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Kelly: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% McSally: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80-90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arizona |
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The 2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona was held on November 3, 2020, following the death in office of incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John McCain on August 25, 2018. Governor Doug Ducey was required by Arizona law to appoint a Republican to fill the vacant seat until a special election winner could be sworn in.[1][2] On September 5, 2018, Ducey appointed former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl to fill McCain's seat. However, Kyl announced he would resign on December 31, 2018.[3]
On December 18, 2018, Ducey announced that outgoing U.S. Representative Martha McSally would be appointed to fill the seat following Kyl's resignation.[4] McSally was sworn in as the state's junior U.S. Senator on January 3, 2019, less than two months after she was defeated by Democrat Kyrsten Sinema for Arizona's Class 1 U.S. Senate seat.[5] McSally ran to complete the term, defeating skincare executive Daniel McCarthy in the Republican primary. She faced former astronaut Mark Kelly,[6] who ran uncontested in the Democratic primary. Primary elections took place on August 4, 2020.[7]
Once a reliably Republican state, Arizona trended more purple in the late 2010s. Kelly significantly outraised McSally and led by about 5% in the average poll leading up to Election Day.
Kelly defeated McSally by a margin of 2.4% on election night, thereby flipping the seat Democratic. As a result, he outperformed Joe Biden in the concurrent presidential election, who defeated President Donald Trump by a margin of 0.3% in the state, but underperformed his polling average. Kelly became the first Democrat to win the Class 3 Senate seat since Carl Hayden won his last term in 1962.[8] This also marked the first time since the 82nd Congress preceding the 1952 election that Democrats held both Senate seats in Arizona.
Kelly was sworn in on December 2, 2020.
Interim appointments
[edit]Appointees
[edit]- Jon Kyl, former U.S. senator, former U.S. Representative for Arizona's 4th congressional district and former Senate Minority Whip, resigned December 31, 2018[4][9]
- Martha McSally, former U.S. representative for Arizona's 2nd congressional district, 2018 Republican nominee for U.S. Senate, assumed office January 3, 2019[10]
Potential candidates not appointed
[edit]- Kirk Adams, incumbent chief of staff to incumbent governor of Arizona Doug Ducey and former speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives[11]
- Barbara Barrett, Secretary of the Air Force and former United States Ambassador to Finland[11]
- Jan Brewer, former governor of Arizona and former secretary of state of Arizona[12]
- Paul Gosar, incumbent U.S. representative for Arizona's 4th congressional district[13]
- Eileen Klein, former treasurer of Arizona and former chief of staff to former governor of Arizona Jan Brewer[11]
- Cindy McCain, widow of former U.S. senator John McCain[11]
- Meghan McCain, daughter of former U.S. senator John McCain[14]
- Mick McGuire, incumbent adjutant general of the Arizona National Guard[13]
- Karrin Taylor Robson, businesswoman and incumbent member of the Arizona Board of Regents[11]
- Matt Salmon, former U.S. representative, 2002 gubernatorial nominee and former chairperson of the Arizona Republican Party[11]
- David Schweikert, incumbent U.S. representative for Arizona's 6th congressional district[15]
- John Shadegg, former U.S. representative for Arizona's 3rd congressional district[11]
- Kelli Ward, former candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2018[13]
- Grant Woods, former Republican Arizona Attorney General and former congressional chief of staff to former U.S. senator John McCain[13]
Republican primary
[edit]Incumbent McSally faced one challenger: Daniel McCarthy, a skincare company executive. McCarthy's independent wealth was expected to set up a bruising and expensive primary campaign; however, McSally won the primary in a landslide.[16]
Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Martha McSally, incumbent U.S. senator and former U.S. Representative for Arizona's 2nd congressional district[17][18]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Craig Brittain, former revenge porn site operator[21][22]
- PT Burton[23]
- Mark Cavener[22][19]
- Floyd Getchell[24][22]
- Ann Griffin, former teacher[25][19]
- Josue Larose, 2016 Republican presidential candidate and 2012 Republican candidate for Louisiana's 2nd congressional district[26]
Declined
[edit]- Kirk Adams, incumbent chief of staff to incumbent governor of Arizona Doug Ducey and former Speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives[27]
- Joe Arpaio, former Sheriff of Maricopa County and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 (running for Maricopa County Sheriff)[28][29]
- Doug Ducey, governor of Arizona[30]
- Paul Gosar, U.S. representative for Arizona's 4th congressional district[31] (ran for re-election)
- Jon Kyl, former U.S. senator, former U.S. Representative for Arizona's 4th congressional district and former Senate Minority Whip[9][32][33]
- Blake Masters, president of the Thiel Foundation[34][35]
- Curt Schilling, former Major League Baseball player and Blaze Media commentator[36]
- Fife Symington, former governor of Arizona[37][38]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- George W. Bush, 43rd president of the United States[39]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[40]
State officials
- Doug Ducey, Governor of Arizona (2015–2023)[41]
Individuals
- Buzz Aldrin, U.S. astronaut[42]
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families[43]
- Huck PAC[44]
- Maggie's List[45]
- Republican Jewish Coalition[46]
- Susan B. Anthony List[47]
Primary results
[edit]![](Https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/42/Arizona_U.S._Senate_Republican_primary%2C_2020.svg/200px-Arizona_U.S._Senate_Republican_primary%2C_2020.svg.png)
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Martha McSally (incumbent) | 551,119 | 75.2% | |
Republican | Daniel McCarthy | 181,551 | 24.8% | |
Republican | Sean Lyons (write-in) | 210 | nil | |
Total votes | 732,880 | 100.0% |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Mark Kelly, retired astronaut, engineer, retired U.S. Navy captain, husband of former U.S. Representative Gabby Giffords[49]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Bo "Heir Archy" Garcia (as a write-in candidate)[19]
Withdrew
[edit]- Mohammad Arif, businessman and perennial candidate (write-in)[50] (switched to Democratic general election write-in candidacy)[51]
- Sheila Bilyeu, Democratic candidate for the 2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma[52]
- Juan Angel Vasquez[53]
Declined
[edit]- Ruben Gallego, incumbent U.S. representative for Arizona's 7th congressional district (running for re-election) (endorsed Mark Kelly)[54]
- Katie Hobbs, Secretary of State of Arizona[55]
- Grant Woods, former Republican Arizona Attorney General and former congressional chief of staff to former U.S. senator John McCain[56]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States[57]
U.S. senators
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California[58]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator from Minnesota[59]
- Kyrsten Sinema, U.S. senator from Arizona[60]
U.S. representatives
- Ruben Gallego, U.S. representative (AZ-07)[54]
Organizations
- 314 Action[61]
- Brady Campaign[62]
- Coalition to Stop Gun Violence[63]
- Council for a Livable World[64]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[65]
- End Citizens United[66]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[67]
- Feminist Majority PAC[68]
- High School Democrats of America[69]
- Human Rights Campaign[70]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[71]
- League of Conservation Voters[72]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[73]
- National Organization for Women[74]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[75]
- Sierra Club[76]
- Stonewall Democrats of Arizona[77]
- Students for Gun Legislation
- VoteVets[78]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mark Kelly | 665,620 | 99.9% | |
Democratic | Bo Garcia (write-in) | 451 | 0.1% | |
Total votes | 666,071 | 100.0% |
Libertarian primary
[edit]Neither one of the write-in candidates received enough votes to secure the Libertarian nomination in the general election.
Write-in candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Barry Hess, write-in Libertarian candidate in the 2018 United States Senate election in Arizona and Libertarian nominee in the 2014 Arizona gubernatorial election[79][80]
- Alan White[19]
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Barry Hess (write-in) | 329 | 76.5% | |
Libertarian | Alan White (write-in) | 101 | 23.5% | |
Total votes | 430 | 100.0% |
Other candidates
[edit]General election write-in candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]Republican
Democratic
Other
- Christopher Beckett, veteran (Independent)[81]
- William "Will" Decker (Independent)[81]
- Matthew "Doc" Dorchester (Libertarian)[81]
- Nicholas N. Glenn, Navy veteran and aerospace engineer (Independent Republican)[81]
- Mathew Haupt (Independent)[81]
- Benjamin Rodriguez (Independent)[81]
- Joshua Rodriguez (Unity)[81]
- Frank Saenz (Independent)[81]
- Jim Stevens (Independent)[81]
Withdrawn
[edit]General election
[edit]Debates
[edit]- Complete video of debate, October 6, 2020
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[84] | Lean D (flip) | October 29, 2020 |
Inside Elections[85] | Tilt D (flip) | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[86] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[87] | Lean D (flip) | October 30, 2020 |
Politico[88] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[89] | Tossup | October 23, 2020 |
DDHQ[90] | Likely D (flip) | November 3, 2020 |
538[91] | Likely D (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
Economist[92] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
- George W. Bush, 43rd president of the United States[39]
- Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the UN (2017–2018) and former governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[93]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[40]
State officials
- Doug Ducey, Governor of Arizona (2015–2023)[41]
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families[43]
- Huck PAC[44]
- Maggie's List[45]
- Republican Jewish Coalition[46]
- Susan B. Anthony List[47]
Newspapers
Individuals
- Buzz Aldrin, former astronaut and lunar module pilot for Apollo 11[95]
Federal officials
- Ruben Gallego, U.S. representative from AZ-07[54]
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California; 49th Vice President of the United States[58]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator from Minnesota[59]
- Seth Moulton, U.S. representative from MA-06[96]
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States[97]
- Kyrsten Sinema, U.S. senator from Arizona[98]
Organizations
- 314 Action[61]
- Brady Campaign[62]
- Center for Biological Diversity[99]
- Climate Hawks Vote[100]
- Coalition to Stop Gun Violence[63]
- Council for a Livable World[64]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[65]
- End Citizens United[66]
- Equality Arizona[101]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[67]
- Feminist Majority PAC[68]
- High School Democrats of America[69]
- Human Rights Campaign[70]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[71]
- J Street[102]
- League of Conservation Voters[72]
- MoveOn[103]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[73]
- National Education Association[104]
- National Organization for Women[74]
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[105]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[75]
- Sierra Club[76]
- Stonewall Democrats of Arizona[77]
- VoteVets[78]
Unions
Newspapers
Individuals
- Kerry Washington, actress
Polling
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]Aggregate polls
[edit]Mark Kelly vs. Martha McSally | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Mark Kelly | Martha McSally | Margin |
270 to Win[108] | November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.8% | 44.8% | Kelly +5.0 |
Real Clear Politics[109] | November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 50.5% | 44.8% | Kelly +5.7 |
Average | 50.2% | 44.8% | Kelly +5.4 |
Polling
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with Daniel McCarthy and Mark Kelly
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Daniel McCarthy (R) |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research[219][L] | June 20–23, 2020 | 946 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 50% | 6% |
with Ruben Gallego
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Martha McSally (R) |
Ruben Gallego (D) |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OH Predictive Insights[218] | February 12–13, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 41% | 10%[o] |
on whether McSally deserves to be re-elected
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Yes | No | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio Ward/AARP[216] | July 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 45% | 16%[cn] |
Public Policy Polling[220] [2] | January 24–25, 2019 | 682 (V) | – | 40% | 54% | 6% |
with generic Republican and generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OH Predictive Insights[140] | October 4–8, 2020 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10%[co] |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart[221] | September 23 – October 2, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 42% | 14%[cp] |
Data For Progress[155][M] | September 15–22, 2020 | 481 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 42% | 15%[au] |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[165] | September 10–15, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | 50% | 6%[cq] |
Emerson College[176] | August 8–10, 2020 | 661 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 46% | 13%[cr] |
OnMessage Inc. (R)[179][I] | August 2–4, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 43% | 14%[cs] |
Climate Nexus[222] | Feb 11–15, 2020 | 539 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 44% | 12%[ct] |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[209][G] | Jan 22–24, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 45% | 6%[cu] |
OH Predictive Insights[211] | December 3–4, 2019 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 44% | 11%[cv] |
Fabrizio Ward/AARP[216] | July 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | 14%[cw] |
OH Predictive Insights[223] | February 12–13, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 39% | 17%[cx] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mark Kelly | 1,716,467 | 51.16% | +10.41% | |
Republican | Martha McSally (incumbent) | 1,637,661 | 48.81% | −4.90% | |
Write-in | 1,169 | 0.03% | -0.03% | ||
Total votes | 3,355,297 | 100.0% | |||
Democratic gain from Republican |
By county
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic[225] |
Results by congressional districts
[edit]Kelly won 5 of the 9 congressional districts.[226]
District | McSally | Kelly | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 48% | 52% | Tom O'Halleran |
2nd | 44% | 56% | Ann Kirkpatrick |
3rd | 35% | 65% | Raúl Grijalva |
4th | 67% | 33% | Paul Gosar |
5th | 56% | 44% | Andy Biggs |
6th | 52% | 48% | David Schweikert |
7th | 24% | 76% | Ruben Gallego |
8th | 57% | 43% | Debbie Lesko |
9th | 38% | 62% | Greg Stanton |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ In December 2018, McSally was appointed by Governor Doug Ducey to fill the vacancy caused by the death of Senator John McCain and the resignation of Senator Jon Kyl.
- ^ a b c d e Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Refused" and Undecided with 1%; Did not vote with 0%
- ^ "Other" and Undecided with 1%
- ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ "Refused" with 4%; "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
- ^ "Some other" with 3.5%; "Other" with 7.5%; Undecided with 2%
- ^ "None of these" and Undecided with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%; Undecided with 5%
- ^ a b Undecided with 6%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ a b c d Undecided with 10%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 6%
- ^ Undecided with 2%
- ^ "Other" and "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 2%
- ^ "Some other candidate" and Undecided with 5%
- ^ a b c Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Standard VI response
- ^ a b c "Some other candidate" with 6%; Undecided with 9%
- ^ Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
- ^ Results generated with high Republican turnout model
- ^ "Refused" with 3%; "Other" with 2%; Undecided with 5%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 5%
- ^ "Some other candidate" and Undecided with 4%; would not vote with 0%
- ^ a b "No one" with 1%; "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ a b With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- ^ a b With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- ^ "Other" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 5%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Prefer not to answer" with 4%
- ^ a b c d Undecided with 7%
- ^ a b c Undecided with 4%
- ^ "Refused" with 2%; "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
- ^ Would not vote and Undecided with 3%
- ^ Would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 10%
- ^ a b Undecided with 5%
- ^ a b Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Undecided with 6%
- ^ "Other" and "Refused" with 2%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ "Someone else" and Undecided with 5%
- ^ a b Undecided with 15%
- ^ Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 5%
- ^ "Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 0%; "other" with no voters; Undecided with 1%
- ^ a b Overlapping sample with the previous and subsequent Morning Consult polls, but more information available regarding sample size
- ^ "Not sure/prefer not to answer" with 4%; "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
- ^ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 2%; Undecided with 11%
- ^ a b "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ Would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 7%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 4%; Undecided with 9%
- ^ "Neither/Another Party" with 4%; "Undecided/Don't know/Refused" with 16%
- ^ Undecided with 9%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 6%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
- ^ "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 4%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ "Other" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ "Other" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ "Third party/write-in" with 1%; Undecided with 11%
- ^ Would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 6%
- ^ "Someone else" with 5%; Undecided with 8%
- ^ a b "Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 8%
- ^ "No one" with 10%
- ^ "None of the above/neither" with 3%; "other" with 0%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ "Third party/write-in" with 3%; Undecided with 10%
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Undecided with 8%
- ^ "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 5%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 6%; Undecided with 5%
- ^ Undecided with 2%; would not vote with 1%
- ^ Undecided with 9%; "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
- ^ Undecided with 5%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ Undecided with 5.2%; "Other" with 1.8%; "refused" with 0.4%
- ^ Undecided with 12%
- ^ Undecided with 3%; "Would not vote" with 0%
- ^ Undecided with 14%; "Third party/write-in" with 3%
- ^ Undecided with 14%; "Another candidate" and would not vote with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%; unsure with 3%
- ^ Undecided with 8%; "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- ^ "Undecided/refused" with 5.8%; "some other candidate" with 1.8%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 9%
- ^ "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 13%
- ^ Undecided with 9%; "Would not vote/would not vote for US Senate" with 2%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 10%
- ^ Undecided with 14%, refused with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 6%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 5%; Undecided with 9%
- ^ "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
- ^ Undecided with 13%
- ^ Undecided with 14%
- ^ "Neither candidate or other candidate" with 12%
- ^ "Undecided/Don't know/Refused" with 6%
- ^ "Other" with 5%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 6%
- ^ "Undecided/Don't know/Refused" with 14%
- ^ "Other" with 10%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 7%
Partisan clients
- ^ The Justice Collaborative Project is an affiliate of the Tides Centre, a liberal fiscal sponsorship provider
- ^ a b The American Greatness PAC, this poll's sponsor, is pro-Trump.
- ^ This poll's sponsor, Democrats for Education Reform, exclusively supports Democratic candidates.
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the American Action Network, a conservative advocacy group.
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Human Rights Campaign which has endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period.
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the McSally campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by AARP.
- ^ a b Heritage Action is the sister organization of the Heritage Foundation, which exclusively endorses Republican candidates
- ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
- ^ Polling was sponsored by OANN.
- ^ a b This poll's sponsor, 314 Action, had endorsed Kelly prior to the sampling period
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.
References
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- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ Ipsos/Reutuers
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- ^ OH Predictive Insights
- ^ Univision/University of Houston/Latino
Decisions/North Star Opinion Research - ^ Patinkin Research Strategies (D)
- ^ Y2 Analytics
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- ^ YouGov/CBS
- ^ Ipsos/Reuters
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ Trafalgar Group
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- ^ Ipsos/Reuters
- ^ Latino Decisions (D)
- ^ Basswood Research (R)
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- ^ HighGround Inc.
- ^ Change Research/CNBC
- ^ Siena College/NYT Upshot
- ^ a b Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)
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- ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)
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- ^ Change Research/CNBC
- ^ ABC News/Washington Post
- ^ Morning Consult
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- ^ Ipsos/Reuters
- ^ Morning Consult
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ a b Siena College/NYT Upshot
- ^ Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ YouGov/CBS
- ^ OH Predictive Insights
- ^ Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group
- ^ Change Research/CNBC
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ FOX News
- ^ Basswood Research (R)
- ^ Redfield and Wilton Strategies
- ^ a b Emerson College
- ^ Change Research/CNBC
- ^ OH Predictive Insights
- ^ a b OnMessage Inc. (R)
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ Change Research/CNBC
- ^ Morning Consult
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ NBC News/Marist
- ^ Spry Strategies (R)
- ^ Change Research/CNBC
- ^ CBS News/YouGov
- ^ OH Predictive Insights
- ^ Data Orbital
- ^ Gravis Marketing (R)
- ^ Change Research/CNBC
- ^ Global Strategy Group (D)
- ^ Change Research (D)
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ NYT Upshot/Siena College
- ^ Civiqs/Daily Kos
- ^ FOX News
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- ^ Public Policy Polling
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- ^ a b Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
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Further reading
[edit]- Amber Phillips (October 9, 2020), "The Senate seats most likely to flip parties in November", The Washington Post
External links
[edit]- National Institute on Money in Politics; Campaign Finance Institute, "Arizona 2019 & 2020 Elections", OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites