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→‎How it is supposed to go: Largely unsourced and speculative
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Work is scheduled to begin in September 2020.<ref name="roll call"/>
Work is scheduled to begin in September 2020.<ref name="roll call"/>

== How it is supposed to go ==
{{see|United States presidential inauguration}}
January 20th is on a Wednesday this time, so the alternative plans for a Sunday, such as was done in 1985 and 2013, will not have to be used. Numerous [[conspiracy theories]] and worst-case scenarios have been proffered by the press and the major candidates starting in the late summer as to how this event could be disrupted.

===President Trump is re-elected===
[[File:Donald Trump swearing in ceremony.jpg|left|thumb|Donald Trump swearing in ceremony, January 2017]]
Should [[President Trump]]'s re-election be held by the Democrats to be fair and aboveboard, celebrations will start two days before the ceremonies, as guests and spectators will arrive.

On January 20th, the President, First Lady, and his children and grandchildren will attend church, before heading down to the Capitol. They will then be greeted by [[Mike Pence|the Vice President]] and Mrs. Pence, the Republican leadership of Congress, and other dignitaries, and all will then head to the West side of the Capitol building.

At noon, [[Vice President Pence]] will take the oath of office, followed by President Trump, who will give [[United States presidential inauguration#Inaugural address|a formal address to the nation.]] They will then go to a luncheon there before leading the traditional parade.

Once the parade is finished, the first couple will retire to the residence to prepare for the several [[United States presidential inaugural balls|inaugural balls,]] which in each, the first couple will open up the dance floor.

===President Biden takes office===
[[File:Majestic Marching Knights pass presidential review booth 130121-Z-QU230-318.jpg|thumb|The Bidens watch the inaugural parade, January 2013]]
With President Trump having, as early as the summer of 2020, attempted to delegitimize the election<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://apnews.com/3f6b2adcf0b66066195f307e18173b6f|title=AP FACT CHECK: Trump's view of flawed voting is baseless|date=July 30, 2020|website=AP NEWS}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/22/politics/trump-voter-fraud-lies-fact-check/index.html|title=Trump spreads new lies about foreign-backed voter fraud, stoking fears of a 'rigged election' this November|first=Marshall Cohen|last=CNN|website=CNN}}</ref>, many pundits and editorial writers have insisted that [[Joe Biden|former Vice President Biden]] needs to win in a landslide, or near landslide<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jul/17/trump-biden-win-democrat-landslide|title=Trump will cling to power. To get him out, Biden will have to win big &#124; Jonathan Freedland|first=Jonathan|last=Freedland|date=July 17, 2020|via=www.theguardian.com}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/22/opinion/sunday/trump-cheat-biden-2020.html|title=Opinion &#124; Why Biden Needs a Landslide Just to Win|first=Frank|last=Bruni|date=August 22, 2020|via=NYTimes.com}}</ref> in order for the old administration to accept the change of administration.

Should a large enough victory to convince most Republicans, take place. President-elect and Mrs. Biden will move into [[Blair House]] in the week prior to the ceremony, which will be extremely similar to a possible Second Trump inauguration. Ancillary celebrations will most certainly take place.


== How it isn't supposed to go: Conspiracy theories and Worst-case scenarios ==
== How it isn't supposed to go: Conspiracy theories and Worst-case scenarios ==

Revision as of 05:43, 1 September 2020

The 2021 United States presidential inauguration will take place on Wednesday, January 20, 2021. The event will be the 59th presidential inauguration. The winner of the 2020 United States presidential election (either Donald Trump or Joe Biden) will take the oath of office as President on this day, and the winning ticket's running mate (either Mike Pence or Kamala Harris) will take the oath of office as Vice President. Festivities may potentially be curtailed due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.[1]

Either Biden (at 78) or Trump (at 74) taking the oath of office on January 20, 2021, would make one of them the oldest person ever to be sworn in as President, surpassing the record of Reagan (at 73) who sworn in for second term in 1985.

Preparation

In June 2020, both houses of congress appointed a Joint Committee on Inaugural Ceremonies[2] to oversee construction of the platform and other temporary structures that will be necessary for the ceremonies and celebrations.

Work is scheduled to begin in September 2020.[2]

How it isn't supposed to go: Conspiracy theories and Worst-case scenarios

President Trump's attempts in delegitimizing the election should he lose by preemptive accusations of fraud have caused quite a few people to consider what would happen if the President should lose by a margin far less than a landslide.[3]

Joint session of Congress, Electoral Count, 2017

Rosa Brooks, who worked in President Obama's Defense Department, co-founded the Transition Integrity Project, and in June 2020, TIP ran a series of high-level "war gaming" exercises to explore potential election and transition scenarios. August 2020, TIP released an influential report that outlined the four 2020 election crisis scenario planning exercises for the 2020 United States presidential election.[4] The scenarios examined by TIP included a decisive Biden win, a decisive Trump win, a narrow Biden win, and a period of extended uncertainty after the election.[5].

Other academics, such as Lawrence Douglas in his Will He Go?:Trump and the Looming Election Meltdown in 2020 also did this.

The time is limited as the 20th Amendment has cut the original transition by well over a month. The key date is January 6, 2021, when the Vice president counts the electoral votes in front of a joint session of Congress.

The above is governed by the Electoral Count Act of 1887 passed in that year to prevent crises such as that in 1876-77, and while provisions have been used, the act has never been truly put to the test.

Should a crisis last more than a few days, it is possible that no one will have been declared the victor prior to January 20th, and in that case, the Speaker of the House would become acting president, they would be inaugurated. There may be several inaugurations and up to five different people possibly taking the oath of office. These include:

  • Trump/Pence and Biden/Harris taking their oaths at different places simultaneously.

Whether or not any ancillary entertainment will take place is as yet unknown.

References

External links

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