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Academics, members of Parliament, the general public and journalists alike have attempted to rank prime ministers of the United Kingdom. Those included below generally consist of only a subset of prime ministers, typically those of the 20th century or those who served after the Second World War.
Academic opinion
[edit]In December 1999 a BBC Radio 4 poll of 20 prominent historians, politicians and commentators for The Westminster Hour produced the verdict that Churchill was the best British prime minister of the 20th century, with Lloyd George in second place and Clement Attlee in third place. As Blair was still in office he was not ranked. The worst prime minister in that survey was judged to be Anthony Eden.[1]
In 2004, the University of Leeds and Ipsos Mori conducted an online survey of 258 academics who specialised in 20th-century British history and/or politics. There were 139 replies to the survey, a return rate of 54% – by far the most extensive survey done so far.[citation needed] The respondents were asked, among other historical questions, to rate all the 20th-century prime ministers in terms of their success and asking them to assess the key characteristics of successful ones. Respondents were asked to indicate on a scale of 0 to 10 how successful or unsuccessful they considered each prime minister to have been in office (with 0 being highly unsuccessful and 10 highly successful). A mean of the scores was calculated and a league table based on the mean scores.[2] The five Labour prime ministers were, on average, judged to have been the most successful, with a mean of 6.0 (median of 5.9). The three Liberals averaged 5.8 (median of 6.2) and the twelve Conservatives 4.8 (median of 4.1).
In a 2006 issue of BBC History, historian Francis Beckett ranked the 20th-century prime ministers with points out of five in 2006, based on how well the leaders implemented their policies – not on the policies themselves. Margaret Thatcher and Clement Attlee shared the highest ranking.[3]
In 2010, the University of Leeds and Woodnewton Associates carried out a survey of 106 academics who specialised in British politics or British history, to rank the performance of all 12 prime ministers who served between 1945 and 2010. Churchill's ranking was thus determined from his second term only.[4][5]
In October 2016 the University of Leeds, in conjunction with Woodnewton Associates, surveyed 82 academics specialising in post-1945 British history and politics, following the Brexit referendum. Due to the date range, Churchill's oft-lauded war ministry and caretaker ministry were not in contention and he was judged solely on his second premiership.[6]
In June 2021 the University of Leeds, again with Woodnewton Associates, surveyed 93 academics specialising in British politics and modern British history to rank the performance of post-war prime ministers from Churchill to Theresa May.[7][8]
The following table collects these surveys, although they are not all comparable.
Key:
- blue background indicates a rank within the first quartile of its respective ranking
- green background indicates a rank within the second quartile of its respective ranking
- yellow background indicates a rank within the third quartile of its respective ranking
- orange background indicates a rank within the fourth quartile of its respective ranking
- yellow-green background indicates a median which does not fall into any quartile, used when the total number of figures ranked is not a multiple of four
Prime Minister | Party | Tenure | BBC Radio 4 1999[1]
|
University of Leeds/Ipsos Mori 2004[2]
|
University of Leeds 2010[5]
|
University of Leeds 2016[6]
|
University of Leeds 2021[8]
| |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Marquess of Salisbury | Conservative | 1885–1886 1886–1892 1895–1902 |
07[a] | 10[a] | 03[a] | – | – | – |
Arthur Balfour | Conservative | 1902–1905 | 16 | 18 | 04 | – | – | – |
Henry Campbell-Bannerman | Liberal | 1905–1908 | 09 | 11 | 02 | – | – | – |
H. H. Asquith | Liberal | 1908–1916 | 04 | 07 | 03 | – | – | – |
David Lloyd George | Liberal | 1916–1922 | 02 | 03 | 03 | – | – | – |
Bonar Law | Conservative | 1922–1923 | 13 | 16 | 05 | – | – | – |
Stanley Baldwin | Conservative | 1923–1924 1924–1929 1935–1937 |
08 | 08 | 03 | – | – | – |
Ramsay MacDonald | Labour National Labour |
1924 1929–1935 |
14 | 14 | 05 | – | – | – |
Neville Chamberlain | Conservative | 1937–1940 | 18 | 17 | 06 | – | – | – |
Winston Churchill | Conservative | 1940–1945 1951–1955 |
01 | 02 | 02 | 06[b] | 07[b] | 07=[b] |
Clement Attlee | Labour | 1945–1951 | 03 | 01 | 01 | 01 | 01 | 01 |
Anthony Eden | Conservative | 1955–1957 | 19 | 20 | 06 | 12 | 13 | 13= |
Harold Macmillan | Conservative | 1957–1963 | 06 | 05 | 02 | 04 | 04 | 05 |
Alec Douglas-Home | Conservative | 1963–1964 | 15 | 19 | 05 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Harold Wilson | Labour | 1964–1970 1974–1976 |
10 | 09 | 03 | 05 | 05 | 04 |
Edward Heath | Conservative | 1970–1974 | 11 | 13 | 02 | 09 | 09 | 10 |
James Callaghan | Labour | 1976–1979 | 12 | 12 | 04 | 07 | 08 | 07= |
Margaret Thatcher | Conservative | 1979–1990 | 05 | 04 | 01 | 02 | 02 | 02 |
John Major | Conservative | 1990–1997 | 17 | 15 | 05 | 08 | 06 | 07= |
Tony Blair | Labour | 1997–2007 | – | 06 [c] | 03[c] | 03 | 03 | 03 |
Gordon Brown | Labour | 2007–2010 | – | – | – | 10 | 10 | 06 |
David Cameron | Conservative | 2010–2016 | – | – | – | – | 11 | 11 |
Theresa May | Conservative | 2016–2019 | – | – | – | – | – | 13= |
Opinion of members of Parliament
[edit]In 2013, a group of academic staff and students at Royal Holloway, University of London, conducted a postal survey of British members of Parliament, asking them to evaluate the success of post-war British prime ministers. Some 158 MPs replied to the survey, a response rate of 24%. The respondents were 69 Conservatives, 67 Labour MPs, 14 Liberal Democrats and 8 MPs from other parties.[9]
The survey used the same question employed in the 2004 and 2010 University of Leeds studies: MPs were asked how successful or unsuccessful they considered each prime minister to have been using a 0 to 10 scale, where 0 meant highly unsuccessful and 10 meant highly successful.
Overall, MPs rated Margaret Thatcher as the most successful post-war prime minister, just ahead of Clement Attlee. With the exception of Edward Heath, who was judged more favourably by Labour MPs than by Conservatives, evaluations were split along party lines: Conservative MPs tended to consider Conservative prime ministers to be more successful than did Labour MPs, and Labour MPs generally gave Labour prime ministers higher scores than did Conservative MPs.
In 2023 the survey was redone with 65 correspondences.
Key:
- blue background indicates a rank within the first quartile of its respective ranking
- green background indicates a rank within the second quartile of its respective ranking
- yellow background indicates a rank within the third quartile of its respective ranking
- orange background indicates a rank within the fourth quartile of its respective ranking
- yellow-green background indicates a median which does not fall into any quartile, used when the total number of figures ranked is not a multiple of four
Prime Minister | Party | Tenure | 2013[9]
|
2023[10]
|
---|---|---|---|---|
Winston Churchill | Conservative | (1940–1945) 1951–1955 |
04[b] | 04[b] |
Clement Attlee | Labour | 1945–1951 | 02 | 02 |
Anthony Eden | Conservative | 1955–1957 | 11 | 15 |
Harold Macmillan | Conservative | 1957–1963 | 05 | 06 |
Alec Douglas-Home | Conservative | 1963–1964 | 10 | 14 |
Harold Wilson | Labour | 1964–1970 1974–1976 |
06 | 05 |
Edward Heath | Conservative | 1970–1974 | 09 | 12 |
James Callaghan | Labour | 1976–1979 | 08 | 10 |
Margaret Thatcher | Conservative | 1979–1990 | 01 | 01 |
John Major | Conservative | 1990–1997 | 07 | 08 |
Tony Blair | Labour | 1997–2007 | 03 | 03 |
Gordon Brown | Labour | 2007–2010 | 12 | 09 |
David Cameron | Conservative | 2010–2016 | – | 07 |
Theresa May | Conservative | 2016–2019 | – | 13 |
Boris Johnson | Conservative | 2019–2022 | – | 11 |
Liz Truss | Conservative | 2022 | – | 16 |
Popular opinion
[edit]BBC polls 2007 and 2008
[edit]The BBC television programme The Daily Politics asked viewers in 2007 to select their favourite prime minister out of a list of ten who served between 1945 and 2007 (excluding Churchill).[11] In 2008, BBC Newsnight held a poll of 27,000 people, to decide the UK's greatest and worst post-war prime minister.[12]
Key:
- blue background indicates a rank within the first quartile of its respective ranking
- green background indicates a rank within the second quartile of its respective ranking
- yellow background indicates a rank within the third quartile of its respective ranking
- orange background indicates a rank within the fourth quartile of its respective ranking
- yellow-green background indicates a median which does not fall into any quartile, used when the total number of figures ranked is not a multiple of four
Prime Minister | Party | Tenure | BBC The Daily Politics 2007[11]
|
BBC Newsnight 2008[12]
|
---|---|---|---|---|
Winston Churchill | Conservative | (1940–1945) 1951–1955 |
– | 01[b] |
Clement Attlee | Labour | 1945–1951 | 02 | 02 |
Anthony Eden | Conservative | 1955–1957 | 09 | 11 |
Harold Macmillan | Conservative | 1957–1963 | 06 | 04 |
Alec Douglas-Home | Conservative | 1963–1964 | 08 | 10 |
Harold Wilson | Labour | 1964–1970 1974–1976 |
04 | 05 |
Edward Heath | Conservative | 1970–1974 | 07 | 07 |
James Callaghan | Labour | 1976–1979 | 10 | 09 |
Margaret Thatcher | Conservative | 1979–1990 | 01 | 03 |
John Major | Conservative | 1990–1997 | 05 | 08 |
Tony Blair | Labour | 1997–2007 | 03[c] | 06 |
Gordon Brown | Labour | 2007–2010 | – | 12[c] |
While the poll indicated that respondents should only consider the period from 1945 onwards, whether or not respondents opted to separate Churchill's first term (1940–45) from his second in their evaluation should be weighed in this evaluation versus other polls (e.g. of academics), who generally rate Churchill's second term as being substantially worse than his first by comparison. Additionally, In a BBC poll to find the 100 Greatest Britons in 2002, five prime ministers were ranked in the top 100. Winston Churchill was voted greatest Briton, the Duke of Wellington was in 15th place, Margaret Thatcher was in 16th place, Tony Blair was 67th and David Lloyd George was 79th.[13]
Journalistic opinion
[edit]Both The Times[14] and Iain Dale[15] have specifically ranked all (or almost all) prime ministers of the United Kingdom and prime ministers of Great Britain.
Key:
- blue background indicates a rank within the first quartile of its respective ranking
- green background indicates a rank within the second quartile of its respective ranking
- yellow background indicates a rank within the third quartile of its respective ranking
- orange background indicates a rank within the fourth quartile of its respective ranking
- yellow-green background indicates a median which does not fall into any quartile, used when the total number of figures ranked is not a multiple of four
Prime Minister | Party | Tenure | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert Walpole | Whig | 1721–1742 | 09 | 14 | 16 | 07 | 10 |
Earl of Wilmington | Whig | 1742–1743 | – | 50 | 51 | 42 | 52 |
Henry Pelham | Whig | 1743–1754 | 29 | 19 | 34 | 20 | 19 |
Duke of Newcastle | Whig | 1754–1756 1757–1762 |
41 | 40 | 32 | 41 | 22 |
Duke of Devonshire | Whig | 1756–1757 | 44 | 35 | 44 | 47 | 53 |
Earl of Bute | Tory | 1762–1763 | 46 | 44 | 49 | 40 | 42 |
George Grenville | Whig | 1763–1765 | 48 | 51 | 48 | 39 | 44 |
Marquess of Rockingham | Whig | 1765–1766 1782 |
32 | 30 | 42 | 38 | 27 |
William Pitt the Elder | Whig | 1766–1768 | 16 | 25 | 14 | 18 | 25 |
Duke of Grafton | Whig | 1768–1770 | 49 | 42 | 50 | 49 | 38 |
Lord North | Tory | 1770–1782 | 50 | 49 | 37 | 44 | 40 |
Earl of Shelburne | Whig | 1782–1783 | 26 | 29 | 41 | 05 | 41 |
Duke of Portland | Whig Tory |
1783 1807–1809 |
39 | 27 | 43 | 37 | 43 |
William Pitt the Younger | Tory | 1783–1801 1804–1806 |
04 | 12 | 05 | 03 | 03 |
Henry Addington | Tory | 1801–1804 | 39 | 36 | 39 | 36 | 26 |
Baron Grenville | Whig | 1806–1807 | 43 | 39 | 40 | 35 | 36 |
Spencer Perceval | Tory | 1809–1812 | 36 | 38 | 47 | 33 | 37 |
Earl of Liverpool | Tory | 1812–1827 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 15 | 20 |
George Canning | Tory | 1827 | 31 | 08 | 36 | 23 | 54 |
Viscount Goderich | Tory | 1827–1828 | – | 37 | 52 | 51 | 55 |
Duke of Wellington | Tory | 1828–1830 1834 |
24 | 18 | 30 | 17 | 33 |
Earl Grey | Whig | 1830–1834 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 06 | 13 |
Viscount Melbourne | Whig | 1834 1835–1841 |
25 | 26 | 21 | 32 | 24 |
Robert Peel | Conservative | 1834–1835 1841–1846 |
06 | 06 | 08 | 08 | 12 |
Lord John Russell | Whig Liberal |
1846–1852 1865–1866 |
21 | 15 | 29 | 14 | 18 |
Earl of Derby | Conservative | 1852 1858–1859 1866–1868 |
18 | 23 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
Earl of Aberdeen | Peelite | 1852–1855 | 42 | 41 | 31 | 43 | 39 |
Viscount Palmerston | Whig Liberal |
1855–1858 1859–1865 |
13 | 11 | 20 | 11 | 17 |
Benjamin Disraeli | Conservative | 1868 1874–1880 |
10 | 07 | 06 | 09 | 08 |
William Ewart Gladstone | Liberal | 1868–1874 1880–1885 1886 1892–1894 |
03 | 04 | 02 | 04 | 02 |
Marquess of Salisbury | Conservative | 1885–1886 1886–1892 1895–1902 |
11 | 10 | 12 | 25 | 09 |
Earl of Rosebery | Liberal | 1894–1895 | 45 | 46 | 46 | 50 | 46 |
Arthur Balfour | Conservative | 1902–1905 | 30 | 28 | 38 | 31 | 31 |
Henry Campbell-Bannerman | Liberal | 1905–1908 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 30 | 23 |
H. H. Asquith | Liberal | 1908–1916 | 11 | 21 | 09 | 26 | 07 |
David Lloyd George | Liberal | 1916–1922 | 02 | 02 | 03 | 02 | 06 |
Bonar Law | Conservative | 1922–1923 | 34 | 47 | 35 | 24 | 49 |
Stanley Baldwin | Conservative | 1923–1924 1924–1929 1935–1937 |
14 | 20 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
Ramsay MacDonald | Labour National Labour |
1924 1929–1935 |
33 | 48 | 33 | 29 | 30 |
Neville Chamberlain | Conservative | 1937–1940 | 35 | 45 | 28 | 52 | 47 |
Winston Churchill | Conservative | 1940–1945 1951–1955 |
01 | 01 | 01 | 01 | 01 |
Clement Attlee | Labour | 1945–1951 | 07 | 05 | 07 | 22 | 05 |
Anthony Eden | Conservative | 1955–1957 | 47 | 43 | 45 | 48 | 51 |
Harold Macmillan | Conservative | 1957–1963 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 21 | 21 |
Alec Douglas-Home | Conservative | 1963–1964 | 36 | 32 | 27 | 34 | 48 |
Harold Wilson | Labour | 1964–1970 1974–1976 |
20 | 33 | 17 | 19 | 15 |
Edward Heath | Conservative | 1970–1974 | 23 | 13 | 18 | 46 | 35 |
James Callaghan | Labour | 1976–1979 | 27 | 31 | 24 | 27 | 34 |
Margaret Thatcher | Conservative | 1979–1990 | 05 | 03 | 04 | 10 | 04 |
John Major | Conservative | 1990–1997 | 28 | 16 | 23 | 28 | 28 |
Tony Blair | Labour | 1997–2007 | 16 | 34 | 15 | 12 | 14 |
Gordon Brown | Labour | 2007–2010 | 36[d] | 52 [d] | 25 [d] | 45 [d] | 32 |
David Cameron | Conservative | 2010–2016 | – | – | – | – | 29 |
Theresa May | Conservative | 2016–2019 | – | – | – | – | 50 |
Boris Johnson | Conservative | 2019–2022 | – | – | – | – | 45 [c] |
See also
[edit]- Other countries
- Historical rankings of prime ministers of Australia
- Historical rankings of prime ministers of Canada
- Historical rankings of chancellors of Germany
- Historical rankings of prime ministers of the Netherlands
- Historical rankings of presidents of the United States
Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c Ranking might only cover the Marquess of Salisbury's premiership after 1900 or between 1895 and 1902, not between 1885 and 1886 or 1886 and 1892.
- ^ a b c d e f Ranking only covers Winston Churchill's premiership between 1951 and 1955, not between 1940 and 1945.
- ^ a b c d e Ranking completed while the prime minister was in office.
- ^ a b c d Ranking may have been completed while the prime minister was in office.
References
[edit]- ^ a b "Churchill, 'Greatest' PM of 20th Century", BBC Politics, 4 January 2000, archived from the original on 29 October 2005, retrieved 23 May 2007
- ^ a b Rating British Prime Ministers, Ipsos MORI, archived from the original on 25 November 2015, retrieved 24 November 2015
- ^ a b Thatcher and Attlee top PM list, BBC News, 29 August 2006, archived from the original on 14 July 2007, retrieved 24 September 2007
- ^ Academics rate Brown one of the worst post 1945 PMs, University of Leeds, archived from the original on 4 November 2010, retrieved 9 January 2011
- ^ a b "Gordon Brown 'third worst PM since 1945', poll of historians finds", The Daily Telegraph, 3 August 2010, archived from the original on 6 August 2010, retrieved 9 January 2011
- ^ a b "David Cameron rated third worst Prime Minister since end of World War Two", The Independent, 12 October 2016, archived from the original on 20 December 2016, retrieved 18 December 2016
- ^ "Professor Kevin Theakston co-authors article ranking post-war Prime Ministers". University of Leeds. 7 July 2021. Retrieved 11 August 2023.
- ^ a b "Theresa May joint worst post-war prime minister, say historians and politics professors in new survey", The Conversation, 6 July 2021
- ^ a b "The prime ministerial ratings game: a parliamentary perspective", Politics Blog, 5 May 2015, archived from the original on 6 October 2016, retrieved 27 September 2016
- ^ Royal Holloway Group PR3710 (21 February 2024). "The Good, the Not so Good, and Liz Truss: MPs ' Evaluations of Postwar Prime Ministers". The Political Quarterly. doi:10.1111/1467-923X.13364. ISSN 0032-3179.
{{cite journal}}
: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ a b Your Favourite Prime Minister, 13 June 2007, archived from the original on 11 September 2007, retrieved 8 August 2021
- ^ a b BBC Newsnight poll, BBC News, 1 October 2008, archived from the original on 4 October 2008, retrieved 8 August 2021
- ^ "100 Great Britons", BBC History, archived from the original on 14 May 2006, retrieved 23 May 2007
- ^ a b "The Times's Top 50 Prime Ministers", timesonline.co.uk, retrieved 23 July 2016[permanent dead link]
- ^ a b Dale, Iain (12 November 2020). "Ranking 55 Prime Ministers". Archived from the original on 15 May 2021. Retrieved 9 June 2021.
- ^ "Matthew Parris: my top 50 Prime Ministers", timesonline.co.uk, retrieved 23 July 2016[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Peter Riddell: my top 50 Prime Ministers", timesonline.co.uk, retrieved 23 July 2016[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Ben Macintyre: My top 50 Prime Ministers", timesonline.co.uk, retrieved 23 July 2016[permanent dead link]
Further reading
[edit]- Buller, Jim; James, Toby S. (2012), "Statecraft and the Assessment of National Political Leaders: The Case of New Labour and Tony Blair" (PDF), British Journal of Politics & International Relations, 14 (4): 534–555, doi:10.1111/j.1467-856x.2011.00471.x, S2CID 145373340
- Kaarbo, Juliet; Hermann, Margaret G. (1998), "Leadership styles of prime ministers: How individual differences affect the foreign policymaking process", The Leadership Quarterly, 9 (3): 243–263, doi:10.1016/s1048-9843(98)90029-7
- Royal Holloway Group (2015), "British MPs on British PMs: Parliamentary Evaluations of Prime Ministerial Success", Politics, 35 (2): 111–127, doi:10.1111/1467-9256.12074, S2CID 219971622, PR3710
- Strangio, Paul; et al. (2013), Understanding Prime-Ministerial Performance: Comparative Perspectives, Oxford UP, pp. 224, 226, ISBN 978-0-19-966642-3
- Theakston, Kevin; Gill, Mark (2006), "Rating 20th‐Century British Prime Ministers", British Journal of Politics & International Relations, 8 (2): 193–213, doi:10.1111/j.1467-856x.2006.00220.x, S2CID 145216328
- Theakston, Kevin; Gill, Mark (2011), "The postwar premiership league" (PDF), Political Quarterly, 82 (1): 67–80, doi:10.1111/j.1467-923x.2011.02170.x
External links
[edit]- The British Politics Group, 7 July 2000, archived from the original on 16 August 2000, retrieved 23 May 2007