In the run-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies are conducting opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, and contain an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote.
Graphical summary
[edit]Primary vote
[edit]Two-party preferred
[edit]Voting intention
[edit]2024
[edit]Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP | ||||
8–11 August 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,132 | 34% | 28% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 47% | 47% |
7–11 August 2024 | Resolve Strategic[2] | Online | 1,607 | 37% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 13% | — | 50% | 50% |
5–11 August 2024 | Roy Morgan[3] | Online | 1,671 | 38% | 29.5% | 14% | 5% | — | 13.5% | — | 50% | 50% |
5–9 August 2024 | Newspoll[4] | Online | 1,266 | 39% | 32% | 12% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 50% | 50% |
29 July – 4 August 2024 | Roy Morgan[5] | Online | 1,655 | 37% | 30.5% | 12% | 5.5% | — | 15% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
24–28 July 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,137 | 34% | 32% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 9% | 6% | 47% | 46% |
22–28 July 2024 | Roy Morgan[6] | Online | 1,652 | 37.5% | 30.5% | 13% | 6.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
19–21 July 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[7] | Online | 1,060 | 40% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 49% | 51% |
15–21 July 2024 | Roy Morgan[8] | Online | 1,752 | 39.5% | 31.5% | 13% | 5% | — | 11% | — | 49% | 51% |
15–19 July 2024 | Newspoll[9] | Online | 1,258 | 38% | 33% | 13% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 51% | 49% |
10–19 July 2024 | RedBridge Group[10] | Online | 1,505 | 41% | 32% | 11% | — | — | 16% | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
12–17 July 2024 | YouGov[11] | Online | 1,528 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 51% | 49% |
10–14 July 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,122 | 33% | 29% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 46% | 48% |
8–14 July 2024 | Roy Morgan[12] | Online | 1,758 | 37.5% | 31% | 12.5% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
10–13 July 2024 | Resolve Strategic[13] | Online | 1,603 | 38% | 28% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 13% | — | 50% | 50% |
1–7 July 2024 | Roy Morgan[14] | Online | 1,723 | 39.5% | 28.5% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 13.5% | — | 48% | 52% |
26–30 June 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,141 | 33% | 30% | 12% | 7% | 1% | 10% | 7% | 46% | 47% |
24–30 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[15] | Online | 1,708 | 36.5% | 31.5% | 13% | 4.5% | — | 14.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
24–28 June 2024 | Newspoll[16] | Online | 1,260 | 36% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 12% | — | 51% | 49% |
17–23 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[17] | Online | 1,696 | 37% | 31.5% | 13% | 6% | — | 12.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
14–16 June 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[18] | Online | 1,060 | 40% | 32% | 13% | — | — | 15% | — | 50% | 50% |
12–16 June 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,181 | 32% | 31% | 13% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
10–16 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[19] | Online | 1,724 | 38% | 29.5% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
11–15 June 2024 | Resolve Strategic[20] | Online | 1,607 | 36% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 15% | — | 51% | 49% |
3–9 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[21] | Online | 1,687 | 35% | 30.5% | 15.5% | 5.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
3–7 June 2024 | Newspoll[22] | Online | 1,232 | 39% | 33% | 11% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 50% | 50% |
31 May – 4 June 2024 | YouGov[23] | Online | 1,500 | 38% | 30% | 14% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 50% | 50% |
29 May – 2 June 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,160 | 36% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 48% | 48% |
27 May – 2 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[24] | Online | 1,579 | 36% | 31% | 14% | 4.5% | — | 14.5% | — | 52% | 48% |
20–26 May 2024 | Roy Morgan[25] | Online | 1,488 | 37% | 28.5% | 15% | 6% | — | 13.5% | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
17–19 May 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[26] | Online | 1,056 | 40% | 32% | 14% | — | — | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
16–19 May 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,149 | 34% | 31% | 10% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 46% | 47% |
15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic[27] | Online | 1,602 | 36% | 29% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
13–19 May 2024 | Roy Morgan[28] | Online | 1,674 | 37% | 30.5% | 14.5% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
16–18 May 2024 | Newspoll[29] | Online | 1,280 | 37% | 34% | 13% | 7% | — | 9% | — | 52% | 48% |
10–14 May 2024 | YouGov[30] | Online | 1,506 | 38% | 30% | 13% | 8% | — | 11% | — | 50% | 50% |
6–12 May 2024 | Roy Morgan[31] | Online | 1,654 | 37% | 32% | 13.5% | 5.5% | — | 12% | — | 52% | 48% |
1–5 May 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,150 | 34% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 46% | 47% |
29 April – 5 May 2024 | Roy Morgan[32] | Online | 1,666 | 37% | 30% | 13% | 6% | — | 14% | — | 52% | 48% |
22–28 April 2024 | Roy Morgan[33] | Online | 1,719 | 36.5% | 31.5% | 14% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 52% | 48% |
19–23 April 2024 | YouGov[34] | Online | 1,514 | 36% | 33% | 13% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
17–21 April 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,145 | 35% | 31% | 11% | 9% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 47% | 49% |
17–21 April 2024 | Resolve Strategic[35] | Online | 1,610 | 36% | 30% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
15–21 April 2024 | Roy Morgan[36] | Online | 1,617 | 35.5% | 30.5% | 16% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 52% | 48% |
12–21 April 2024 | RedBridge Group[37] | Online | 1,529 | 37% | 33% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
15–18 April 2024 | Newspoll[38] | Online | 1,236 | 38% | 33% | 12% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 51% | 49% |
12–14 April 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[39] | Online | 1,055 | 40% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 50% | 50% |
8–14 April 2024 | Roy Morgan[40] | Online | 1,706 | 38.5% | 30% | 13.5% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 49% | 51% |
13 April 2024 | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election | |||||||||||
3–7 April 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,165 | 34% | 29% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
1–7 April 2024 | Roy Morgan[41] | Online | 1,731 | 38% | 29.5% | 13.5% | 6% | — | 13% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
25–31 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[42] | Online | 1,677 | 37.5% | 30% | 15.5% | 3.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
22–27 March 2024 | YouGov[43] | Online | 1,513 | 38% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 51% | 49% |
21–24 March 2024 | Resolve Strategic[44] | Online | 1,610 | 35% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 13% | — | 53% | 47% |
20–24 March 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,150 | 36% | 29% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 44% | 50% |
18–24 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[45] | Online | 1,633 | 38% | 31.5% | 14% | 4.5% | — | 12% | — | 50% | 50% |
18–22 March 2024 | Newspoll[46] | Online | 1,223 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 51% | 49% |
11–17 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[47] | Online | 1,710 | 37% | 31.5% | 12.5% | 5.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
8–10 March 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[48] | Online | 1,051 | 39% | 31% | 14% | — | — | 16% | — | 51% | 49% |
4–10 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[49] | Online | 1,714 | 38% | 32% | 13% | 4% | — | 13% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
5–9 March 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,126 | 35% | 32% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 48% | 47% |
24 February – 5 March 2024 | YouGov[50] | Online | 1,539 | 37% | 32% | 15% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
26 February – 3 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[51] | Online | 1,679 | 36.5% | 34% | 13.5% | 3.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
2 March 2024 | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election | |||||||||||
21–25 February 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,145 | 35% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 47% | 48% |
19–25 February 2024 | Roy Morgan[52] | Online | 1,682 | 38% | 31.5% | 12% | 5% | — | 13.5% | — | 50% | 50% |
21–24 February 2024 | Resolve Strategic[53] | Online | 1,603 | 37% | 34% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 13% | — | 52% | 48% |
19–23 February 2024 | Newspoll[54] | Online | 1,245 | 36% | 33% | 12% | 6% | — | 13% | — | 52% | 48% |
16–18 February 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[55] | Online | 1,049 | 38% | 31% | 14% | — | — | 17% | — | 51% | 49% |
12–18 February 2024 | Roy Morgan[56] | Online | 1,706 | 37% | 34% | 13% | 4% | — | 12% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
7–11 February 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,148 | 34% | 31% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 50% | 46% |
5–11 February 2024 | Roy Morgan[57] | Online | 1,699 | 37% | 34.5% | 12% | 4.5% | — | 12% | — | 52% | 48% |
2–7 February 2024 | YouGov[58] | Online | 1,502 | 36% | 32% | 14% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
30 January – 7 February 2024 | RedBridge Group[59] | Online | 2,040 | 38% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 51.2% | 48.8% |
29 January – 4 February 2024 | Roy Morgan[60] | Online | 1,709 | 37% | 33% | 12% | 5% | — | 13% | — | 53% | 47% |
31 January – 3 February 2024 | Newspoll[61] | Online | 1,245 | 36% | 34% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
24–28 January 2024 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,201 | 34% | 32% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 48% | 46% |
22–28 January 2024 | Roy Morgan[62] | Online | 1,688 | 37.5% | 31% | 13% | 5.5% | — | 13% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
15–21 January 2024 | Roy Morgan[63] | Online | 1,675 | 36% | 32.5% | 12.5% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
12–17 January 2024 | YouGov[64] | Online | 1,532 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
8–14 January 2024 | Roy Morgan[65] | Online | 1,727 | 37% | 31.5% | 12% | 4.5% | — | 15% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
10–11 January 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[66][67][68] | Online | 1,007 | 39% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 50% | 50% |
2–7 January 2024 | Roy Morgan[69] | Online | 1,716 | 39% | 29% | 13% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 49% | 51% |
2023
[edit]Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP | ||||
15–17 December 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[70] | Online | 1,109 | 39% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 50% | 50% |
11–17 December 2023 | Roy Morgan[71] | Online | 1,109 | 38% | 32% | 11.5% | 4.5% | — | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
11–15 December 2023 | Newspoll[72] | Online | 1,219 | 36% | 33% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
6–11 December 2023 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,102 | 34% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 49% | 46% |
6–11 December 2023 | RedBridge Group[73] | Online | 2,010 | 35% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 19% | — | 52.8% | 47.2% |
1–5 December 2023 | YouGov[74][75] | Online | 1,555 | 36% | 29% | 15% | 7% | — | 13% | — | 51% | 49% |
29 November – 3 December 2023 | Resolve Strategic[76][77] | Online | 1,605 | 34% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 12% | — | 55% | 45% |
27 November – 3 December 2023 | Roy Morgan[78] | — | 1,730 | 37.5% | 32.5% | 12.5% | 5% | — | 12.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
22–26 November 2023 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,151 | 34% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 48% | 47% |
20–26 November 2023 | Roy Morgan[79] | — | 1,379 | 35% | 32% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 14.5% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
20–24 November 2023 | Newspoll[80] | Online | 1,216 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 6% | — | 12% | — | 50% | 50% |
13–19 November 2023 | Roy Morgan[81] | — | 1,401 | 37.5% | 29.5% | 13.5% | 6.5% | — | 13% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
10–14 November 2023 | YouGov[82] | Online | 1,582 | 36% | 31% | 13% | 7% | — | 13% | — | 51% | 49% |
8–12 November 2023 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,150 | 34% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 49% | 47% |
6–12 November 2023 | Roy Morgan[83] | — | 1,397 | 36.5% | 30% | 13% | 6% | — | 14.5% | — | 50% | 50% |
1–5 November 2023 | Resolve Strategic[84] | Online | 1,602 | 30% | 35% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 13% | — | 57% | 43% |
30 October – 3 November 2023 | Newspoll[85] | Online | 1,220 | 37% | 35% | 12% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
27 October – 2 November 2023 | RedBridge Group[86] | Online | 1,205 | 35% | 34% | 14% | — | — | 17% | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
25–29 October 2023 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,149 | 34% | 32% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
23–29 October 2023 | Roy Morgan[87] | — | 1,375 | 35% | 32.5% | 15% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 53% | 47% |
16–22 October 2023 | Roy Morgan[88] | — | 1,383 | 36% | 32% | 14% | 4.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
14 October 2023 | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated | |||||||||||
4–12 October 2023 | Newspoll[89] | Online | 2,638 | 35% | 36% | 12% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
6–10 October 2023 | YouGov[90] | Online | 1,519 | 36% | 33% | 14% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 53% | 47% |
3–6 October 2023 | Newspoll[91][92] | Online | 1,225 | 36% | 34% | 12% | 5% | — | 13% | — | 53% | 47% |
22 September – 4 October 2023 | Resolve Strategic[93][94] | Online | 4,728 | 31% | 37% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 11% | — | 57% | 43% |
27 September – 1 October 2023 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,125 | 32% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 50% | 45% |
25–29 September 2023 | YouGov[95][96] | Online | 1,563 | 35% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 19% | — | 53% | 47% |
22–24 September 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[97] | Online | 1,003 | 37% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 17% | — | 51% | 49% |
18–22 September 2023 | Newspoll[98][99] | Online | 1,239 | 36% | 36% | 11% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
13–17 September 2023 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,135 | 32% | 31% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 49% | 45% |
4–10 September 2023 | Roy Morgan[100] | — | 1,382 | 37% | 32% | 13.5% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
6–9 September 2023 | Resolve Strategic[101][102] | Online | 1,604 | 34% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 11% | — | 55.5% | 44.5% |
30 August – 4 September 2023 | RedBridge Group[103] | Online | 1,001 | 36% | 37% | 13% | — | — | 14% | — | 54.1% | 45.9% |
30 August – 3 September 2023 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,151 | 32% | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 51% | 43% |
28 August – 3 September 2023 | Roy Morgan[104] | — | 1,404 | 37.5% | 33.5% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 53% | 47% |
28 August – 1 September 2023 | Newspoll[105] | Online | 1,200 | 37% | 35% | 13% | 7% | — | 8% | — | 53% | 47% |
16–20 August 2023 | Essential[1][106] | Online | 1,151 | 33% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 51% | 43% |
10–14 August 2023 | RedBridge Group[107] | Online | 1,010 | 32% | 38% | 10% | — | — | 21% | — | 55.6% | 44.4% |
9–13 August 2023 | Resolve Strategic[108][109] | Online | 1,603 | 33% | 37% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 12% | — | 56% | 44% |
2–6 August 2023 | Essential[1][110] | Online | 1,150 | 30% | 33% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 52% | 42% |
19–23 July 2023 | Essential[1][111] | Online | 1,150 | 32% | 31% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 50% | 45% |
15 July 2023 | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election | |||||||||||
12–15 July 2023 | Resolve Strategic[112][113] | Online | 1,610 | 30% | 39% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 11% | — | 59% | 41% |
12–15 July 2023 | Newspoll[114][115] | Online | 1,570 | 34% | 36% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 55% | 45% |
5–9 July 2023 | Essential[1][116] | Online | 2,248 | 32% | 32% | 14% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 51% | 44% |
21–25 June 2023 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,148 | 30% | 32% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 52% | 42% |
16–24 June 2023 | Newspoll[117][118] | Online | 2,303 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 54% | 46% |
7–11 June 2023 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,123 | 32% | 32% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 52% | 42% |
6–11 June 2023 | Resolve Strategic[119][120] | Online | 1,606 | 30% | 40% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 10% | — | 60% | 40% |
31 May – 3 June 2023 | Newspoll[121][122] | Online | 1,549 | 34% | 38% | 12% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 55% | 45% |
24–28 May 2023 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,138 | 31% | 34% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 52% | 43% |
15–17 May 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[123][124] | Online | 1,005 | 37% | 34% | 12% | — | — | 17% | — | 52% | 48% |
10–14 May 2023 | Essential[1][125] | Online | 1,080 | 31% | 35% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 53% | 42% |
11–13 May 2023 | Newspoll[126][127] | Online | 1,516 | 34% | 38% | 11% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 55% | 45% |
10–13 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic[128][129] | Online | 1,610 | 30% | 42% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 61% | 39% |
26–30 April 2023 | Essential[1][130] | Online | 1,130 | 32% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 53% | 41% |
19–22 April 2023 | Newspoll[131][132] | Online | 1,514 | 33% | 38% | 11% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 56% | 44% |
12–16 April 2023 | Essential[1][133] | Online | 1,136 | 31% | 34% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 52% | 43% |
12–16 April 2023 | Resolve Strategic[134][135] | Online | 1,609 | 28% | 42% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 11% | — | 61.5% | 38.5% |
29 March – 2 April 2023 | Essential[1][136] | Online | 1,133 | 30% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 53% | 42% |
29 March – 1 April 2023 | Newspoll[137] | Online | 1,500 | 33% | 38% | 10% | 8% | — | 11% | — | 55% | 45% |
1 April 2023 | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election | |||||||||||
15–20 March 2023 | Essential[1][138] | Online | 1,124 | 31% | 34% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 52% | 43% |
12–16 March 2023 | Resolve Strategic[139][138] | Online | 1,600 | 30% | 39% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 11% | — | 60% | 40% |
1–5 March 2023 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,141 | 32% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 49% | 44% |
27 February – 5 March 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | — | 33.5% | 38% | 11.5% | — | — | 17% | — | 54.5% | 45.5% |
1–4 March 2023 | Newspoll[140] | Online | 1,530 | 35% | 37% | 10% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
20–26 February 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | — | 34.5% | 37% | 13.5% | — | — | 15% | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
15–19 February 2023 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,044 | 30% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 51% | 42% |
15–19 February 2023 | Resolve Strategic[141][142] | Online | 1,604 | 31% | 40% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 11% | — | 58% | 42% |
13–19 February 2023 | Roy Morgan | Online/Telephone | — | 33% | 37% | 13% | — | — | 17% | — | 58.5% | 41.5% |
1–6 February 2023 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,000 | 30% | 33% | 17% | 6% | 1% | 15% | 5% | 55% | 40% |
1–4 February 2023 | Newspoll[143][144] | Online | 1,512 | 34% | 38% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 10% | — | 55% | 45% |
23–29 January 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | — | 33.5% | 37.5% | 11.5% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 57% | 43% |
18–22 January 2023 | Essential[1][145] | Online | 1,050 | 31% | 34% | 14% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 53% | 42% |
17–22 January 2023 | Resolve Strategic[146][145] | Online | 1,606 | 29% | 42% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 11% | — | 60% | 40% |
2022
[edit]Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP | ||||
23 December 2022 | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent | |||||||||||
16–18 December 2022 | Freshwater Strategy[147][148][149] | Online | 1,209 | 37% | 37% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 9% | — | 54% | 46% |
7–11 December 2022 | Essential[1] | Online | 1,042 | 30% | 35% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 51% | 44% |
30 November – 4 December 2022 | Resolve Strategic[150][151] | Online | 1,611 | 30% | 42% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 8% | — | 60% | 40% |
30 November – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[152] | Online | 1,508 | 35% | 39% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 9% | — | 55% | 45% |
23–27 November 2022 | Essential[152][153] | Online | 1,042 | 31% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 17% | 6% | 51% | 43% |
27–30 October 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[154] | Online | 1,500 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 9% | — | 55% | 45% |
26–30 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[155][154] | Online | 1,611 | 32% | 39% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 11% | — | 58% | 42% |
5–9 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[156][157] | Online | 1,604 | 30% | 39% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 11% | — | 58.5% | 41.5% |
14–18 September 2022 | Resolve Strategic[158][159] | Online | 1,607 | 32% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 11% | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
31 August – 3 September 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[160][161] | Online | 1,505 | 31% | 37% | 13.5% | 7% | 2% | 10% | — | 57% | 43% |
17–21 August 2022 | Resolve Strategic[162][163] | Online | 2,011 | 28% | 42% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 11% | — | 61% | 39% |
27–30 July 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[164][165] | Online | 1,508 | 33% | 37% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 10% | — | 56% | 44% |
14–17 June 2022 | Dynata[166] | Online | 1,001 | 31% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 52.2% | 47.8% |
13–19 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[167] | Online/telephone | 1,401 | 37% | 36% | 11% | 4% | 0.5% | 11.5% | — | 53% | 47% |
29 May 2022 | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party[168] | |||||||||||
21 May 2022 | Election[169][170] | 35.7% | 32.6% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 10.4% | — | 52.1% | 47.9% |
- ^ a b c Resolve Strategic Poll 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election by the Poll Bludger and Kevin Bonham or using the 2PP estimator from Armarium Interreta[1]
Preferred prime minister and leadership polling
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]The following graphical summaries illustrate results from opinion polling for preferred Prime Minister and their respective approval ratings based on data below that is documented in the tables.
Preferred Prime Minister
[edit]Leadership approval ratings
[edit]Albanese
[edit]Dutton
[edit]Preferred Prime Minister and leadership polling table
[edit]2024
[edit]Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Preferred Prime Minister | Albanese | Dutton | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Albanese | Dutton | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | ||||
7–11 August 2024 | Resolve Strategic[2] | Online | 1,607 | 35% | 36% | 29% | 34% | 51% | 15% | −17% | 41% | 38% | 21% | +3% |
5–9 August 2024 | Newspoll[4] | Online | 1,266 | 46% | 39% | 15% | 43% | 51% | 6% | −8% | 40% | 50% | 10% | −10% |
24–28 July 2024 | Essential[171] | Online | 1,137 | — | — | — | 43% | 46% | 11% | −3% | 42% | 41% | 17% | +1% |
19–21 July 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[172] | Online | 1,060 | 45% | 39% | 16%[a] | 34% | 48% | 18% | −14% | 36% | 39% | 25% | −3% |
15–19 July 2024 | Newspoll[172] | Online | 1,258 | 46% | 39% | 15% | 44% | 51% | 5% | −7% | 41% | 49% | 10% | −8% |
12–17 July 2024 | YouGov[11] | Online | 1,528 | 45% | 37% | 18% | 42% | 52% | 6% | −10% | 42% | 46% | 12% | −4% |
10–13 July 2024 | Resolve Strategic[13] | Online | 1,603 | 34% | 35% | 31% | 32% | 54% | 14% | −22% | 39% | 40% | 21% | −1% |
26–30 June 2024 | Essential[173] | Online | 1,141 | — | — | — | 40% | 49% | 11% | −9% | 41% | 42% | 17% | −1% |
24–28 June 2024 | Newspoll[16] | Online | 1,260 | 46% | 38% | 16% | 42% | 53% | 5% | −11% | 38% | 54% | 8% | −16% |
14–16 June 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[18] | Online | 1,060 | 43% | 41% | 16%[b] | 34% | 46% | 20% | −12% | 35% | 40% | 25% | −5% |
11–15 June 2024 | Resolve Strategic[20] | Online | 1,607 | 35% | 36% | 29% | 36% | 50% | 14% | −14% | 42% | 40% | 19% | +2% |
3–7 June 2024 | Newspoll[22] | Online | 1,232 | 46% | 38% | 16% | 43% | 50% | 7% | −7% | 39% | 49% | 12% | −10% |
31 May – 4 June 2024 | YouGov[23] | Online | 1,500 | 47% | 36% | 17% | 41% | 53% | 6% | -12% | 38% | 51% | 11% | −13% |
29 May – 2 June 2024 | Essential[174] | Online | 1,160 | — | — | — | 43% | 47% | 11% | −4% | 41% | 42% | 17% | −1% |
17–19 May 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[26] | Online | 1,056 | 46% | 37% | 16%[c] | 37% | 46% | 18% | −9% | 31% | 40% | 29% | −9% |
15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic[27] | Online | 1,602 | 40% | 32% | 28% | 39% | 49% | 12% | −10% | 39% | 42% | 19% | −3% |
16–18 May 2024 | Newspoll[29] | Online | 1,280 | 52% | 33% | 15% | 47% | 47% | 6% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 12% | −12% |
10–14 May 2024 | YouGov[30] | Online | 1,506 | 44% | 37% | 19% | 41% | 53% | 6% | −12% | 42% | 48% | 10% | −6% |
17–21 April 2024 | Essential[175] | Online | 1,145 | — | — | — | 43% | 48% | 9% | −5% | 44% | 41% | 15% | +3% |
17–21 April 2024 | YouGov[d][176] | Online | 1,092 | 37% | 45% | 18% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
17–21 April 2024 | Resolve Strategic[35] | Online | 1,610 | 41% | 32% | 27% | 43% | 45% | 12% | −2% | 40% | 42% | 17% | −2% |
15–18 April 2024 | Newspoll[38] | Online | 1,236 | 48% | 35% | 17% | 44% | 50% | 6% | −6% | 36% | 51% | 13% | −15% |
12–14 April 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[39] | Online | 1,055 | 45% | 39% | 16%[e] | 38% | 45% | 17% | −7% | 32% | 41% | 27% | −9% |
22–27 March 2024 | YouGov[43] | Online | 1,513 | 46% | 34% | 20% | 41% | 52% | 7% | −11% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% |
21–24 March 2024 | Resolve Strategic[44] | Online | 1,610 | 40% | 30% | 30% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% | 36% | 44% | 20% | −8% |
18–22 March 2024 | Newspoll[46] | Online | 1,223 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 44% | 51% | 5% | −7% | 37% | 52% | 11% | −15% |
8–10 March 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[48] | Online | 1,051 | 47% | 38% | 15%[f] | 37% | 45% | 18% | −8% | 30% | 43% | 27% | −13% |
24 February – 5 March 2024 | YouGov[50] | Online | 1,539 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 44% | 50% | 6% | −6% | 39% | 49% | 12% | −10% |
21–25 February 2024 | Essential[177] | Online | 1,145 | — | — | — | 42% | 47% | 10% | −5% | 40% | 44% | 16% | −4% |
21–24 February 2024 | Resolve Strategic[53] | Online | 1,603 | 39% | 32% | 29% | 41% | 47% | 12% | −6% | 35% | 45% | 20% | −10% |
19–23 February 2024 | Newspoll[54] | Online | 1,245 | 47% | 35% | 18% | 43% | 51% | 6% | −8% | 37% | 51% | 12% | −14% |
16–18 February 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[178] | Online | 1,049 | 42% | 38% | 19%[g] | 38% | 45% | 18% | −7% | 32% | 41% | 28% | −9% |
2–7 February 2024 | YouGov[58] | Online | 1,502 | 45% | 38% | 17% | — | — | — | −16% | — | — | — | −8% |
31 January – 3 February 2024 | Newspoll[61][179] | Online | 1,245 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 42% | 51% | 7% | −9% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
24–28 January 2024 | Essential[180] | Online | 1,201 | — | — | — | 41% | 47% | 12% | −6% | 38% | 43% | 19% | −5% |
12–17 January 2024 | YouGov[64] | Online | 1,532 | 45% | 35% | 20% | — | — | — | −13% | — | — | — | −11% |
10–11 January 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[66][67][68] | Online | 1,007 | 47% | 38% | 15%[h] | 38% | 43% | 19% | −5% | 31% | 40% | 30% | −9% |
2023
[edit]Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Preferred Prime Minister | Albanese | Dutton | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Albanese | Dutton | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | ||||
15–17 December 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[70] | Online | 1,109 | 43% | 39% | 18%[i] | 37% | 42% | 20% | −5% | 34% | 36% | 30% | −2% |
11–15 December 2023 | Newspoll[72] | Online | 1,219 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 42% | 50% | 8% | −8% | 39% | 48% | 13% | −9% |
1–5 December 2023 | YouGov[74][75] | Online | 1,555 | 46% | 36% | 18% | 39% | 55% | 6% | −16% | 39% | 48% | 13% | −9% |
29 November – 3 December 2023 | Resolve Strategic[76] | Online | 1,605 | 42% | 28% | 30% | 37% | 48% | 15% | −11% | 34% | 42% | 24% | −8% |
22–26 November 2023 | Essential[181] | Online | 1,151 | — | — | — | 42% | 47% | 12% | −5% | 39% | 42% | 19% | −3% |
20–24 November 2023 | Newspoll[80] | Online | 1,216 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 40% | 53% | 7% | −13% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
10–14 November 2023 | YouGov[82][182] | Online | 1,582 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 43% | 50% | 7% | −7% | 40% | 47% | 13% | −7% |
1–5 November 2023 | Resolve Strategic[84] | Online | 1,602 | 40% | 27% | 33% | 39% | 46% | 15% | −7% | 36% | 40% | 25% | −4% |
30 October – 3 November 2023 | Newspoll[85] | Online | 1,220 | 46% | 36% | 18% | 42% | 52% | 6% | −10% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
11–14 October 2023 | Essential[183] | Online | 1,125 | — | — | — | 46% | 43% | 11% | +3% | 36% | 43% | 21% | −7% |
4–12 October 2023 | Newspoll[89] | Online | 2,638 | 51% | 31% | 18% | 46% | 46% | 8% | 0% | 35% | 53% | 12% | −18% |
6–10 October 2023 | YouGov[90][182] | Online | 1,519 | 50% | 34% | 16% | 45% | 48% | 7% | −3% | 38% | 50% | 12% | −12% |
3–6 October 2023 | Newspoll[91][92] | Online | 1,225 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 45% | 46% | 9% | −1% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
22 September – 4 October 2023 | Resolve Strategic[93][94] | Online | 1,604 | 47% | 25% | 28% | 43% | 43% | 14% | 0% | 30% | 45% | 25% | −15% |
25–29 September 2023 | YouGov[95][182] | Online | 1,563 | 50% | 33% | 17% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
22–24 September 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[97] | Online | 1,003 | 46% | 37% | 17%[j] | 38% | 41% | 21% | −3% | 30% | 40% | 30% | −10% |
18–22 September 2023 | Newspoll[98][99] | Online | 1,239 | 50% | 30% | 20% | 47% | 44% | 9% | +3% | 32% | 52% | 16% | −20% |
6–9 September 2023 | Resolve Strategic[101][102] | Online | 1,604 | 43% | 28% | 29% | 40% | 47% | 13% | −7% | 35% | 43% | 22% | −8% |
30 August – 3 September 2023 | Essential[184] | Online | 1,151 | — | — | — | 46% | 43% | 10% | +3% | 38% | 43% | 19% | −5% |
28 August – 1 September 2023 | Newspoll[105] | Online | 1,200 | 50% | 31% | 19% | 46% | 47% | 7% | −1% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% |
9–13 August 2023 | Resolve Strategic[108][109] | Online | 1,603 | 46% | 25% | 29% | 44% | 42% | 14% | +2% | 31% | 44% | 24% | −13% |
19–23 July 2023 | Essential[111][185] | Online | 1,150 | — | — | — | 48% | 41% | 11% | +7% | 37% | 43% | 20% | −6% |
12–15 July 2023 | Resolve Strategic[112][113] | Online | 1,610 | 51% | 21% | 28% | 51% | 34% | 15% | +17% | 31% | 47% | 23% | −16% |
12–15 July 2023 | Newspoll[114] | Online | 1,570 | 54% | 29% | 17% | 52% | 41% | 7% | +11% | 36% | 49% | 15% | −13% |
16–24 June 2023 | Newspoll[117] | Online | 2,303 | 52% | 32% | 16% | 52% | 42% | 6% | +10% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% |
29 May – 12 June 2023 | CT Group[186] | Online | 3,000 | — | — | — | 42% | 36% | 22% | +6% | — | — | — | — |
6–11 June 2023 | Resolve Strategic[119][120] | Online | 1,606 | 53% | 22% | 25% | 53% | 35% | 13% | +18% | 28% | 48% | 24% | −20% |
31 May – 3 June 2023 | Newspoll[121] | Online | 1,549 | 55% | 28% | 17% | 55% | 37% | 8% | +18% | 36% | 50% | 14% | −14% |
15–17 May 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[123][124] | Online | 1,005 | 51% | 33% | 16%[k] | 42% | 37% | 21% | +5% | 30% | 42% | 28% | −12% |
10–14 May 2023 | Essential[187] | Online | 1,125 | — | — | — | 54% | 35% | 11% | +19% | 36% | 45% | 19% | −9% |
11–13 May 2023 | Newspoll[126][127] | Online | 1,516 | 56% | 29% | 15% | 57% | 38% | 5% | +19% | 36% | 51% | 13% | −15% |
10–13 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic[128][129] | Online | 1,610 | 53% | 20% | 27% | 56% | 29% | 14% | +27% | 28% | 49% | 23% | −21% |
19–22 April 2023 | Newspoll[131][132] | Online | 1,514 | 54% | 28% | 18% | 53% | 37% | 10% | +16% | 33% | 52% | 15% | −19% |
12–16 April 2023 | Essential[188] | Online | 1,136 | — | — | — | 51% | 36% | 12% | +15% | 36% | 44% | 20% | −8% |
12–16 April 2023 | Resolve Strategic[134][135] | Online | 1,609 | 55% | 21% | 24% | 56% | 29% | 14% | +27% | 26% | 54% | 19% | −28% |
29 March – 2 April 2023 | Essential[189] | Online | 1,133 | — | — | — | 52% | 35% | 13% | +17% | — | — | — | — |
29 March – 1 April 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,500 | 58% | 26% | 16% | 56% | 35% | 9% | +21% | 35% | 48% | 21% | −13% |
12–16 March 2023 | Resolve Strategic[139][138] | Online | 1,600 | 51% | 22% | 27% | 55% | 31% | 13% | +24% | 32% | 44% | 25% | −12% |
1–4 March 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,530 | 54% | 28% | 18% | 55% | 38% | 7% | +17% | 37% | 48% | 15% | −11% |
15–21 February 2023 | Morning Consult | — | — | — | — | — | 57% | 31% | 12% | +26% | — | — | — | — |
15–19 February 2023 | Essential[190] | Online | 1,044 | — | — | — | 53% | 34% | 13% | +19% | — | — | — | — |
15–19 February 2023 | Resolve Strategic[141][142] | Online | 1,604 | 55% | 23% | 22% | 56% | 30% | 13% | +26% | 29% | 45% | 26% | −16% |
1–4 February 2023 | Newspoll[143][144] | Online | 1,512 | 56% | 26% | 18% | 57% | 33% | 10% | +24% | 36% | 46% | 18% | −10% |
18–22 January 2023 | Essential[191] | Online | 1,050 | — | — | — | 55% | 31% | 13% | +24% | — | — | — | — |
17–22 January 2023 | Resolve Strategic[146][145] | Online | 1,606 | 55% | 20% | 25% | 60% | 25% | 15% | +35% | 28% | 46% | 26% | −18% |
2022
[edit]Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Preferred Prime Minister | Albanese | Dutton | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Albanese | Dutton | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | ||||
16–18 December 2022 | Freshwater Strategy[147][148][149] | Online | 1,209 | 55% | 29% | 16%[l] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
7–11 December 2022 | Essential[192] | Online | 1,042 | – | – | – | 60% | 27% | 13% | +33% | – | – | – | – |
30 November – 4 December 2022 | Resolve Strategic[150][151] | Online | 1,611 | 54% | 19% | 27% | 60% | 24% | 16% | +36% | 28% | 43% | 29% | –15% |
30 November – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[152] | Online | 1,508 | 59% | 24% | 17% | 62% | 29% | 9% | +33% | 36% | 45% | 19% | –9% |
16–22 November 2022 | Morning Consult[193] | Online | — | – | – | – | 56% | 31% | 25% | +25% | – | – | – | – |
9–14 November 2022 | Essential[194] | Online | 1,035 | – | – | – | 60% | 27% | 13% | +33% | – | – | – | – |
27–30 October 2022 | Newspoll[154] | Online | 1,500 | 54% | 27% | 19% | 59% | 33% | 8% | +26% | 39% | 46% | 15% | –7% |
26–30 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[155][154][195] | Online | 1,611 | 53% | 19% | 28% | 57% | 28% | 16% | +29% | 29% | 41% | 30% | –12% |
13–16 October 2022 | Freshwater Strategic[m][196] | Online | 1,042 | – | – | – | 50% | 26% | 24% | +24% | 33% | 34% | 33% | –1% |
11–16 October 2022 | Essential[197] | Online | 1,122 | – | – | – | 58% | 26% | 15% | +32% | – | – | – | – |
5–9 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[156][157] | Online | 1,604 | 53% | 18% | 29% | 60% | 25% | 15% | +35% | 30% | 41% | 28% | –11% |
14–18 September 2022 | Resolve Strategic[158][159] | Online | 1,607 | 53% | 19% | 28% | 60% | 24% | 16% | +36% | 28% | 40% | 32% | –12% |
31 August – 4 September 2022 | Essential[198] | Online | 1,070 | — | — | — | 59% | 25% | 15% | +34% | — | — | — | — |
31 August – 3 September 2022 | Newspoll[160] | Online | 1,505 | 61% | 22% | 17% | 61% | 29% | 10% | +32% | 35% | 43% | 22% | –8% |
17–21 August 2022 | Resolve Strategic[162][163] | Online | 2,011 | 55% | 17% | 28% | 61% | 22% | 17% | +39% | 30% | 37% | 32% | –7% |
3–7 August 2022 | Essential[199] | Online | 1,075 | — | — | — | 55% | 28% | 18% | +27% | — | — | — | — |
27–30 July 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[164] | Online | 1,508 | 59% | 25% | 16% | 61% | 26% | 13% | +35% | 37% | 41% | 22% | –4% |
7–11 July 2022 | Essential[200] | Online | 1,097 | — | — | — | 56% | 24% | 20% | +32% | — | — | — | — |
8–12 June 2022 | Essential[201] | Online | 1,087 | — | — | — | 59% | 18% | 23% | +41% | — | — | — | — |
23–31 May 2022 | Morning Consult[202] | Online | 3,770 | — | — | — | 51% | 24% | 25% | +27% | — | — | — | — |
- ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
- ^ Polling conducted in Queensland.
- ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 16% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 5% "Unsure" + 13% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 14% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 5% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
- ^ Polling conducted in NSW.
Sub-national polling
[edit]New South Wales
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | ||||
9–14 July 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 509 | 39% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 2% | 48.5% | 51.5% | |
15 April – 26 June 2024 | Newspoll[203] | 1,567 | 40% | 33% | 11% | 6% | — | — | 10% | 49% | 51% | |
11–16 June 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 510 | 37% | 29% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 50% | 50% | |
15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 511 | 35% | 31% | 10% | 7% | 1% | 13% | 2% | 51% | 49% | |
17–21 April 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 511 | 35% | 31% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 51.5% | 48.5% | |
21–24 March 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 511 | 35% | 33% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 12% | 2% | 52.5% | 47.5% | |
31 January – 22 March 2024 | Newspoll[203] | 1,152 | 38% | 32% | 12% | 7% | — | — | 11% | 50% | 50% | |
21–24 February 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 509 | 37% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 52% | 48% | |
31 October – 15 December 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 1,139 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | — | 11% | 51% | 49% | |
29 November – 3 December 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 510 | 35% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 10% | 2% | 54.5% | 45.5% | |
1–5 November 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 509 | 31% | 37% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 58% | 42% | |
28 August – 12 October 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 1,565 | 34% | 38% | 13% | 5% | — | — | 10% | 56% | 44% | |
22 September – 4 October 2023 | Resolve Strategic[93] | 1,502 | 32% | 34% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 55% | 45% | |
6–9 September 2023 | Resolve Strategic[101] | 509 | 36% | 39% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 54% | 46% | |
9–12 August 2023 | Resolve Strategic[108] | 509 | 34% | 42% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 58% | 42% | |
12–15 July 2023 | Resolve Strategic[112] | 511 | 32% | 39% | 10% | 9% | 0% | 8% | 2% | 56.5% | 43.5% | |
6–11 June 2023 | Resolve Strategic[119] | 510 | 33% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 56.5% | 43.5% | |
14–16 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic[128] | 511 | 30% | 46% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 61% | 39% | |
21 April 2023 | Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party | |||||||||||
12–16 April 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 511 | 30% | 43% | 9% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 59.5% | 40.5% | |
1 February – 3 April 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 1,414 | 35% | 38% | 10% | 7% | — | — | 10% | 55% | 45% | |
25 March 2023 | Labor wins a minority government at the state election | |||||||||||
12–16 March 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 508 | 35% | 39% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 55.5% | 44.5% | |
15–19 February 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 509 | 31% | 41% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 58.5% | 41.5% | |
17–22 January 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 512 | 31% | 40% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 57.5% | 42.5% | |
30 November – 4 December 2022 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 512 | 33% | 38% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 56.5% | 43.5% | |
27 July – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[203] | 1,817 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 6% | — | — | 10% | 55% | 45% | |
26–30 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[155] | 512 | 32% | 41% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 57.9% | 42.1% | |
5–9 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[156] | 509 | 32% | 39% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 57% | 43% | |
14–18 September 2022 | Resolve Strategic[158] | 510 | 29% | 41% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 58.5% | 41.5% | |
17–21 August 2022 | Resolve Strategic[162] | 639 | 29% | 42% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 60.5% | 39.5% | |
21 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[167] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
21 May 2022 | Election | 36.5% | 33.4% | 10% | 4.8% | 4% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 51.4% | 48.6% |
- ^ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in New South Wales.
Victoria
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | UAP | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | ||||
9–14 July 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 404 | 36% | 30% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 52.5% | 47.5% | |
15 April – 26 June 2024 | Newspoll[203] | 393 | 36% | 33% | 15% | — | 6% | — | 10% | 54% | 46% | |
11–16 June 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 405 | 32% | 29% | 15% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 54% | 46% | |
15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 406 | 34% | 29% | 14% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 2% | 52.5% | 47.5% | |
17–21 April 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 406 | 34% | 32% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 2% | 52.5% | 47.5% | |
21–24 March 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 406 | 35% | 35% | 13% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 54.5% | 45.5% | |
31 January – 22 March 2024 | Newspoll[203] | 926 | 34% | 33% | 16% | — | 5% | — | 12% | 55% | 45% | |
21–24 February 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 404 | 34% | 32% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 54% | 46% | |
31 October – 15 December 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 917 | 34% | 34% | 15% | — | 5% | — | 12% | 55% | 45% | |
29 November – 3 December 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 405 | 34% | 37% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 55.5% | 44.5% | |
1–5 November 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 404 | 25% | 37% | 14% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 60.5% | 39.5% | |
28 August – 12 October 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 887 | 35% | 36% | 13% | — | 4% | — | 12% | 54% | 46% | |
Daniel Andrews resigns as Premier of Victoria, replaced by Jacinta Allan | ||||||||||||
22 September – 4 October 2023 | Resolve Strategic[93] | 1,192 | 30% | 39% | 11% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 58% | 42% | |
6–9 September 2023 | Resolve Strategic[101] | 404 | 32% | 40% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 58.5% | 41.5% | |
9–12 August 2023 | Resolve Strategic[108] | 404 | 30% | 38% | 14% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 59.5% | 40.5% | |
12–15 July 2023 | Resolve Strategic[112] | 406 | 26% | 42% | 13% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 58% | 42% | |
6–11 June 2023 | Resolve Strategic[119] | 405 | 25% | 40% | 15% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 62.5% | 37.5% | |
14–16 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic[128] | 406 | 25% | 48% | 12% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 66% | 34% | |
12–16 April 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 406 | 32% | 39% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 57.5% | 42.5% | |
1 February – 3 April 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 1,193 | 33% | 41% | 11% | — | 4% | — | 11% | 58% | 42% | |
12–16 March 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 403 | 29% | 43% | 9% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 60% | 40% | |
15–19 February 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 404 | 27% | 40% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 11% | 2% | 62% | 38% | |
17–22 January 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 406 | 31% | 41% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 59.5% | 40.5% | |
30 November – 4 December 2022 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 406 | 27% | 46% | 11% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 63.5% | 36.5% | |
26 November 2022 | Labor wins a third term at the state election | |||||||||||
27 July – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[203] | 1,448 | 33% | 37% | 13% | — | 5% | — | 12% | 57% | 43% | |
26–30 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[155] | 406 | 32% | 39% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 58% | 42% | |
5–9 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[156] | 404 | 30% | 40% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 58% | 42% | |
14–18 September 2022 | Resolve Strategic[158] | 405 | 30% | 38% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 59.5% | 40.5% | |
17–21 August 2022 | Resolve Strategic[162] | 507 | 24% | 42% | 11% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 63% | 37% | |
21 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[167] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60.5% | 39.5% | |
21 May 2022 | Election | 33.1% | 32.9% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 54.8% | 45.2% |
- ^ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in Victoria.
Queensland
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | IND | OTH | LNP | ALP | |||
9–14 July 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 326 | 44% | 23% | 10% | 7% | 0% | 14% | 1% | 57.5% | 42.5% |
15 April – 26 June 2024 | Newspoll[203] | 328 | 40% | 27% | 13% | 10% | — | — | 10% | 54% | 46% |
11–16 June 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 327 | 40% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 1% | 11% | 3% | 54.5% | 45.5% |
15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 327 | 43% | 26% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 55.5% | 44.5% |
17–21 April 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 327 | 40% | 25% | 14% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 54% | 46% |
21–24 March 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 327 | 36% | 30% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 49% | 51% |
31 January – 22 March 2024 | Newspoll[203] | 772 | 41% | 29% | 12% | 7% | — | — | 11% | 53% | 47% |
21–24 February 2024 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 326 | 44% | 32% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 54.5% | 45.5% |
Annastacia Palaszczuk resigns as Premier of Queensland, replaced by Steven Miles | |||||||||||
31 October – 15 December 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 764 | 41% | 27% | 12% | 8% | — | — | 12% | 54% | 46% |
29 November – 3 December 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 326 | 38% | 33% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 0% | 49.5% | 50.5% |
1–5 November 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 326 | 36% | 31% | 12% | 11% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 50% | 50% |
28 August – 12 October 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 887 | 39% | 30% | 11% | 9% | — | — | 11% | 52% | 48% |
22 September – 4 October 2023 | Resolve Strategic[93] | 961 | 34% | 33% | 11% | 9% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 48% | 52% |
6–9 September 2023 | Resolve Strategic[101] | 326 | 35% | 29% | 16% | 9% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 49% | 51% |
9–12 August 2023 | Resolve Strategic[108] | 326 | 40% | 28% | 9% | 8% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 54% | 46% |
12–15 July 2023 | Resolve Strategic[112] | 327 | 36% | 33% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 1% | 48% | 52% |
6–11 June 2023 | Resolve Strategic[119] | 327 | 31% | 38% | 10% | 11% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 45% | 55% |
14–16 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic[128] | 327 | 39% | 27% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 51.5% | 48.5% |
12–16 April 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 327 | 29% | 37% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 42.5% | 57.5% |
1 February – 3 April 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 995 | 39% | 33% | 10% | 8% | — | — | 10% | 50% | 50% |
12–16 March 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 325 | 24% | 39% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 14% | 2% | 38.5% | 61.5% |
15–19 February 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 326 | 35% | 39% | 10% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 46% | 54% |
17–22 January 2023 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 328 | 30% | 38% | 11% | 9% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 43.5% | 56.5% |
30 November – 4 December 2022 | Resolve Strategic[203] | 328 | 34% | 43% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 44% | 56% |
27 July – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[203] | 1,207 | 40% | 33% | 12% | 6% | — | — | 9% | 51% | 49% |
26–30 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[155] | 328 | 32% | 36% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 43% | 57% |
5–9 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[156] | 326 | 38% | 31% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 50% | 50% |
14–18 September 2022 | Resolve Strategic[158] | 327 | 31% | 42% | 7% | 10% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 44% | 56% |
17–21 August 2022 | Resolve Strategic[162] | 409 | 31% | 37% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 42.5% | 57.5% |
21 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[167] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 50% | 50% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 39.6% | 27.4% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 54% | 46% |
- ^ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in Queensland.
Western Australia
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary voting.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP | |||
15 April – 26 June 2024 | Newspoll[203] | 156 | 34% | 37% | 11% | 5% | — | 13% | — | 52% | 48% |
31 January – 22 March 2024 | Newspoll[203] | 368 | 34% | 39% | 8% | 6% | — | 13% | — | 49% | 51% |
31 October – 15 December 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 364 | 37% | 37% | 11% | 5% | — | 10% | — | 54% | 46% |
6–13 December 2023 | RedBridge[204] | 1,203 | 39% | 37% | 12% | 5% | — | 7% | — | 55.2% | 44.8% |
28 August – 12 October 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 620 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 6% | — | 8% | — | 53% | 47% |
Mark McGowan stands down as Premier of Western Australia, replaced by Roger Cook | |||||||||||
1 February – 3 April 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 474 | 40% | 33% | 11% | 6% | — | 14% | — | 57% | 43% |
Libby Mettam replaces David Honey as the WA Liberal leader | |||||||||||
27 July – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[203] | 575 | 39% | 34% | 9% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 55% | 45% |
21 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[167] | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 36.8% | 34.8% | 12.5% | 4% | 2.3% | 9.6% | — | 55% | 45% |
South Australia
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary voting.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP | |||
15 April – 26 June 2024 | Newspoll[203] | 368 | 34% | 34% | 11% | 12% | — | 9% | — | 53% | 47% |
31 January – 22 March 2024 | Newspoll[203] | 278 | 33% | 35% | 11% | 10% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
31 October – 15 December 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 277 | 35% | 38% | 10% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 55% | 45% |
28 August – 12 October 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 362 | 30% | 40% | 10% | 11% | — | 9% | — | 57% | 43% |
1 February – 3 April 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 362 | 35% | 38% | 12% | 5% | — | 10% | — | 56% | 44% |
27 July – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[203] | 449 | 35% | 40% | 12% | 6% | — | 7% | — | 57% | 43% |
21 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[167] | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60.5% | 39.5% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 35.54% | 34.46% | 12.77% | 4.83% | 3.89% | 8.51% | — | 53.97% | 46.03% |
Tasmania
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | JLN | UAP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
23 March 2024 | State Election | 36.7% | 29% | 13.9% | 6.7% | — | 8% | 5.7% | |||
28 August – 12 October 2023 | Newspoll[203] | 366 | 25% | 30% | 13% | — | — | 27% | 57% | 43% | |
21 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[167] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 63% | 37% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 32.9% | 27.3% | 12% | - | 11.2% | 10.8% | 54.3% | 45.7% |
Northern Territory
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]Polling
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CLP | ALP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | CLP | |||
16–18 November 2023 | Redbridge Group[206] | 601 | 40.4% | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 43.9% | 56.1% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 29.4% | 38.2% | 13.1% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 12.7% | 55.5% | 44.5% |
Individual seat polling
[edit]Occasionally, opinion polling is conducted in individual electoral divisions.
New South Wales
[edit]Cook
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | ALP | GRN | IND | OTH | LIB | ALP | GRN | ||||
13 April 2024 | By-election | 62.7% | — | 16.4% | 5.7% | 15.2% | 71.3% | — | 28.7% | ||
28 March 2024 | uComms[b] | 914 | ± 3.6% | 53% | — | 17% | 12% | 10% | 65% | — | 35% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 55.3% | 25.0% | 9.9% | — | 9.8% | 62.4% | 37.6% | — |
Mackellar
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2cp vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | IND | ALP | GRN | OTH | UND | IND | LIB | ||||
5 February 2024 | uComms[b] | 602 | ±3.85% | 35.3% | 30.4% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 10.8% | 54.0% | 46.0% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 41.4% | 38.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Wentworth
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2cp vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | IND | ALP | GRN | OTH | UND | IND | LIB | ||||
5 February 2024 | uComms[b] | 643 | ±3.85% | 35.5% | 32.1% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 57.0% | 43.0% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 40.5% | 35.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.6% | — | 54.2% | 45.8% |
Victoria
[edit]Dunkley
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | LIB | GRN | LP | OTH | ALP | LIB | ||||
2 March 2024 | By-election | 41.1% | 39.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 10.8% | 52.7% | 47.3% | ||
15–22 February 2024 | YouGov[207] | 394 | ± 6.1% | 33% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 15% | 49% | 51% |
5–6 February 2024 | uComms[b] | 626 | ± 3.9% | 40.1% | 39.3% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 10.8% | 52.0% | 48.0% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 40.2% | 32.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 16.9% | 56.3% | 43.7% |
Kooyong
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2cp vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | IND | ALP | GRN | OTH | UND | IND | LIB | ||||
5 February 2024 | uComms[b] | 647 | ±3.9% | 36.8% | 32.5% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 9.7% | 56.0% | 44.0% |
24–25 July 2023 | uComms[b] | 821 | ±3.4% | 40.3% | 31.6% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 51.0% | 49.0% |
21 May 2022 | Election | 42.7% | 40.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | — | 52.9% | 47.1% |
See also
[edit]- Opinion polling for the 2022 Australian federal election
- Post-election pendulum for the 2022 Australian federal election
Notes
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am "The Essential Report: Political Insights". Essential Research. Archived from the original on 12 August 2024. Retrieved 13 August 2024.
- ^ a b Crowe, David (2024-08-11). "Voters mark down Labor on economic management after RBA rates call". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 2024-08-11.
- ^ "Federal voting intention: ALP and Coalition are tied on 50% each two-party preferred in mid-August". Roy Morgan. 12 August 2024.
- ^ a b Benson, Simon (11 August 2024). "Newspoll: Minority rule feared as Coalition rises and Labor falls". The Australian.
- ^ "Labor edges further ahead as inflation is lower than expected and interest rates set to remain unchanged: ALP 51.5% cf. L-NP 48.5%". Roy Morgan. 5 August 2024.
- ^ "Labor has slight edge in 'too close to call' election as both major parties lose primary support: ALP 50.5% cf. L-NP 49.5%". Roy Morgan. 29 July 2024.
- ^ "Coalition overtakes Labor in popular vote". Australian Financial Review. 2024-07-21. Retrieved 2024-07-25.
- ^ "Coalition gains slight edge over Labor after controversy about alleged union corruption: L-NP 51% cf. ALP 49%". Roy Morgan. 22 July 2024.
- ^ Benson, Simon (21 July 2024). "Newspoll: Less than a third want Anthony Albanese as Labor leader, Peter Dutton no better off". The Australian.
- ^ "New RedBridge poll shows Coalition has pulled ahead of ALP". The Daily Telegraph. Retrieved 28 July 2024.
- ^ a b "YouGov: 51-49 to Labor (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 2024-07-29.
- ^ "Federal Election is 'too close to call': L-NP 50.5% cf. ALP 49.5%". Roy Morgan. 15 July 2024.
- ^ a b Crowe, David (15 July 2024). "Voters swing to Dutton in new sign of angst over economy". The Sydney Morning Herald.
- ^ "L-NP (52%) takes the lead over ALP (48%) after ALP disunity on Palestine". Roy Morgan. 8 July 2024.
- ^ "Federal voting intentions unchanged after release of Julian Assange and higher than expected inflation figures: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49%". Roy Morgan. 1 July 2024.
- ^ a b Benson, Simon (30 June 2024). "Newspoll: Support for Coalition and Labor falls as nuclear debate divides along party lines". The Australian.
- ^ "Peter Dutton puts nuclear power on the agenda as ALP edges ahead of Coalition on two-party preferred: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49%". Roy Morgan. 24 June 2024.
- ^ a b "Labor slumps on climate, cost of living as Albanese's ratings fall". Australian Financial Review. 2024-06-16. Retrieved 2024-06-16.
- ^ "ALP & Coalition are now even on two-party preferred terms in mid-June: ALP 50% cf. L-NP 50%". Roy Morgan. 17 June 2024.
- ^ a b Crowe, David (16 June 2024). "Dutton edges ahead as voters thump Labor on economy". The Sydney Morning Herald.
- ^ "ALP Government strengthens its two-party preferred lead over the Coalition to the largest for three months: ALP 53.5% cf. L-NP 46.5%". Roy Morgan. 11 June 2024.
- ^ a b Benson, Simon (9 June 2024). "Newspoll: Labor, Greens go backwards as Coalition hits three-year primary vote high". The Australian.
- ^ a b "84% of Australians support the right to strike for better wages and work conditions". YouGov Australia. 7 June 2024.
- ^ "ALP Government regains the initiative after vowing to dump 'Directive 99' and the tragedy in Papua New Guinea grabbed the headlines: ALP 52% cf. ALP 48%". Roy Morgan. 3 June 2024.
- ^ "Coalition enjoys its largest two-party preferred lead since the last Federal Election: L-NP 51.5% cf. ALP 48.5%". Roy Morgan. 27 May 2024.
- ^ a b "Underwhelmed voters fear budget will lift rates". Australian Financial Review. 2024-05-19. Retrieved 2024-05-19.
- ^ a b Crowe, David (19 May 2024). "Voters favour deeper cuts to migration as Labor misses budget boost". The Sydney Morning Herald.
- ^ "No 'Budget Boost' for Government as ALP loses ground after Federal Budget is delivered: ALP 50.5% cf. L-NP 49.5%". Roy Morgan. 20 May 2024.
- ^ a b Benson, Simon (19 May 2024). "Newspoll: Budget falls flat with voters". The Australian.
- ^ a b "Australians think Housing Affordability is the top federal issue". YouGov Australia. 17 May 2024.
- ^ "ALP maintains election winning lead over Coalition for a fourth straight week before Federal Budget is delivered: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48%". Roy Morgan. 13 May 2024.
- ^ "ALP maintains election winning lead over Coalition in early May for third straight week: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48%". Roy Morgan. 6 May 2024.
- ^ "ALP maintains election winning lead over Coalition in late April: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48%". Roy Morgan. 29 April 2024.
- ^ "Younger Australians are less willing to fight in "unnecessary" wars". YouGov Australia. 24 April 2024.
- ^ a b Crowe, David (21 April 2024). "Labor vote falls to new low as Australians buckle under cost-of-living pressure". The Sydney Morning Herald.
- ^ "ALP regains two-party preferred lead as Coalition loses ground: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48%". Roy Morgan. 22 April 2024.
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