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{{Greek elections}} |
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Revision as of 05:59, 30 May 2012
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A new legislative election in Greece is scheduled to be held on Sunday 17 June 2012,[1] asking the voters once again to elect all 300 members to the Hellenic Parliament in accordance with the constitution, after a coalition government was unable to be formed following the May election. The constitution directs the head of state to dissolve a newly elected parliament, if all constitutional attempts to form a new government fail, and then call for new parliamentary elections within 30 days after having dissolved the parliament.
Background
By section 37 of the Constitution, the President of the Republic shall consecutively give the leaders of the three largest parties in Parliament an exploratory mandate to set up a government within three days, until one leader succeeds. If none does, "the President of the Republic shall summon all party leaders, and if the impossibility to form a Cabinet enjoying the confidence of the Parliament is confirmed, he shall attempt to form a Cabinet composed of all parties in Parliament for the purpose of holding parliamentary elections. If this fails, he shall entrust the President of the Supreme Administrative Court or of the Supreme Civil and Criminal Court or of the Court of Auditors to form a Cabinet as widely accepted as possible to carry out elections and dissolve Parliament."[2]
May election
At the 6 May election, no party won an absolute majority of seats. President Karolos Papoulias, in accordance with the constitution, offered successive exploratory mandates to the leaders of the three largest parties: Antonis Samaras of New Democracy (ND), Alexis Tsipras of the Coalition of the Radical Left (SYRIZA), and Evangelos Venizelos of the Panhellenic Socialist Movement (PASOK). Each in turn failed to form a government and returned their mandates to the President.[3]
On 13 May the President, followed the terms of Section 37 of the constitution and met with all party leaders in an attempt to find a way to form a majority government.[4] Upon its failure the president would then entrust the President of the Supreme Administrative Court or of the Supreme Civil and Criminal Court or of the Court of Auditors to form a Cabinet as widely accepted as possible to carry out elections and dissolves Parliament."[5]
German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble said the election would be a referendum on Greece's continuation as a member of the eurozone. "If Greece—and this is the will of the great majority—wants to stay in the euro, then they have to accept the conditions," he said. "Otherwise it isn’t possible. No responsible candidate can hide that from the electorate."[6]
Incumbent parliament
Seven parties were elected at the May 2012 election, but this Parliament was short-lived as a coalition government could not be formed and elections were called.
Distribution of seats in parliament | May election | ||
---|---|---|---|
Official parties | |||
New Democracy (ND) | 108 | ||
Coalition of the Radical Left (SYRIZA) | 52 | ||
Panhellenic Socialist Movement (PASOK) | 41 | ||
Independent Greeks (ANEL) | 33 | ||
Communist Party of Greece (KKE) | 26 | ||
Golden Dawn (XA) | 21 | ||
Democratic Left (DIMAR) | 19 |
Opinion polls
Many of the early polls showed SYRIZA taking the lead in popular support, ahead of ND and PASOK.[7][8]
Date conducted | Company | ND/DISY | SYRIZA | PASOK | ANEL | KKE | XA | DIMAR | DX/DRASI-FS | OP | LAOS | Others | Undecided/blank | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 May 2012 | Previous election | 18.85 | 2.55 | 16.78 | 13.18 | 10.60 | 8.48 | 6.97 | 6.11 | 2.15 | 1.80 | 2.93 | 2.90 | 6.70 | Adjusted |
8–9 May[9] | Marc/Alpha | 20.3 | 1.5 | 27.7 | 12.6 | 10.2 | 7.0 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3.0 | Adjusted |
9–10 May[10] | Metron | 21.7 | 1.9 | 25.5 | 14.6 | 10.5 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.6 | Adjusted |
9–10 May[10] | Metron | 17.3 | 1.5 | 20.3 | 11.6 | 8.4 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 2.1 | Undecided: 15.2, Abstain: 5.2 |
(12 May)[11] | Kapa | 18.1 | 2.5 | 20.5 | 12.2 | 8.4 | 6.5 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 1.7 | Undecided: 10.9 |
10–11 May[12] | Rass | 19.4 | 2.4 | 20.5 | 11.8 | 7.8 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 6.2 | 2.3 | N/A | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3.7 | Undecided: 11.3, Abstain: 2.2 |
(16 May)[13] | Pulse RC | 19.5 | 1.5 | 22 | 14 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | Undecided: 8.0, Abstain: 3.0 |
(16 May)[13] | Pulse RC | 21.5 | 2 | 24.5 | 15.5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2.5 | Adjusted |
(17 May)[14][15] | Marc/Alpha | 23.1 | 1.4 | 21.0 | 13.2 | 7.2 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2.0 | Undecided: 8.7, Abstain: 2.8 |
15–17 May[16] | Public Issue | 24 | N/A | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 4.5 | 7 | 3 | N/A | 1.5 | N/A | 4 | Adjusted |
16–17 May[17][18] | Metron | 19.7 | N/A | 20.8 | 14.4 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 4 | 5.2 | 2.3 | N/A | N/A | 1.5 | 3.6 | Undecided: 11.5, Abstain: 5.6 |
??-18 May[19] | Rass | 20.2 | 2.5 | 21.7 | 11.7 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 3.7 | 6.2 | 2.0 | N/A | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3.3 | Undecided: 10.9, Abstain: 1.8 |
18–23 May[20][21] | Public Issue | 26 | N/A | 30 | 15.5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 6.5 | 3 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 | Adjusted |
21–23 May[22] | Data RC | 23.5 | 23.0 | 10.6 | 5.3 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.4 | Undecided: 16.1, Abstain: 4.1 | |
21–23 May[22] | Data RC | 29.4 | 28.8 | 13.3 | 6.6 | 5.8 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.8 | Adjusted | |
22–24 May[23] | VPRC | 26 | 28.5 | 12.5 | 7 | 5 | 5.5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0.5 | 3 | Adjusted | ||
23–24 May[24][25] | Metron | 27.0 | 27.2 | 14.8 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.7 | Adjusted | ||
23–24 May[26] | Rass | 23.6 | 21.4 | 13.1 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.7 | Undecided: 13.1, Abstain: 1.5 | ||
Date conducted | Company | ND/DISY | SYRIZA | PASOK | ANEL | KKE | XA | DIMAR | DX/DRASI-FS | OP | LAOS | Others | Undecided/blank |
- Note on varying poll methodology: The polls shown above with figures in yellow lines, recorded raw responses as a percentage of total responses. All the other polls recorded their projected estimate of vote tally, after disregarding all blank votes and abstenties, and after adjusting for "the likely votes" of "undecided voters". The latter method (i.e. used by Public Issue) is commonly preferred, as it emulates the same vote percentage calculation as in the official election. The first method with raw responses, will per definition always result in some relative lower percentage points for all parties (due to the party votes now being divided by the higher figure "total of all responses", instead of divided by the lower figure "total of all valid votes"). Therefore the percentage numbers listed by each of these two methods, are not directly comparable to each other.
Predictions of seats
Date of the conducted poll |
Company |
ND | SYRIZA | PASOK | ANEL | KKE | XA | DIMAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8–9 May[9] | Marc/Alpha | 57 | 128 | 36 | 29 | 20 | 16 | 14 |
(17 May)[14] | Marc/Alpha | 123 | 66 | 41 | 23 | 16 | 13 | 18 |
16–17 May[17] | Metron | 65 | 119 | 48 | 22 | 16 | 13 | 17 |
23–24 May[24] | Metron | 71 | 121 | 39 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 16 |
Campaign
Even before the election had been called, DIMAR leader Kouvelis stated that DIMAR would likely not want to participate in a SYRIZA-led government even after repeated elections, as SYRIZA had declined to participate in a unity government with ND, PASOK and DIMAR.[27]
Before the election, it was expected that larger parties would try to form alliances with smaller parties; specifically, ND was in negotiations with DISY, while DISY was also negotiating with Drasi,[28] and SYRIZA was trying to form an alliance with Social Agreement.[29][30] There were also rumours of SYRIZA negotiating with the Ecologist Greens and ANTARSYA.[31]
ND and DISY announced an alliance on 21 May,[32][33][34] and Drasi and Recreate Greece also announced an alliance on the same day.[35]
The Democratic Left said that it would only work with SYRIZA on the condition that there were guarantees of staying within the eurozone.[36]
EU influence
An EU summit ended on 24 May with calls for Greece to stick to the terms of the agreement for more funds to tackle its debt problems.[37][38] This followed calls by British Prime Minister David Cameron[39] and purportedly German Chancellor Angela Merkel (claimed by Greek officials,[38] but denied by Merkel[40]) for the election to be a referendum on staying within the eurozone, a move that was criticised by the heads of ND, SYRIZA, PASOK, and KKE; the interim prime minister; and the Greek media[41][42][43] and Tsipiras' tour of European cities[44] to clarify his stance on the bailout and willingness to stay with the eurozone.[45]
See also
References
- ^ "Greece to hold new election on 17 June". BBC News. 16 May 2012. Retrieved 16 May 2012.
- ^ "Constitution of Greece". Hellenic Resources Network. Retrieved 16 May 2012.
- ^ "Greek President Takes Over Negotiations to Form Coalition Government". The Wall Street Journal. 12 May 2012. Retrieved 16 May 2012.
- ^ "Greece crisis: Party chiefs in last-ditch talks". BBC News. 13 May 2012. Retrieved 13 May 2012.
- ^ Smith, Helena (15 May 2012). "Greece to hold more coalition talks". The Guardian. Retrieved 16 May 2012.
- ^ "Greek vote escalates crisis as Schaeuble raises Euro-exit". Bloomberg. 15 May 2012. Retrieved 16 May 2012.
- ^ Lowen, Mark (6 April 2012). "Greek Pasok leader Evangelos Venizelos hits stalemate". BBC News. Retrieved 16 May 2012.
- ^ Becatoros, Elena; Neuger, James G. (11 May 2012). "Greek govt talks fail, country closer to new vote". ABC News. Associated Press. Retrieved 16 May 2012.
{{cite news}}
: More than one of|author1=
and|author=
specified (help) - ^ a b "Έρευνα της MARC για τον Alpha (10 Μαΐου 2012)" (PDF) (in Greek). Eklogika.gr. 10 May 2012. Retrieved 10 May 2012.
- ^ a b "Έρευνα της Metron Analysis για τον Επενδυτή (12 Μαΐου 2012)" (PDF) (in Greek). Eklogika.gr. 11 May 2012. Retrieved 11 May 2012.
- ^ "Ενισχυμένος ο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ σε νέα δημοσκόπηση Αθηναϊκό Πρακτορείο Ειδήσεων – Μακεδονικό Πρακτορείο Ειδήσεων" (in Greek). Ana.gr. 12 May 2012. Retrieved 16 May 2012.
- ^ "Δημοσκόπηση για τον Ελεύθερο Τύπο: "Ναι" στο ευρώ, "όχι" στους χειρισμούς Τσίπρα" (in Greek). e-typos.com. 14 May 2012. Retrieved 16 May 2012.
- ^ a b "Δημοσκόπηση – έκπληξη από την Pulse RC στο "Ποντίκι"" (in Greek). το Ποντίκι. 16 May 2012. Retrieved 16 May 2012.
- ^ a b "Πρωτιά στη ΝΔ με 23,1% δίνει νέα δημοσκόπηση" (in Greek). in.gr. 17 May 2012. Retrieved 17 May 2012.
- ^ "εδώ και τώρα: Η "Δημοσκόπηση" της Marc για τον Alpha - Κάποιοι δεν μας δουλεύουν απλώς αλλά μας επεξεργάζονται επιστημονικά!". Edoketora.blogspot.com. 15 May 2012. Retrieved 26 May 2012.
- ^ "Public Issue: Πολιτικό Βαρόμετρο 106, Μάιος 2012" (in Greek). Skai / Kathimerini. 20 May 2012. Retrieved 20 May 2012.
- ^ a b "Δημοσκόπηση Metron Analysis: ΣΥΡΙΖΑ 25,1%, ΝΔ 23,8%, ΠΑΣΟΚ 17,4%" (in Greek). Iefimerida.gr. 19 May 2012. Retrieved 19 May 2012.
- ^ "Στο συν-πλην 1% ΝΔ και ΣΥΡΙΖΑ στη μάχη τριών νέων δημοσκοπήσεων" (in Greek). news247.gr. 19 May 2012. Retrieved 19 May 2012.
- ^ "Ενισχύεται η Ν.Δ. σε νέα δημοσκόπηση για τη metro weekend" (in Greek). metrogreece.gr. 19 May 2012. Retrieved 19 May 2012.
- ^ "Poll shows Syriza in ballot lead". Athens News. 24 May 2012. Retrieved 24 May 2012.
- ^ "Public Issue: Πολιτικό Βαρόμετρο 107, 2ο κύμα Μαΐου 2012". Skai / Kathimerini. 24 May 2012. Retrieved 24 May 2012.
- ^ a b "Πανελλαδική έρευνα εκλογικής συμπεριφοράς" (PDF) (in Greek). pelop.gr. 24 May 2012. Retrieved 24 May 2012.
- ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Vprc: Σταθεροποιείται η πρωτιά του ΣΥΡΙΖΑ" (in Greek). tvxs.gr. 25 May 2012. Retrieved 25 May 2012.
- ^ a b ""Κούρσα" για δύο οι εκλογές" (in Greek). ant1online.gr. 25 May 2012. Retrieved 25 May 2012.
- ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Metron Analysis: Μάχη για την πρωτιά – ΣΥΡΙΖΑ 27,2%, ΝΔ 27%" (in Greek). Iefimerida.gr. 25 May 2012. Retrieved 25 May 2012.
- ^ "Δημοσκόπηση metroweekend: Πρώτη η ΝΔ με 23,6%, δεύτερος ο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ με 21,4%. Ανεβαίνει το ΠΑΣΟΚ, τέταρτο κόμμα ο Καμμένος" (in Greek). MetroGreece.gr. 25 May 2012. Retrieved 25 May 2012.
- ^ "Democratic Left rejects cooperation with SYRIZA even after possible elections". Ekathimerini. 14 May 2012. Retrieved 16 May 2012.
- ^ "Centrist leader seeks to marshal pro-European forces". ekathimerini.com. 9 February 2011. Retrieved 17 May 2012.
- ^ Kitsantonis, Niki (17 May 2012), "Temporary Cabinet Named in Greece as Agency Lowers Nation's Debt Rating", The New York Times, retrieved 19 May 2012
- ^ "Parties switch attention to new elections". ekathimerini.com. 9 February 2011. Retrieved 17 May 2012.
- ^ "Greece: Trying to understand Syriza". Bbc.co.uk. Retrieved 17 May 2012.
- ^ "Greek Conservatives Join Forces With Liberal Party". Wall Street Jounral. 21 May 2012. Retrieved 26 May 2012.
- ^ "Greek conservative parties join forces for elections". chinadaily.com.cn. Retrieved 26 May 2012.
- ^ "Greece´s Bakoyannis gives lifeline to New Democracy". EurActiv. 22 May 2012. Retrieved 26 May 2012.
- ^ "Parties forge alliances ahead of June vote". ekathimerini.com. Retrieved 26 May 2012.
- ^ http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-28/greek-democratic-left-demands-euro-pledge-to-back-syriza.html
- ^ "EU summit ends with warning for Greece – Europe". Al Jazeera English. 4 October 2011. Retrieved 26 May 2012.
- ^ a b Mark Lowen (18 May 2012). "BBC News – Merkel 'suggests Greek referendum on euro membership'". Bbc.co.uk. Retrieved 26 May 2012.
- ^ "Nick Clegg warns that eurozone collapse will fuel 'extremism'". Bbc.co.uk. 21 May 2012. Retrieved 26 May 2012.
- ^ "German Govt. Spokeswoman Denies Merkel Referendum Statement". RIA Novosti. 18 May 2012. Retrieved 26 May 2012.
- ^ "Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ online : ΚΚΕ: Ωμός εκβιασμός Μέρκελ σε βάρος του ελληνικού λαού – Εκλογές 2012". Protothema.gr. Retrieved 26 May 2012.
- ^ "AFP: Greece bridles at Merkel referendum suggestion". Google.com. Retrieved 26 May 2012.
- ^ "Verwirrung um Merkel-Vorschlag für Euro-Referendum – Griechenland in der Krise". Derstandard.at. 19 May 2012. Retrieved 26 May 2012.
- ^ "In Greece, democracy could put an end to the banksters' austerity experiment | Thom Hartmann – News & info from the #1 progressive radio show". Thom Hartmann. 26 March 2012. Retrieved 26 May 2012.
- ^ "Tsipras to Amanpour: "We don't want Greece outside the euro..."". Cnnpressroom.blogs.cnn.com. Retrieved 26 May 2012.