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Elections in South Dakota |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in South Dakota is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. South Dakota voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of South Dakota has three electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
South Dakota is sparsely populated state in the Great Plains, and is a Republican stronghold at both the state and presidential levels. It hasn't voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson carried it in 1964, against the backdrop of his nationwide landslide victory; not even in 1972, when favorite son George McGovern lost his state by a wide margin of 8.6%. South Dakota is widely expected to back Donald Trump again in 2024.
Primary elections
[edit]Democratic primary
[edit]The South Dakota Democratic was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Jersey, and New Mexico.
Republican primary
[edit]The South Dakota Republican primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in Montana, New Jersey, and New Mexico. Under state law, no primary will be held if a candidate runs for a nomination unopposed.[2] As Donald Trump was the only Republican candidate to file for the presidential primary, no popular vote was held.[3]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[4] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[5] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[7] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis[8] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
CNN[9] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
The Economist[10] | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
538[11] | Solid R | June 11, 2024 |
RCP[12] | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,777 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 55% | 26% | 18% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 432 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Emerson College | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 53% | 33% | 14% |
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon[A] | May 10–13, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 31% | 11% | 8% |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in South Dakota
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by South Dakota News Watch & Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota
References
[edit]- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ "2024 Primary Election Candidate List". SD SOS. Retrieved May 22, 2024.
- ^ Coote, Darryl (June 5, 2024). "Biden, Trump snap up more primary victories as key congressional races decided". United Press International. Retrieved June 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
- ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.