | 6.6 | 15.9 | 24.8 |
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22.3 | 6.4 | 15.9 | 14.7 |
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17.8 | 2.3 | 15.5 | 11.7 |
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20.3 | 5.0 | 15.3 | 17.3 |
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22.3 | 7.1 | 15.2 | 14.6 |
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20.7 | 5.7 | 15.0 | 26.3 |
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21.1 | 6.3 | 14.8 | |
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22.7 | 8.0 | 14.7 | |
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20.9 | 6.4 | 14.5 | |
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18.5 | 4.3 | 14.2 | 20.0 |
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18.4 | 4.2 | 14.2 | 16.3 |
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21.1 | 7.2 | 13.9 | 16.0 |
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19.2 | 5.4 | 13.8 | 19.3 |
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23.4 | 9.7 | 13.7 | 10.8 |
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19.3 | 5.8 | 13.5 | 16.7 |
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19.5 | 6.1 | 13.4 | 18.7 |
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17.9 | 4.7 | 13.2 | 17.4 |
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20.1 | 6.9 | 13.2 | 21.7 |
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18.5 | 5.8 | 12.7 | |
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18.6 | 6.0 | 12.6 | 11.4 |
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17.4 | 5.1 | 12.3 | 15.1 |
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16.1 | 3.8 | 12.3 | 10.6 |
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17.7 | 5.5 | 12.2 | 12.8 |
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18.6 | 6.5 | 12.1 | 15.1 |
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23.2 | 11.1 | 12.1 | 12.7 |
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17.9 | 5.9 | 12.0 | 11.4 |
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17.5 | 5.6 | 11.9 | 13.6 |
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18.0 | 6.1 | 11.9 | 14.0 |
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18.0 | 6.3 | 11.7 | 13.6 |
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17.5 | 6.0 | 11.5 | 16.9 |
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16.3 | 4.9 | 11.4 | 15.2 |
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15.5 | 4.2 | 11.3 | 11.6 |
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16.5 | 5.2 | 11.3 | 15.8 |
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16.5 | 5.2 | 11.3 | 14.8 |
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20.3 | 9.1 | 11.2 | 19.3 |
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17.4 | 6.6 | 10.8 | 14.0 |
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14.2 | 3.4 | 10.8 | 15.5 |
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16.7 | 6.1 | 10.6 | |
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17.3 | 6.8 | 10.5 | 11.1 |
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16.6 | 6.4 | 10.2 | 13.3 |
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15.5 | 5.4 | 10.1 | 16.0 |
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15.3 | 5.2 | 10.1 | 14.2 |
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15.5 | 5.4 | 10.1 | |
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13.5 | 3.5 | 10.0 | |
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15.7 | 5.8 | 9.9 | 10.7 |
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16.7 | 6.9 | 9.8 | 12.6 |
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15.9 | 6.2 | 9.7 | 11.2 |
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12.4 | 2.8 | 9.6 | 11.8 |
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15.8 | 6.3 | 9.5 | 18.1 |
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15.2 | 5.7 | 9.5 | 9.1 |
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14.1 | 4.6 | 9.5 | |
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14.3 | 4.9 | 9.4 | 9.1 |
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18.6 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 11.1 |
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10.8 | 1.6 | 9.2 | 8.9 |
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16.3 | 7.1 | 9.2 | 9.5 |
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14.6 | 5.7 | 8.9 | 11.8 |
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15.4 | 6.6 | 8.8 | 11.3 |
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15.3 | 6.8 | 8.5 | 11.8 |
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15.9 | 7.4 | 8.5 | 8.7 |
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15.6 | 7.3 | 8.3 | 9.5 |
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14.6 | 6.4 | 8.2 | 11.5 |
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14.1 | 5.9 | 8.2 | 8.6 |
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14.6 | 6.4 | 8.2 | 7.3 |
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14.3 | 6.1 | 8.2 | 10.8 |
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9.3 | 1.4 | 7.9 | 8.5 |
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13.5 | 5.6 | 7.9 | 9.2 |
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13.1 | 5.6 | 7.5 | 13.3 |
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15.2 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 9.5 |
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12.0 | 4.6 | 7.4 | |
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13.8 | 6.5 | 7.3 | 9.4 |
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15.4 | 8.1 | 7.3 | 14.2 |
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14.0 | 6.8 | 7.2 | 7.7 |
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14.9 | 8.1 | 6.8 | |
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13.6 | 6.9 | 6.7 | 8.7 |
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16.8 | 10.3 | 6.5 | 11.7 |
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12.6 | 6.1 | 6.5 | |
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12.3 | 5.8 | 6.5 | |
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13.0 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 5.4 |
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14.9 | 8.6 | 6.3 | |
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12.8 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 6.3 |
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10.9 | 4.9 | 6.0 | |
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17.2 | 11.3 | 5.9 | 12.6 |
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12.8 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 5.7 |
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13.6 | 7.7 | 5.9 | 11.8 |
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13.9 | 8.1 | 5.8 | |
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11.7 | 6.0 | 5.7 | |
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13.9 | 8.3 | 5.6 | |
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12.3 | 6.7 | 5.6 | 7.0 |
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11.0 | 5.4 | 5.6 | |
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12.3 | 6.8 | 5.5 | 6.3 |
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12.4 | 6.9 | 5.5 | 9.0 |
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12.7 | 7.3 | 5.4 | 4.0 |
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13.9 | 8.8 | 5.1 | |
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9.1 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 4.3 |
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10.9 | 5.9 | 5.0 | |
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12.2 | 7.3 | 4.9 | |
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13.8 | 9.0 | 4.8 | |
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12.3 | 7.5 | 4.8 | |
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14.2 | 9.5 | 4.7 | |
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12.4 | 7.8 | 4.6 | |
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13.2 | 8.7 | 4.5 | |
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11.6 | 7.2 | 4.4 | 3.5 |
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9.1 | 4.7 | 4.4 | |
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12.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.1 |
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12.0 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 5.0 |
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12.3 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 3.3 |
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10.6 | 6.9 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
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12.7 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
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12.6 | 9.1 | 3.5 | |
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11.5 | 8.3 | 3.2 | |
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11.8 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
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10.8 | 8.0 | 2.8 | 3.1 |
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11.6 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 3.3 |
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10.8 | 8.4 | 2.4 | 4.8 |
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10.1 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 2.9 |
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10.3 | 8.0 | 2.3 | |
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11.7 | 9.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
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10.2 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 2.7 |
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9.9 | 7.9 | 2.0 | 4.8 |
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10.4 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
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11.0 | 9.1 | 1.9 | |
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11.0 | 9.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
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10.8 | 9.1 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
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11.2 | 9.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
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11.1 | 9.5 | 1.6 | 4.3 |
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10.8 | 9.5 | 1.3 | 2.7 |
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11.0 | 9.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
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9.3 | 8.1 | 1.2 | |
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9.7 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
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9.9 | 8.9 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
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11.2 | 10.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
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10.5 | 9.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
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10.1 | 9.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
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9.8 | 9.2 | 0.6 | |
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10.6 | 10.2 | 0.4 | |
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9.3 | 9.0 | 0.3 | |
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11.0 | 10.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
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8.9 | 8.8 | 0.1 | |
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10.4 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
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8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 |
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6.9 | 7.1 | -0.2 | 1.5 |
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9.5 | 9.9 | -0.4 | 0.1 |
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7.4 | 7.9 | -0.5 | 0.9 |
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6.9 | 7.9 | -1.0 | |
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8.9 | 10.1 | -1.2 | 0.6 |
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8.4 | 10.3 | -1.9 | -2.4 |
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7.9 | 9.8 | -1.9 | -2.0 |
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8.3 | 10.4 | -2.1 | -0.2 |
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8.6 | 10.7 | -2.1 | |
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8.5 | 10.7 | -2.2 | -0.2 |
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10.2 | 12.5 | -2.3 | -1.5 |
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9.1 | 12.0 | -2.9 | -1.7 |
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8.0 | 10.9 | -2.9 | -2.8 |
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7.1 | 10.2 | -3.1 | -0.5 |
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9.1 | 12.9 | -3.8 | -0.7 |
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9.5 | 13.4 | -3.9 | 0.1 |
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6.7 | 10.7 | -4.0 | |
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8.7 | 12.9 | -4.2 | |
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8.7 | 12.9 | -4.2 | -3.0 |
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8.8 | 13.1 | -4.3 | -1.3 |
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7.0 | 11.3 | -4.3 | -2.8 |
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7.6 | 12.0 | -4.4 | -3.0 |
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7.0 | 11.6 | -4.6 | -2.9 |
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6.5 | 11.2 | -4.7 | |
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9.0 | 13.8 | -4.8 | -5.6 |
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9.3 | 15.1 | -5.8 | -3.2 |
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8.7 | 14.7 | -6.0 | -3.8 |
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8.1 | 14.4 | -6.3 | -6.4 |
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8.8 | 15.3 | -6.5 | -3.2 |
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9.4 | 16.4 | -7.0 | -4.9 |
Summary by region[edit]
The table below assembles history and projections for the major regions shown. The numbers show total births minus total deaths per 1,000 population for the region for each time period. The first four columns show actual rate of natural increase. The remaining columns show projections using the medium fertility variant. All numbers are from the UN Population Division.[4]
Region | 1950– |
1970– |
1990– |
2010– |
2015– |
2025– |
2035– |
2045– |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
World | +17.8 | +19.5 | +15.2 | +11.9 | +10.9 | +8.7 | +7.0 | +5.6 |
Africa | +21.5 | +27.4 | +26.1 | +26.4 | +25.3 | +22.8 | +20.6 | +18.1 |
Asia | +19.3 | +22.8 | +16.4 | +10.7 | +9.3 | +6.3 | +3.8 | +1.8 |
Europe | +10.3 | +5.5 | +0.3 | −0.1 | −0.7 | −2.1 | −2.8 | −3.2 |
Latin America & The Caribbean | +27.1 | +25.8 | +19.0 | +11.9 | +10.4 | +7.5 | +4.9 | +2.8 |
Northern America | +14.9 | +6.4 | +6.6 | +4.2 | +4.2 | +3.5 | +2.0 | +1.1 |
Oceania | +15.7 | +14.5 | +12.2 | +10.5 | +9.7 | +8.0 | +6.4 | +5.3 |
See also[edit]
Notes[edit]
References[edit]
- ^ "The World Factbook — Central Intelligence Agency". www.cia.gov. Archived from the original on November 2, 2022.
- ^ "The World Factbook — Central Intelligence Agency". www.cia.gov. Archived from the original on October 27, 2022.
- ^ "World Population Prospects 2019". United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs.
- ^ a b ""United Nations Population Div, World Population Prospects 2017, File: Rate of Natural Population Growth Rate". Archived from the original on 27 September 2016. Retrieved 23 June 2018.