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Turnout | 72.1% ![]() | ||||||||||||||||
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Graham: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Harrison: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in South Carolina |
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The 2020 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham won re-election for a fourth term and defeated Democratic nominee Jaime Harrison. Bill Bledsoe was also on the ballot, representing the Constitution Party. The primary elections were held on June 9, 2020.[1]
Despite forecasting throughout the last few months of the race showing a very close race as well as Harrison having record fundraising numbers, Graham defeated Harrison by 54.4% to 44.2% and a margin of 10.2% in the November 3, 2020 general election. Harrison slightly outperformed Democratic nominee Joe Biden in the concurrent presidential election, who lost to President Donald Trump by 11.7% in South Carolina.[2] The election coincidentally saw Graham and his Democratic opponent win approximately the same percentage points as in the 2002 senate race, in which Graham won his first term.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Lindsey Graham, incumbent U.S. senator[3]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Dwayne “Duke” Buckner, attorney and Owner of Buckner Law Firm located in Walterboro[4]
- Michael J. LaPierre, businessman[5]
- Joe Reynolds, Chief Engineer in the U.S. Merchant Marine[6]
Withdrew
[edit]- Johnny Garcia, Air Force veteran[7]
- Peggy Kandies, Charleston art teacher, home decorator, and former IBM employee[8]
- Mark Sloan, Greer minister and manufacturing executive[9][10]
- David Weikle, radio host, U.S. Marine veteran, and candidate for the South Carolina House of Representatives in 2018 (switched to the Libertarian primary)[11][12]
Declined
[edit]- Eric Bolling, former Fox News host[13][14]
- Mark Burns, Easley pastor and former candidate for South Carolina's 4th congressional district in 2018[15]
- Harlan Hill, Republican (formerly Democratic) political consultant and commentator[16]
- John Warren, Greenville businessman and candidate for Governor of South Carolina in 2018[17]
- Carey Wilson[18]
Endorsements
[edit]- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017-2021)[19]
- Mike Pence, 48th vice president of the United States (2017-2021)[20]
- Governors
- Henry McMaster, Governor of South Carolina (2017–present)[21]
- State officials
- Pamela Evette, Lieutenant Governor of South Carolina (2019–present)[21]
- Mark Hammond, Secretary of State of South Carolina (2003–present)[21]
- Curtis Loftis, Treasurer of South Carolina (2011–present)[21]
- Alan Wilson, Attorney General of South Carolina (2011–present)[21]
- Organizations
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Lindsey Graham |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | June 11–14, 2019 | 1,183 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 70% | 4%[b] | 26% |
- with Generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Lindsey Graham |
Generic Republican |
Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | June 11–14, 2019 | 1,183 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 79% | 19% | 2%[c] |
Results
[edit]![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/38/South_Carolina_Senate_Republican_primary%2C_2020.svg/220px-South_Carolina_Senate_Republican_primary%2C_2020.svg.png)
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lindsey Graham (incumbent) | 317,512 | 67.69% | |
Republican | Michael LaPierre | 79,932 | 17.04% | |
Republican | Joe Reynolds | 43,029 | 9.17% | |
Republican | Dwayne "Duke" Buckner | 28,570 | 6.09% | |
Total votes | 469,043 | 100.00% |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jaime Harrison, former chair of the South Carolina Democratic Party and associate chairman of the Democratic National Committee[24]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Gloria Bromell Tinubu, former Georgia state representative, candidate for Lieutenant Governor of South Carolina in 2018, and nominee for South Carolina's 7th congressional district in 2012 and 2014[25] (endorsed Jaime Harrison)[26]
- William Stone, legal researcher[27][28]
- Justin Wooton, activist[29][30]
Declined
[edit]- Mandy Powers Norrell, state representative and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2018 (running for reelection)[31][32]
- Bakari Sellers, political commentator and former state representative[33]
Endorsements
[edit]- Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), former Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[34]
- Joe Biden, 47th vice president of the United States (2009-2017), Democratic nominee for the 2020 United States presidential election.[35]
- Julian Castro, former HUD Secretary (2014–2017), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[36]
- Hillary Clinton, 2016 Democratic nominee for President, Former Secretary of State (2009–2013), former U.S. Senator from New York (2001–2009), former First Lady of the United States (1993–2001), former First Lady of Arkansas (1979–1981, 1983–1992)
- U.S. senators
- Kamala Harris, senator for California (2017–2021), Vice Presidential nominee and former candidate for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[37]
- Cory Booker, senator for New Jersey (2013–present), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[38]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, senator for New York (2009–present), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[39]
- Amy Klobuchar, senator for Minnesota (2007–present), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[40]
- Elizabeth Warren, senator for Massachusetts (2013–present), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[41]
- Former U.S. Senators
- Barbara Boxer, former senator for California (1993–2017).[42]
- U.S. representatives
- Jim Clyburn, representative from South Carolina (1993-present).[43]
- Eric Swalwell, representative for California's 15th Congressional District (2013–present), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[44]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, representative for New York's 14th Congressional District (2019–present).[45]
- Former U.S. Representatives
- John Delaney, former representative for Maryland's 6th Congressional District (2013–2019), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[46]
- Tom Perriello, former representative for Virginia's 5th Congressional District (2009–2011).[47]
- Tim Ryan, representative for Ohio's 13th Congressional District (2003–2023), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[48]
- Joe Walsh, former representative for Illinois' 8th Congressional District (2011-2013), former candidate for 2020 Republican presidential nomination[49]
- Governors
- Steve Bullock, Governor of Montana (2013–2021), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[50]
- Former governors
- Jim Hodges, former governor of South Carolina (1999–2003).[51]
- State officials
- Alison L. Grimes, former secretary of state of Kentucky (2012–2020).[52]
- David Pepper, chair of the Ohio Democratic Party (2015–2020).[53]
- Local officials
- Pete Buttigieg, former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020) and former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[54]
- Bill de Blasio, Mayor of New York City, New York (2014–2021), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[55]
- Andrew Gillum, former mayor of Tallahassee, Florida (2014–2018); Democratic nominee for governor in 2018.[56]
- Individuals
- Charlie Adler, voice actor and activist[57]
- Randy Bryce, ironworker and 2018 candidate for Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District.[58]
- Mark Hamill, actor, voice actor, and writer.[59]
- Chelsea Handler, actress and comedian.[60]
- Alex Hirsch, animator, writer and voice actor[61]
- Andy Lassner, executive producer of The Ellen DeGeneres Show.[62]
- Jane Lynch, actress.[63]
- Dean Obeidallah, comedian and host of The Dean Obeidallah Show.[64]
- Sarah Paulson, actress.[65]
- Shonda Rhimes, television producer, television and film writer, and author.[66]
- Bradley Whitford, actor.[67]
- Organizations
- Broader Representation Advocacy Team (BRAT-PAC)[68]
- Climate Hawks Vote[69]
- The Collective PAC[70]
- Congressional Black Caucus[71]
- Council for a Livable World[72]
- DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare[73]
- Democracy for America[74]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[75]
- End Citizens United[76]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[77]
- Flip the Senate[78]
- Giffords[79]
- Human Rights Campaign[80]
- League of Conservation Voters[81]
- MoveOn[82]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[83]
- Students for Gun Legislation
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[84]
- National Organization for Women[85]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[86]
- Population Connection[87]
- Progressive Turnout Project[88]
Other candidates
[edit]Libertarian Party
[edit]General Election write-in candidate
[edit]- Keenan Wallace Dunham, chair of the Horry County Libertarian Party[89][90]
Withdrawn
[edit]- David Weikle, radio show host, U.S. marine veteran, and candidate for the South Carolina House of Representatives in 2018[89] (remained on ballot)[91]
Constitution Party
[edit]- Bill Bledsoe, Libertarian Party and Constitution Party nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2016 (unofficially withdrew on October 1, 2020, and endorsed Graham, but still remained on the ballot as an active candidate)[92][93][94]
Independents
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[97] | Tossup | October 29, 2020 |
Inside Elections[98] | Tilt R | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[99] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[100] | Lean R | October 30, 2020 |
Politico[101] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[102] | Tossup | October 23, 2020 |
DDHQ[103] | Lean R | November 3, 2020 |
538[104] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Economist[105] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Advertisements
[edit]Jaime Harrison ran a number of ads attempting to attract conservative voters from Lindsey Graham by elevating Constitution Party candidate Bill Bledsoe as "too conservative—but in doing so, the would-be attack ad offers up right-wing voters a laundry list of things to like about him". Bledsoe endorsed Graham after withdrawing from the race, but his name remained on the ballot. He criticized the ads as fraudulent.[106]
Meanwhile, Graham ran ads attempting to brand Harrison as a diehard liberal while connecting him with Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer.[107]
Endorsements
[edit]- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[19]
- Mike Pence, 48th vice president of the United States (2017–2021)[20]
- Nikki Haley, former ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018) and Governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[108]
- Governors
- Henry McMaster, Governor of South Carolina (2017–present)[21]
- State officials
- Pamela Evette, Lieutenant Governor of South Carolina (2019–present)[21]
- Mark Hammond, Secretary of State of South Carolina (2003–present)[21]
- Curtis Loftis, Treasurer of South Carolina (2011–present)[21]
- Alan Wilson, Attorney General of South Carolina (2011–present)[21]
- Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), former senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[34]
- Joe Biden, 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017), Democratic nominee for the 2020 United States presidential election.[35]
- Julian Castro, former HUD Secretary (2014–2017), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[36]
- U.S. senators
- Kamala Harris, senator for California (2017–present), Vice Presidential nominee and former candidate for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[109]
- Cory Booker, senator for New Jersey (2013–present), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[38]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, senator for New York (2009–present), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[39]
- Amy Klobuchar, senator for Minnesota (2007–present), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[40]
- Elizabeth Warren, senator for Massachusetts (2013–present), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[110]
- Barbara Boxer, former senator for California (1993–2017).[42]
- U.S. representatives
- Jim Clyburn, representative from South Carolina (1993–present).[43]
- Tim Ryan, representative for Ohio's 13th Congressional District (2003–present), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[48]
- Eric Swalwell, representative for California's 15th Congressional District (2013–present), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[44]
- Joe Cunningham, representative for South Carolina's 1st Congressional District
- John Delaney, former representative for Maryland's 6th Congressional District (2013–2019), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[46]
- Tom Perriello, former representative for Virginia's 5th Congressional District (2009–2011).[47]
- Joe Walsh, former representative for Illinois' 8th Congressional District (2011–2013), former candidate for 2020 Republican presidential nomination[49]
- Governors
- Steve Bullock, Governor of Montana (2013–present), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[50]
- Jim Hodges, former governor of South Carolina (1999–2003).[51]
- State officials
- Alison L. Grimes, former secretary of state of Kentucky (2012–2020) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2014.[52]
- David Pepper, chair of the Ohio Democratic Party (2015–present).[53]
- Municipal officials
- Pete Buttigieg, former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020) and former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination[54]
- Bill de Blasio, Mayor of New York City, New York (2014–present), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination[55]
- Andrew Gillum, former mayor of Tallahassee, Florida (2014–2018); Democratic nominee for governor in 2018[56]
- Notable Individuals
- Charlie Adler, voice actor and activist[57]
- Randy Bryce, ironworker and 2018 candidate for Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District[58]
- Mark Hamill, actor, voice actor, and writer[59]
- Chelsea Handler, actress and comedian[60]
- Alex Hirsch, animator, writer and voice actor[61]
- Stephen King, author[111]
- Andy Lassner, executive producer of The Ellen DeGeneres Show[62]
- Jane Lynch, actress[63]
- Dean Obeidallah, comedian and host of The Dean Obeidallah Show[64]
- Sarah Paulson, actress [65]
- Shonda Rhimes, television producer, television and film writer, and author[66]
- Bradley Whitford, actor[67]
- Organizations
- Black Economic Alliance[112]
- Center for Biological Diversity[113]
- Climate Hawks Vote[69]
- Congressional Black Caucus[71]
- Council for a Livable World[72]
- Democracy for America[74]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[75]
- End Citizens United[76]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[77]
- Giffords[79]
- Human Rights Campaign[80]
- J Street PAC[114]
- League of Conservation Voters[81]
- MoveOn[82]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[83]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[84]
- National Organization for Women[85]
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[115]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[86]
- Population Connection[87]
- Sierra Club[116]
- Working Families Party[117]
- Unions
- Newspapers and Publications
Polling
[edit]- Graphical summary
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Lindsey Graham (R) |
Jaime Harrison (D) |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Optimus | October 31 – November 2, 2020 | 817 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 41% | 7%[d] |
Data For Progress | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 46% | 5%[e] |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[f] | October 23 – November 1, 2020 | 416 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 46% | 52% | 2%[g] |
Morning Consult | October 22–31, 2020 | 904 (LV) | ± 3% | 46% | 44% | – |
Data for Progress | October 22–27, 2020 | 1,196 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 46% | 8%[h] |
Starboard Communications | October 26, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 52% | 43% | 6%[i] |
East Carolina University | October 24–25, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 47% | 3%[j] |
Morning Consult | October 11–20, 2020 | 926 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 47% | – |
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[A] | October 11–16, 2020 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 47% | 8%[k] |
Siena College/NYT Upshot Archived October 15, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[l] | October 9–14, 2020 | 605 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 40% | 14%[m] |
Data for Progress | October 8–11, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | 7%[n] |
Morning Consult | October 2–11, 2020 | 903 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 42% | – |
ALG Research (D) Archived October 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[B] | September 29 – October 5, 2020 | 711 (LV) | – | 46% | 46% | 8%[o] |
GBAO Strategies (D)[C] | September 24–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | 3%[p] |
Data for Progress (D) | September 23–28, 2020 | 824 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45%[q] | 44% | 11%[r] |
47%[s] | 46% | 7%[t] | ||||
Quinnipiac University | September 23–27, 2020 | 1,123 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 48% | 3%[u] |
YouGov | September 22–25, 2020 | 1,080 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 44% | 11%[v] |
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[A] | September 21–24, 2020 | 608 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 45% | 13%[w] |
Morning Consult | September 11–20, 2020 | 764 (LV) | ± (3% – 4%) | 46%[x] | 45% | 9% |
Morning Consult | September 8–17, 2020 | 782 (LV)[y] | ± (2% – 4%) | 45%[x] | 46% | – |
Quinnipiac University | September 10–14, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 48% | 3%[u] |
Morning Consult | September 2–11, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%-4%) | 44% | 46% | – |
Morning Consult | August 23 – September 1, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%-4%) | 46% | 43% | – |
Morning Consult | August 13–22, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%-4%) | 45% | 42% | – |
Morning Consult | August 3–12, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%-4%) | 45% | 45% | – |
Quinnipiac University | July 30 – August 3, 2020 | 914 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 44% | 12%[z] |
Morning Consult | July 24 – August 2, 2020 | 741 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44%[aa] | 43% | 12%[ab] |
Morning Consult | July 23 – August 1, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%-4%) | 44% | 43% | – |
Public Policy Polling (D)[D] | July 30–31, 2020 | 1,117 (V) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 8%[ac] |
Morning Consult | July 13–22, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%-4%) | 46% | 42% | – |
ALG Research (D) Archived July 28, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[B] | July 15–20, 2020 | 591 (LV) | – | 49% | 45% | 6%[ad] |
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[A] | July 13–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 41% | 16%[ae] |
Gravis Marketing | July 17, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | 10% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 23–26, 2020 | 591 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 42% | 16%[af] |
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[A] | March 3–11, 2020 | 804 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 43% | 9% |
NBC News/Marist | February 18–21, 2020 | 2,382 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 54% | 37% | 9% |
East Carolina University | January 31 – February 2, 2020 | 1,756 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Change Research | December 6–11, 2019 | 998 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 45% | 9% |
Benchmark Research (R)[E] | October 15–21, 2019 | 450 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 53% | 30% | 18% |
Change Research (D)[F] | September 17–21, 2019 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
Change Research | June 11–14, 2019 | 2,312 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
WPA Intelligence (R)[G] | March 11–13, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 55% | 32% | 12% |
- with generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Lindsey Graham (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | June 11–14, 2019 | 2,312 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 36% | 12% |
- on whether Lindsey Graham deserves to be re-elected
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Yes | No | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Post and Courier | December 6–11, 2019 | 998 (LV)[ag] | ± 3.1% | 37% | 53% | 10% |
Emerson College | Feb 28-Mar 2, 2019 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 52% | 1% |
- with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University | September 23–27, 2020 | 1,123 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 44% | 6%[ah] |
Quinnipiac University | September 10–14, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 52% | 44% | 5%[ai] |
Fundraising
[edit]In the first quarter of 2020, Harrison outraised Graham, $7.3 million to $5.5 million, but Graham had the lead in cash on hand, with $12 million compared with Harrison's $8 million.[120]
In the third quarter of 2020, Harrison raised $57 million, the largest quarterly total by a U.S. Senate candidate ever, breaking Beto O'Rourke's record in the 2018 Texas election.[121] He has also raised the most ever by a U.S. Senate candidate, beating another of O'Rourke's records.[122]
Debates
[edit]2020 United States senate election in South Carolina debates | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | Date & Time | Host | Location | Moderator | Participants | ||||||||||
Key: P Participant. N Non-invitee. |
Republican | Democratic | |||||||||||||
United States senator Lindsey Graham |
Former SCDP chairman Jaime Harrison | ||||||||||||||
1 | October 3, 2020
8:00 p.m. EDT |
Judi Gatson
|
P | P |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lindsey Graham (incumbent) | 1,369,137 | 54.44% | +0.17% | |
Democratic | Jaime Harrison | 1,110,828 | 44.17% | +5.39% | |
Constitution | Bill Bledsoe | 32,845 | 1.30% | N/A | |
Write-in | 2,294 | 0.09% | -0.29% | ||
Total votes | 2,515,104 | 100.00% | |||
Republican hold |
By county
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|
Results by congressional district
[edit]Graham won 6 of 7 congressional districts.[124]
District | Graham | Harrison | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 52% | 46% | Joe Cunningham |
Nancy Mace | |||
2nd | 55% | 44% | Joe Wilson |
3rd | 67% | 31% | Jeff Duncan |
4th | 59% | 40% | William Timmons |
5th | 56% | 42% | Ralph Norman |
6th | 31% | 68% | Jim Clyburn |
7th | 58% | 41% | Tom Rice |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- Partisan clients
- ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Harrison's campaign
- ^ a b This poll's sponsor, Lindsey Must Go, is a PAC opposing Lindsey Graham.
- ^ Poll sponsored by the DSCC, which has endorsed Jaime Harrison's campaign for the 2020 US Senate election in South Carolina before this poll's sampling period.
- ^ This poll's sponsor, Giffords, had endorsed Harrison prior to the sampling period
- ^ Poll sponsor is a Security in Strength PAC, a super PAC that supported Lindsey Graham during this poll's sampling period.
- ^ Poll sponsor, Collective PAC, had endorsed Harrison prior to this poll's sampling period.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Conservatives for Clean Energy
- Voter samples
- ^ a b c d e f Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Warren with 3%; Kandies with 1%; Burns, Hill, Reynolds and Wilson with 0%
- ^ Would not vote with 2%
- ^ "Third party candidate" with 2%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 6%
- ^ Bledsoe (C) with 4%; "Other candidate/write-in" with 1%
- ^ Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Bledsoe (C) with 2%
- ^ Bledsoe (C) with 3%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%; Undecided with 5%
- ^ Bledsoe (C) and Undecided with 3%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%; Did/would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 2%
- ^ Bledsoe (C) with 3%; "Other" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 5%
- ^ Archived October 15, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Bledsoe (C) with 4%; would not vote with 2%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 8%
- ^ "Write-in candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
- ^ Bledsoe (C) with 3%; Undecided with 5%
- ^ Bledsoe (C) with 3%
- ^ Standard VI response
- ^ Bledsoe (C) with 2%; Undecided with 9%
- ^ If the only candidates were Graham and Harrison
- ^ Undecided with 7%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 9%
- ^ Bledsoe (C) with 5%; "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ a b Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
- ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Undecided with 2%; would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 9%
- ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size and topline numbers
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Undecided with 8%
- ^ Undecided with 8%
- ^ "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 5%
- ^ Dunham (L) with 4%; Bledsoe (C) with 3%; Other with 1%; Undecided with 8%
- ^ "Someone else" with 10%; Undecided with 6%
- ^ Likely primary voters
- ^ Undecided with 6%
- ^ Undecided with 5%
References
[edit]- ^ Amber Phillips (September 16, 2020), "The Senate seats most likely to flip in November", Washingtonpost.com, archived from the original on September 16, 2020
- ^ a b Graham fends off Harrison in South Carolina Senate race, Politico, November 3, 2020.
- ^ Ripley, Joe (October 8, 2018). "Sen. Lindsey Graham to run for re-election in 2020, has 'zero interest' in Trump appointment". WYFF. Retrieved December 4, 2018.
- ^ "Dwayne "Duke" Buckner". www.facebook.com.
- ^ https://www.lapierreforsenate.com Archived December 12, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Michael J. Lapierre
- ^ "Joe Reynolds For US Senate | Defending Our Democracy | Get Involved". Joe Reynolds For US Senate 2020. Archived from the original on May 30, 2019. Retrieved May 30, 2019.
- ^ "United States Senate election in South Carolina, 2020". Ballotpedia. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- ^ "Peggy Kandies". Ballotpedia.
- ^ Kirby, Paul (March 27, 2018). "Mark Sloan launches campaign for US Senate challenging incumbent Senator Lindsey Graham". The Lexington Ledger. Retrieved April 5, 2019.
- ^ "Termination Report" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. January 29, 2019. Retrieved April 5, 2019.
- ^ Kropf, Schulyer (July 6, 2019). "'Make Machine Guns Great Again' says one of the SC Republicans challenging Lindsey Graham". The Post and Courier. Retrieved November 17, 2019.
- ^ "David Weikle". Ballotpedia.
- ^ Hadas Gold, Fox's Bolling talks of a future Senate run: One of Trump's top defenders says he yearns to challenge a sitting Republican senator, Politico (June 19, 2017).
- ^ "Former Fox News Host Mulling Challenge To Lindsey Graham". FITS News. September 11, 2018. Retrieved April 5, 2019.
- ^ Marchant, Bristow (October 17, 2017). "Trump's 'top pastor' could launch challenge of Lindsey Graham". The State.
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- ^ Marchant, Bristow (July 6, 2018). "Former SC gov candidate John Warren hints at possible Senate run against Graham". The State.
- ^ "WILSON, CAREY L 1987 - Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
- ^ a b Coleman, Justine (June 8, 2020). "Trump endorses Graham ahead of South Carolina primary". The Hill. Retrieved June 8, 2020.
- ^ a b Axelrod, Tal (March 30, 2019). "Graham gets assist from Pence in reelection campaign kickoff". The Hill. Retrieved June 19, 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Graham, Lindsey [@LindseyGrahamSC] (June 19, 2019). "I appreciate the re-election support of all the statewide constitutional officers in South Carolina. They do a tremendous job serving the people of our state, and I am proud to call them my friends. #TeamGraham" (Tweet). Retrieved June 19, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ "South Carolina Endorsements". Retrieved September 19, 2020.
- ^ "U.S. SENATE - REP". Secretary of State of South Carolina. Retrieved June 9, 2020.
- ^ Barton, Tom (May 28, 2019). "SC Democrat Jaime Harrison launches US Senate campaign to challenge Lindsey Graham". The State. Retrieved May 29, 2019.
- ^ Marchant, Bristow (April 28, 2019). "Lindsey Graham gets second Democratic challenger in Senate race". The State. Retrieved April 29, 2019.
- ^ Glantz, Tracy (January 15, 2020). "Gloria Tinubu bows out, supports Jaime Harrison for U.S. Senate seat". Retrieved January 23, 2020.
- ^ "COMMITTEE DETAILS FOR COMMITTEE ID C00689042". docquery.fec.gov.
- ^ "William Stone (South Carolina)". Ballotpedia.
- ^ "Home | Justin Wooton for Senate 2020". Senate Page. Archived from the original on July 18, 2019. Retrieved July 18, 2019.
- ^ "Justin Wooton". Ballotpedia.
- ^ Norrell, Mandy [@MPowersNorrell] (February 21, 2019). "Thank you!!! I actually have no plans to run for US Senate, so that eliminates that concern, but what a sign of a healthy party it would be if we were to have a robust primary! I am so excited about the caliber of candidate we have in @harrisonjaime ! He will be amazing!" (Tweet). Retrieved June 30, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ "Mandy Powers Norrell Launches New Ad In Competitive South Carolina House Race". September 8, 2020.
- ^ Sellers, Bakari [@Bakari_Sellers] (June 12, 2019). "Thank you! Yeah man I'm focused on raising a family right now" (Tweet). Retrieved June 30, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b "First Wave of 2020 Endorsements". August 3, 2020.
- ^ a b Biden, Joe [@JoeBiden] (May 30, 2019). "South Carolina would be lucky to have @harrisonjaime representing them in the Senate. He has the character, intelligence, and integrity needed to serve his community well. I hope you'll #JoinJaime" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Castro, Julian [@JulianCastro] (May 29, 2019). "South Carolinians will have a fantastic candidate for Senate in @harrisonjaime. I look forward to joining you on the trail and to making history next November. #JoinJaime" (Tweet). Retrieved May 29, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ @KamalaHarris (June 10, 2019). "My friend @harrisonjaime has been an advocate for all people throughout his career and now he's running for U.S. Senate! I enjoyed seeing him this weekend and hope you'll check out his announcement video below" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Booker, Cory [@CoryBooker] (May 29, 2019). "Jaime, I am so incredibly proud of you. We've known each other for more than two decades. I have admired your dedication to community, to meeting people where they are. I know your heart ... and I know you will make a great U.S. Senator. #JoinJaime" (Tweet). Retrieved May 29, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Jaime Harrison [@harrisonjaime] (May 29, 2019). "I may not be a superhero, but I am a proud South Carolinian, and I'm ready to fight for a better future for our state and our country. I hope you are, too. Find out how you can #JoinJaime and get involved: https://jaimeharrison.com/" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Schneider, Elena (May 1, 2020). "Klobuchar launches Campaign to aid Senate, House Dems in 2020". Politico. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
- ^ Warren, Elizabeth [@ewarren] (May 30, 2019). "Jaime Harrison will fight hard for the people of South Carolina and take our country forward. Go Jaime!" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Boxer, Barbara [@BarbaraBoxer] (May 30, 2019). "Jaime Harrison, @harrisonjaime, is ready -- ready to challenge Lindsey Graham for Senate in South Carolina, and ready to represent South Carolinians instead of the guy in the White House" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Harris, Bradley (September 29, 2019). "Booker, Clyburn show support for Harrison; Senate candidate says Graham missing in action". The Times and Democrat. Retrieved August 27, 2020.
- ^ a b Swalwell, Eric [@ericswalwell] (May 13, 2019). "Thank u, next. We are going to call it a day for @LindseyGrahamSC and elect @harrisonjaime as the next senator from #SouthCarolina" (Tweet). Retrieved May 12, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ @thehill (September 19, 2020). "Rep. @AOC: "Jamie Harrison is going up against Lindsey Graham, one of the most spineless people in the Senate that…" (Tweet). Retrieved October 25, 2020 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Delaney, John [@JohnDelaney] (May 30, 2019). "Glad to see @harrisonjaime officially enter the race. The people of South Carolina are lucky to have you on their side. Proud to support you in this fight! #JoinJaime" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Perriello, Tom [@tomperriello] (May 29, 2019). "The SC Senate race is officially one to watch now. I've known @harrisonjaime since college and have been blown away by his tireless dedication to and effectiveness at getting things done on the Hill for folks back home in SC" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Ryan, Tim [@TimRyan] (May 29, 2019). "Jamie and I have been in a political foxhole many times when we were in the majority in 2007-11. He is exactly who we need in the Senate taking on the issues that are important to all the forgotten people in America" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Walsh, Joe [@WalshFreedom] (May 14, 2020). "Damn pathetic Lindsey. I'm not a Democrat, but Lindsey Graham needs to go. He's nothing but a Trump enabler. Support Lindsey's Democratic opponent, @harrisonjaime" (Tweet). Retrieved May 19, 2020 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Bullock, Steve [@GovernorBullock] (May 30, 2019). "If we're going to take back this country, we've got to support folks who take on the corrupt system to make change in places others may not expect. South Carolina is lucky to have @harrisonjaime at the ready to #SendLindseyHome!" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Dumain, Emma (May 30, 2019). "Harrison's going national in bid to beat Graham, but he's still scoring local nods". The State. Retrieved June 1, 2019.
- ^ a b Grimes, Alison [@AlisonForKY] (May 30, 2019). "Proud to support my friend, @harrisonjaime! It's time for @LindseyGrahamSC to go! RT to to send that message & #JoinJaime!" (Tweet). Retrieved May 31, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Pepper, David [@DavidPepper] (May 31, 2019). "I just gave to @harrisonjaime -- you should too! @LindseyGrahamSC needs to go, and Jaime will bring inspired leadership to the Senate--which both South Carolina and America desperately need" (Tweet). Retrieved May 31, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Merica, Dan (May 13, 2020). "Buttigieg highlights importance of local officials in first post-campaign endorsements". CNN. Retrieved May 14, 2020.
- ^ a b de Blasio, Bill [@BilldeBlasio] (May 29, 2019). ".@harrisonjaime is much needed shakeup to the status quo who will deliver real change for working people! #JoinJaime" (Tweet). Retrieved May 29, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Gillum, Andrew [@AndrewGillum] (February 8, 2019). "Sign me up, @harrisonjaime! Ready to send you to the U.S. Senate! 👊🏾" (Tweet). Retrieved February 9, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Adler, Charlie [@charlie_adler] (April 1, 2020). "I wouldn't send you or your disgusting campaign a dime if you were shooting gold ingots out of your ass ! @harrisonjaime #VoteJaimeHarrison #GetLindseyGrahamOutOfOffice #VoteBlueToEndThisNightmare" (Tweet). Retrieved April 1, 2020 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Bryce, Randy [@IronStache] (May 29, 2019). "Go get 'em @harrisonjaime!" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Hamill, Mark [@HamillHimself] (June 2, 2019). "Dear Jamie- If you can #SendLindsayHome, I'll give you a MILLION likes & you'll be my 2nd favorite Harrison. Your potential new #FanBoy, Mar🐫 #FORCEHimOuttaTheSenate" (Tweet). Retrieved June 2, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Handler, Chelsea [@chelseahandler] (June 2, 2019). "Let's replace Lindsey Graham with this guy @harrisonjaime. He's running in South Carolina" (Tweet). Retrieved June 2, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Hirsch, Alex [@_AlexHirsch] (June 6, 2020). "Lindsey Graham once called Trump a "race-baiting xenophobic bigot"- until Trump was elected & Graham became his lackey. DONATE to Jaime Harrison to defeat Graham and TAKE BACK THE SENATE!" (Tweet). Retrieved June 7, 2020 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Lassner, Andy [@andylassner] (May 29, 2019). "I've already donated twice to @harrisonjaime because it's time to #SendLindseyHome" (Tweet). Retrieved May 29, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Lynch, Jane [@janemarielynch] (May 30, 2019). "👇This guy, @harrisonjaime and people like him will bring back honor and dignity to a badly damaged congress. He'll also send @LindseyGrahamSC tush back home. South Carolina must be so proud to call @harrisonjaime their very own!" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Obeidallah, Dean [@DeanObeidallah] (May 30, 2019). "Look forward to speaking with @harrisonjaime on my @SXMProgress show tonight. He's the Democrat running against Senator Lindsey Graham in South Carolina and we need to support Jaime in this race! He will be on 7:05PMET on @SIRIUSXM channel 127" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Paulson, Sarah [@MsSarahPaulson] (June 1, 2020). "It's time to send Lindsey Graham packing. Chip in $5 to help elect Jaime Harrison in South Carolina" (Tweet). Retrieved November 23, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Rhimes, Shonda [@shondarhimes] (May 30, 2019). "I'm not from South Carolina. But if you need a burst of inspiration and reminder of what politics should be about, watch this video from @harrisonjaime who is challenging Lindsay Graham. And if you ARE from South Carolina...?" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Whitford, Bradley [@WhitfordBradley] (May 29, 2019). "I'm so in. Are you? Donate if you are able ASAP!" (Tweet). Retrieved May 29, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ "2020 Candidates". BRAT-PAC.
- ^ a b "Jaime Harrison". Climate Hawks Vote.
- ^ "Candidates".
- ^ a b "| CBCPAC". www.cbcpac.org.
- ^ a b "Jaime Harrison for Senate (D-SC)". Council for a Livable World.
- ^ "2020 Endorsed House Candidates". DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare. Archived from the original on May 2, 2020. Retrieved May 9, 2020.
- ^ a b "DFA endorses Jaime Harrison for U.S. Senate in South Carolina". Democracy for America. June 11, 2019. Retrieved June 20, 2019.
- ^ a b "DSCC Endorses Jaime Harrison in South Carolina Senate Campaign". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. May 30, 2019.
- ^ a b Muller, Tiffany (December 4, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Jaime Harrison for U.S. Senate". End Citizens United.
- ^ a b "Everytown For Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses Jaime Harrison For U.S. Senate in South Carolina". Everytown. June 9, 2020.
- ^ "Our Candidates". Flip the Senate.
- ^ a b "Giffords Endorses Jaime Harrison for Senate in South Carolina". Giffords.
- ^ a b Acosta, Lucas (January 23, 2020). "HRC Announces Senate Endorsements in Effort to Achieve Pro-Equality Majority". Human Rights Campaign.
- ^ a b Rich, Aliyah (December 17, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Jaime Harrison For Senate". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved December 19, 2019.
- ^ a b "Candidate Profile - MoveOn Candidates". MoveOn. 2020. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved February 7, 2020.
- ^ a b "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Jaime Harrison for Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. November 18, 2019.
- ^ a b "Candidates We Endorse and Support". NCPSSM.
- ^ a b "2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
- ^ a b "2020 Endorsements". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Archived from the original on April 12, 2020. Retrieved January 25, 2020.
- ^ a b "2020 Endorsements". Population Connection. Archived from the original on September 18, 2020. Retrieved July 29, 2020.
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- ^ a b "Here are the candidates". Walterboro Live. April 2, 2020.
- ^ @KDunham4Peace (August 16, 2020). "I'm actually going to be a write-in but I'm doing Interviews and Meet-ups to get the word out until November. Thanks for your support!" (Tweet). Retrieved August 16, 2020 – via Twitter.
- ^ "David Weikle for US Senate". Facebook. June 7, 2020. Retrieved June 7, 2020.
- ^ "Third-party candidate backs Graham in tightening SC race". AP NEWS. October 1, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.
- ^ "Third-party candidate backs Graham in tightening SC race". news.yahoo.com.
- ^ "Candidate Listing". info.scvotes.sc.gov.
- ^ "SOUTH CAROLINA". Politics1. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
- ^ "South Carolina Candidate Listing". info.scvotes.sc.gov. Retrieved August 19, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
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- ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ Brodey, Sam (November 2, 2020). "This Is How Jamie Harrison Pulls Off A Miracle and Ousts Lindsey Graham". The Daily Beast. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
- ^ Bustos, Joseph. "SC's Senate candidates Graham, Harrison begin ad battle four months from Election Day". The State. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
- ^ @NikkiHaley (October 14, 2020). "Millions coming into South Carolina but not from South Carolinians. Don't let people in Los Angeles, Chicago, and N…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ "Kamala Harris Endorsements". May 9, 2020.
- ^ "Endorsements | Warren Democrats". elizabethwarren.com. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved August 16, 2020.
- ^ King, Stephen [@StephenKing] (September 20, 2020). "Hey South Carolina--Not my business to tell you how to vote (although I loved writing about lovely SC in THE INSTITUTE), but Jaime Harrison is extremely cool. And if you don't mind me saying, Lindsey Graham is kind of a dork" (Tweet). Retrieved September 20, 2020 – via Twitter.
- ^ "Jaime Harrison - Black Economic Alliance PAC". Black Economic Alliance.
- ^ "2020 Endorsements".
- ^ "JStreetPAC Candidates". JStreetPAC. Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. Retrieved September 24, 2020.
- ^ "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 14 for House, Senate". nrdcactionfund.org. September 3, 2020.
- ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club. March 19, 2021.
- ^ "Our 2020 Endorsements". Working Families Party.
- ^ "South Carolina – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
- ^ Emily Czachor (October 26, 2020). "Jaime Harrison Endorsed By Oldest Newspaper in South Carolina as Polls Show Him Leading Lindsey Graham". Newsweek.
- ^ Schwartz, Brian (April 20, 2020). "Democratic underdog Jaime Harrison picks up bundlers as he sees fundraising success in battle with GOP Sen. Lindsey Graham". cnbc.com. CNBC. Retrieved May 13, 2020.
- ^ Arkin, James (October 11, 2020). "Jaime Harrison shatters Senate fundraising record for South Carolina race". POLITICO. Retrieved October 11, 2020.
- ^ "Jaime Harrison sets Senate fundraising record in race against Lindsey Graham". The Guardian. October 11, 2020. Retrieved October 11, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Statewide General Election Night Reporting - U.S. Senate". South Carolina Election Commission. November 11, 2020. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
- ^ https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::ac3c139e-73a1-4391-87f4-1aaaf7ead166
Further reading
[edit]- Amber Phillips (October 9, 2020), "The Senate seats most likely to flip parties in November", Washingtonpost.com
External links
[edit]- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "South Carolina", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "South Carolina: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of South Carolina". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- South Carolina at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites
- Keenan Wallace Dunham (L) for Senate Archived December 15, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- Lindsey Graham (R) for Senate
- Jaime Harrison (D) for Senate