The House of Representatives will have redistributed the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2020 census, and the states will conduct a [[2020 United States redistricting cycle|redistricting cycle in 2021 and 2022]], where congressional and state legislative districts will be redrawn. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states have [[Bipartisanship|bipartisan]] or [[Nonpartisanism|nonpartisan]] [[redistricting commission]]s). The party that wins a presidential election often experiences a [[coattail effect]], which helps other candidates of that party win elections.<ref>{{cite journal |first=James E. |last=Campbell |title=Presidential Coattails and Midterm Losses in State Legislative Elections |journal=[[The American Political Science Review]] |date=March 1986 |volume=80 |issue=1 |pages=45–63 |jstor=1957083|doi=10.2307/1957083|s2cid=147472489 }}</ref> In [[2020 United States presidential election|2020]], although its nominee [[Joe Biden]] won the presidential election, the [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic Party]] did not flip any state legislature chambers and in fact lost both [[New Hampshire]] legislative chambers and the [[Montana]] governorship. This allowed the [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican Party]] to have redistricting control of seats in New Hampshire,<ref>{{Cite web|last=Jacobson|first=Louis|date=November 10, 2020|title=Biden's Coattails Didn't Extend to State Legislatures|url=https://www.usnews.com/news/elections/articles/2020-11-10/democrats-lose-ground-in-state-legislatures-despite-bidens-win|website=U.S. News & World Report|access-date=November 29, 2020|archive-date=February 9, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210209183746/https://www.usnews.com/news/elections/articles/2020-11-10/democrats-lose-ground-in-state-legislatures-despite-bidens-win|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="TheGuardian">{{Cite news|last1=Levine|first1=Sam|last2=Chang|first2=Alvin|date=December 15, 2020|title=As Biden won the presidency, Republicans cemented their grip on power for the next decade|language=en-GB|work=The Guardian|url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/dec/15/gerrymandering-republicans-map-charts-states|access-date=February 14, 2021|issn=0261-3077|archive-date=February 9, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210209183708/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/dec/15/gerrymandering-republicans-map-charts-states|url-status=live}}</ref> which had the potential to lead to [[gerrymandering]] that will stay in effect until the 2030 census, similar to the [[REDMAP]] project after the [[2010 United States census|2010 census]].<ref name="TheGuardian"/><ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/2016-democrats-already-have-plan-2020 |title=Forget 2016: Democrats already have a plan for 2020 |date=August 26, 2014 |first=Benjy |last=Sarlin |publisher=[[MSNBC]] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151028151748/http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/2016-democrats-already-have-plan-2020 |archive-date=October 28, 2015 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite magazine|last=Daley|first=David|date=October 15, 2020|title=Inside the Republican Plot for Permanent Minority Rule|url=https://newrepublic.com/article/159755/republican-voter-suppression-2020-election|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201018074215/https://newrepublic.com/article/159755/republican-voter-suppression-2020-election|archive-date=October 18, 2020|access-date=October 18, 2020|magazine=The New Republic}}</ref>
The House of Representatives will have redistributed the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2020 census, and the states will conduct a [[2020 United States redistricting cycle|redistricting cycle in 2021 and 2022]], where congressional and state legislative districts will be redrawn. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states have [[Bipartisanship|bipartisan]] or [[Nonpartisanism|nonpartisan]] [[redistricting commission]]s). The party that wins a presidential election often experiences a [[coattail effect]], which helps other candidates of that party win elections.<ref>{{cite journal |first=James E. |last=Campbell |title=Presidential Coattails and Midterm Losses in State Legislative Elections |journal=[[The American Political Science Review]] |date=March 1986 |volume=80 |issue=1 |pages=45–63 |jstor=1957083|doi=10.2307/1957083|s2cid=147472489 }}</ref> In [[2020 United States presidential election|2020]], although its nominee [[Joe Biden]] won the presidential election, the [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic Party]] did not flip any state legislature chambers and in fact lost both [[New Hampshire]] legislative chambers and the [[Montana]] governorship. This allowed the [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican Party]] to have redistricting control of seats in New Hampshire,<ref>{{Cite web|last=Jacobson|first=Louis|date=November 10, 2020|title=Biden's Coattails Didn't Extend to State Legislatures|url=https://www.usnews.com/news/elections/articles/2020-11-10/democrats-lose-ground-in-state-legislatures-despite-bidens-win|website=U.S. News & World Report|access-date=November 29, 2020|archive-date=February 9, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210209183746/https://www.usnews.com/news/elections/articles/2020-11-10/democrats-lose-ground-in-state-legislatures-despite-bidens-win|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="TheGuardian">{{Cite news|last1=Levine|first1=Sam|last2=Chang|first2=Alvin|date=December 15, 2020|title=As Biden won the presidency, Republicans cemented their grip on power for the next decade|language=en-GB|work=The Guardian|url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/dec/15/gerrymandering-republicans-map-charts-states|access-date=February 14, 2021|issn=0261-3077|archive-date=February 9, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210209183708/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/dec/15/gerrymandering-republicans-map-charts-states|url-status=live}}</ref> which had the potential to lead to [[gerrymandering]] that will stay in effect until the 2030 census, similar to the [[REDMAP]] project after the [[2010 United States census|2010 census]].<ref name="TheGuardian"/><ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/2016-democrats-already-have-plan-2020 |title=Forget 2016: Democrats already have a plan for 2020 |date=August 26, 2014 |first=Benjy |last=Sarlin |publisher=[[MSNBC]] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151028151748/http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/2016-democrats-already-have-plan-2020 |archive-date=October 28, 2015 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite magazine|last=Daley|first=David|date=October 15, 2020|title=Inside the Republican Plot for Permanent Minority Rule|url=https://newrepublic.com/article/159755/republican-voter-suppression-2020-election|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201018074215/https://newrepublic.com/article/159755/republican-voter-suppression-2020-election|archive-date=October 18, 2020|access-date=October 18, 2020|magazine=The New Republic}}</ref>
===Candidate eligibility===
===Candidate eligibility (white men only)===
Section 1 of [[Article Two of the United States Constitution]] specifies that the president must be at least 35 years of age, a [[natural-born citizen|natural-born US citizen]], and been a resident of the US for 14 years. The [[Twenty-second Amendment]] forbids anyone from being elected president more than twice. Both incumbent president Biden and former president [[Donald Trump]] are eligible to seek a second term. If Trump is elected, he would be the first president since [[Grover Cleveland]] to win a second non-consecutive term.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Baker |first1=Peter |title=Trump Hints at Another Act in Four Years, Just Like Grover Cleveland |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/02/us/politics/trump-2024.html |access-date=July 30, 2022 |work=[[The New York Times]] |date=December 2, 2020 |archive-date=February 9, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210209183734/https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/02/us/politics/trump-2024.html |url-status=live }}</ref>
Section 1 of [[Article Two of the United States Constitution]] specifies that the president must be at least 35 years of age, a [[natural-born citizen|natural-born US citizen]], and been a resident of the US for 14 years. The [[Twenty-second Amendment]] forbids anyone from being elected president more than twice. Both incumbent president Biden and former president [[Donald Trump]] are eligible to seek a second term. If Trump is elected, he would be the first president since [[Grover Cleveland]] to win a second non-consecutive term.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Baker |first1=Peter |title=Trump Hints at Another Act in Four Years, Just Like Grover Cleveland |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/02/us/politics/trump-2024.html |access-date=July 30, 2022 |work=[[The New York Times]] |date=December 2, 2020 |archive-date=February 9, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210209183734/https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/02/us/politics/trump-2024.html |url-status=live }}</ref>
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The [[COVID-19 pandemic in the United States]], which was declared to be “over” by President Biden in September 2022,<ref>{{cite web|url= https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-62959089.amp|title=Covid-19 pandemic is over in the US - Joe Biden|website=BBC|last1=Debussman, Jr.|first1=Bernd|date=September 19, 2022|access-date=September 21, 2022|url-status=live}}</ref> left behind significant [[Economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic|economic effects]] which could pass on to the 2024 presidential election. The high visibility [[governor (United States)|governor]]s received during their responses to the pandemic has been viewed as having given them a boost in possible 2024 contention, in contrast to the significant advantage [[United States Senate|senators]] have had in recent cycles.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2020/04/02/coronavirus-governors-2024-election-160125|title=How the coronavirus is shaping the 2024 presidential race|website=Politico|last1=Siders|first1=David|date=April 2, 2020|access-date=June 11, 2020|archive-date=June 11, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200611000845/https://www.politico.com/news/2020/04/02/coronavirus-governors-2024-election-160125|url-status=live}}</ref>
The [[COVID-19 pandemic in the United States]], which was declared to be “over” by President Biden in September 2022,<ref>{{cite web|url= https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-62959089.amp|title=Covid-19 pandemic is over in the US - Joe Biden|website=BBC|last1=Debussman, Jr.|first1=Bernd|date=September 19, 2022|access-date=September 21, 2022|url-status=live}}</ref> left behind significant [[Economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic|economic effects]] which could pass on to the 2024 presidential election. The high visibility [[governor (United States)|governor]]s received during their responses to the pandemic has been viewed as having given them a boost in possible 2024 contention, in contrast to the significant advantage [[United States Senate|senators]] have had in recent cycles.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2020/04/02/coronavirus-governors-2024-election-160125|title=How the coronavirus is shaping the 2024 presidential race|website=Politico|last1=Siders|first1=David|date=April 2, 2020|access-date=June 11, 2020|archive-date=June 11, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200611000845/https://www.politico.com/news/2020/04/02/coronavirus-governors-2024-election-160125|url-status=live}}</ref>
===Abortion===
==="Abortion" A liberal thing===
The '' [[Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization]]'' decision in June 2022, which overturned the 1973 '' [[Roe v. Wade]]'' decision and permitted U.S. states to fully ban [[abortion]] for the first time since then, brought abortion into the national spotlight. In the 2024 election, the topic of abortion is expected to play a role in the Republican primary. Potential candidates are divided on the matter, with former Vice President [[Mike Pence]] supporting a nationwide ban on abortion, whereas other potential candidates have struck a moderate tone and suggested that the matter should remain the decision of the states.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/06/24/roe-reversal-divides-2024-gop-field-00042346|website=Politico|accessdate=June 25, 2022|date=June 24, 2022|last=Allison|first=Natalie|title=Roe reversal divides 2024 GOP field|archive-date=June 28, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220628202834/https://www.politico.com/news/2022/06/24/roe-reversal-divides-2024-gop-field-00042346|url-status=live}}</ref>
The '' [[Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization]]'' decision in June 2022, which overturned the 1973 '' [[Roe v. Wade]]'' decision and permitted U.S. states to fully ban [[abortion]] for the first time since then, brought abortion into the national spotlight. In the 2024 election, the topic of abortion is expected to play a role in the Republican primary. Potential candidates are divided on the matter, with former Vice President [[Mike Pence]] supporting a nationwide ban on abortion, whereas other potential candidates have struck a moderate tone and suggested that the matter should remain the decision of the states.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/06/24/roe-reversal-divides-2024-gop-field-00042346|website=Politico|accessdate=June 25, 2022|date=June 24, 2022|last=Allison|first=Natalie|title=Roe reversal divides 2024 GOP field|archive-date=June 28, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220628202834/https://www.politico.com/news/2022/06/24/roe-reversal-divides-2024-gop-field-00042346|url-status=live}}</ref>
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As of November 2022, rising criminal activity and [[gun violence in the United States|gun violence]] has put a stress on communities, law enforcement and political parties. The 2024 field is projected to respond to rising crime rates differently on partisan lines.<ref>{{Cite web |date=June 24, 2021 |title=US crime wave could be a top issue in 2024 election cycle |url=https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/us-crime-wave-could-be-a-top-issue-in-2024-election-cycle/ |access-date=July 12, 2022 |website=NewsNation |language=en-US |archive-date=July 12, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220712040918/https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/us-crime-wave-could-be-a-top-issue-in-2024-election-cycle/ |url-status=live }}</ref> President Biden has advocated for an [[Assault weapons legislation in the United States|assault weapons ban]], as well as federal funding to train and deploy more police.<ref>{{Cite web |date=June 4, 2022 |title=Biden's long quest on the assault weapons ban |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/06/04/biden-assault-weapons-ban/ |access-date=July 13, 2022 |website=WashingtonPost |language=en-US |archive-date=June 6, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220606033818/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/06/04/biden-assault-weapons-ban/ |url-status=live|author1=Viser, Matt|author2=DeBonis, Mike}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |date=March 28, 2022 |title=Biden to propose $32 billion in police funding |url=https://www.police1.com/federal-law-enforcement/articles/biden-to-propose-32-billion-in-police-funding-jZmUcMJQl9RGNjPH/ |access-date=July 29, 2022 |website=Police1 |language=en-US |archive-date=June 12, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220612152832/https://www.police1.com/federal-law-enforcement/articles/biden-to-propose-32-billion-in-police-funding-jZmUcMJQl9RGNjPH/ |url-status=live }}</ref>
As of November 2022, rising criminal activity and [[gun violence in the United States|gun violence]] has put a stress on communities, law enforcement and political parties. The 2024 field is projected to respond to rising crime rates differently on partisan lines.<ref>{{Cite web |date=June 24, 2021 |title=US crime wave could be a top issue in 2024 election cycle |url=https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/us-crime-wave-could-be-a-top-issue-in-2024-election-cycle/ |access-date=July 12, 2022 |website=NewsNation |language=en-US |archive-date=July 12, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220712040918/https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/us-crime-wave-could-be-a-top-issue-in-2024-election-cycle/ |url-status=live }}</ref> President Biden has advocated for an [[Assault weapons legislation in the United States|assault weapons ban]], as well as federal funding to train and deploy more police.<ref>{{Cite web |date=June 4, 2022 |title=Biden's long quest on the assault weapons ban |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/06/04/biden-assault-weapons-ban/ |access-date=July 13, 2022 |website=WashingtonPost |language=en-US |archive-date=June 6, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220606033818/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/06/04/biden-assault-weapons-ban/ |url-status=live|author1=Viser, Matt|author2=DeBonis, Mike}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |date=March 28, 2022 |title=Biden to propose $32 billion in police funding |url=https://www.police1.com/federal-law-enforcement/articles/biden-to-propose-32-billion-in-police-funding-jZmUcMJQl9RGNjPH/ |access-date=July 29, 2022 |website=Police1 |language=en-US |archive-date=June 12, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220612152832/https://www.police1.com/federal-law-enforcement/articles/biden-to-propose-32-billion-in-police-funding-jZmUcMJQl9RGNjPH/ |url-status=live }}</ref>
==Democratic primary==
==Democratic primary ==
{{Main|2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries}}
{{Main|2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries}}
Democrat Joe Biden, elected in 2020, is the incumbent and declared his intent in January 2022 to run for re-election in 2024 with [[Kamala Harris]] as his running mate,<ref name=BidenRunning>{{cite news |last1=Rafford |first1=Claire |title=Biden commits to Harris as his running mate for 2024 |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/19/biden-commits-to-harris-as-his-running-mate-2024-527418 |access-date=January 19, 2022 |work=[[Politico]] |date=January 19, 2022 |archive-date=January 27, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220127211518/https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/19/biden-commits-to-harris-as-his-running-mate-2024-527418 |url-status=live }}</ref> but on September 15, 2022, he told [[Scott Pelley]] in an interview for ''[[60 Minutes]]'' that he has not committed to run.<ref name=BidenUncommitted>{{Cite news |date=September 18, 2022 |title=President Biden says he hasn't decided on 2024 reelection run |work=CBS News |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/president-joe-biden-2024-election-60-minutes-2022-09-18/ |access-date=September 20, 2022}}</ref> On October 3, 2022, Biden reportedly told minister [[Al Sharpton]] that he is seeking re-election as president.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/biden-tells-al-sharpton-will-run-president-2024-rcna50556|title=Biden tells Al Sharpton he will run for president again in 2024|date=October 3, 2022|access-date=October 5, 2022|work=NBC News|author=Allen, Jonathan}}</ref> On October 11, 2022, he told [[Jake Tapper]] in an interview on [[CNN]] that he would decide whether or not to run after the [[2022 United States elections|2022 midterm elections]].<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.axios.com/2022/10/12/biden-2024-presidential-decision-after-midterms|title=Biden says he'll decide on 2024 presidential run after the midterms|first=Sareen|last=Habeshian|date=October 12, 2022|website=Axios}}</ref> He is [[List of presidents of the United States by age|the oldest person to assume the office]] at age 78,<ref>{{Cite web|title=Biden tells ABC's David Muir 'yes' he'll run again, Trump rematch would 'increase the prospect'|url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/biden-tells-abcs-david-muir-hell-run-trump/story?id=81901418|access-date=January 21, 2022|website=ABC News|language=en|author=Gittleson, Ben|date=December 22, 2021|archive-date=January 30, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220130091322/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/biden-tells-abcs-david-muir-hell-run-trump/story?id=81901418|url-status=live}}</ref> and he would be 82 at the end of his first term. If re-elected, he would be 86 at the end of his second term. During late 2021, as Biden was suffering from low approval ratings in the polls, there was speculation that he would not seek re-election.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/582105-harris-says-2024-is-absolutely-not-being-discussed-yet-with-biden|title=Harris says 2024 is 'absolutely not' being discussed yet with Biden|website=The Hill|last1=Gangitano|first1=Alex|date=November 18, 2021|access-date=November 19, 2021|archive-date=November 19, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211119144835/https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/582105-harris-says-2024-is-absolutely-not-being-discussed-yet-with-biden|url-status=live}}</ref> If this occurs, [[Vice President of the United States|Vice President]] Harris and Secretary of Transportation [[Pete Buttigieg]] would be considered likely candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination, both having run for president in 2020.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.sfgate.com/national-politics/article/Kamala-Harris-2024-Pete-Buttigieg-primary-Democrat-16574572.php|title=Kamala Harris' team reportedly worried about 'messy' 2024 fight with Pete Buttigieg|website=San Francisco Chronicle|last1=Ting|first1=Eric|date=October 29, 2021|access-date=November 19, 2021|archive-date=November 16, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211116211944/https://www.sfgate.com/national-politics/article/Kamala-Harris-2024-Pete-Buttigieg-primary-Democrat-16574572.php|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name=":2">{{cite web|last1=Lowry|first1=Rich|author-link=Rich Lowry|date=November 18, 2021|title=A 2024 Harris-Buttigieg Primary Would Be Great for Republicans|url=https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/11/18/harris-buttigieg-2024-primary-republicans-522856|url-status=live|website=Politico|access-date=January 8, 2022|archive-date=November 20, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211120144014/https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/11/18/harris-buttigieg-2024-primary-republicans-522856}}</ref> Some prominent Democrats have publicly urged Biden not to run, including U.S. Representatives [[Dean Phillips]] and [[Carolyn Maloney]] and former U.S. Representative and the [[2022 South Carolina gubernatorial election|2022 South Carolina gubernatorial nominee]] [[Joe Cunningham (South Carolina politician)|Joe Cunningham]], though Maloney later apologized and said that Biden should run again.<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/carolyn-maloney-biden-not-running-off-the-record-nyt/ | title=Rep. Carolyn Maloney says "off the record," Biden is "not running again" | website=[[CBS News]] }}</ref><ref>{{cite web | url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3534157-sc-democratic-governor-candidate-says-biden-shouldnt-run-in-2024-due-to-age/ | title=SC Democratic governor candidate says Biden shouldn't run in 2024 due to age | date=June 23, 2022 }}</ref> There is speculation that Biden will face a primary challenge from a member of the [[Factions in the Democratic Party (United States)#Modern Progressive wing|Democratic Party's progressive faction]].<ref name=":3">{{Cite web|last=Otterbein|first=Holly|title=The left is already looking to 2024. Some want to see a Biden primary challenge.|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/01/progressives-2024-primary-challenge-526299|date=January 1, 2022|access-date=January 8, 2022|website=Politico|language=en|archive-date=January 7, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220107154419/https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/01/progressives-2024-primary-challenge-526299|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name=":4">{{Cite web|last=Dorman|first=John L.|title=Former Sanders presidential campaign manager says Biden will have 'a progressive challenger' in 2024|date=January 2, 2022|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/biden-progressive-challenger-2024-jeff-weaver-sanders-democratic-party-2022-1|access-date=January 8, 2022|website=Business Insider|language=en-US|archive-date=January 4, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220104014213/https://www.businessinsider.com/biden-progressive-challenger-2024-jeff-weaver-sanders-democratic-party-2022-1|url-status=live}}</ref> If Biden is not the nominee in 2024, it will be the first election since [[1968 United States presidential election|1968]] in which an incumbent president was not the eventual nominee of their party after [[Lyndon B. Johnson]], and if he chooses not to seek reelection, it will be the first election since [[1928 United States presidential election|1928]] in which an incumbent president did not seek reelection after [[Calvin Coolidge]].{{efn|Some erroneously claim that the 1968 election is the most recent in which the incumbent president did not seek reelection. In fact, then-president [[Lyndon B. Johnson]] did briefly [[1968 Democratic Party presidential primaries|run for reelection]], although he dropped out after only narrowly winning the first primary in [[New Hampshire]].<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.npr.org/2018/03/11/592301682/the-night-in-1968-when-a-nation-watched-an-american-presidency-crumble | title=The Night in 1968 when a Nation Watched an American Presidency Crumble | website=NPR | date=March 11, 2018 | last1=Elving | first1=Ron }}</ref> In comparison, then-president [[Calvin Coolidge]] did not mount any kind of reelection campaign in 1928, thus making the 1928 race the most recent in which the incumbent president chose to retire.}}
Democrat Joe Biden, elected in 2020, is the incumbent and declared his intent in January 2022 to run for re-election in 2024 with [[Kamala Harris]] as his running mate,<ref name=BidenRunning>{{cite news |last1=Rafford |first1=Claire |title=Biden commits to Harris as his running mate for 2024 |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/19/biden-commits-to-harris-as-his-running-mate-2024-527418 |access-date=January 19, 2022 |work=[[Politico]] |date=January 19, 2022 |archive-date=January 27, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220127211518/https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/19/biden-commits-to-harris-as-his-running-mate-2024-527418 |url-status=live }}</ref> but on September 15, 2022, he told [[Scott Pelley]] in an interview for ''[[60 Minutes]]'' that he has not committed to run.<ref name=BidenUncommitted>{{Cite news |date=September 18, 2022 |title=President Biden says he hasn't decided on 2024 reelection run |work=CBS News |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/president-joe-biden-2024-election-60-minutes-2022-09-18/ |access-date=September 20, 2022}}</ref> On October 3, 2022, Biden reportedly told minister [[Al Sharpton]] that he is seeking re-election as president.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/biden-tells-al-sharpton-will-run-president-2024-rcna50556|title=Biden tells Al Sharpton he will run for president again in 2024|date=October 3, 2022|access-date=October 5, 2022|work=NBC News|author=Allen, Jonathan}}</ref> On October 11, 2022, he told [[Jake Tapper]] in an interview on [[CNN]] that he would decide whether or not to run after the [[2022 United States elections|2022 midterm elections]].<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.axios.com/2022/10/12/biden-2024-presidential-decision-after-midterms|title=Biden says he'll decide on 2024 presidential run after the midterms|first=Sareen|last=Habeshian|date=October 12, 2022|website=Axios}}</ref> He is [[List of presidents of the United States by age|the oldest person to assume the office]] at age 78,<ref>{{Cite web|title=Biden tells ABC's David Muir 'yes' he'll run again, Trump rematch would 'increase the prospect'|url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/biden-tells-abcs-david-muir-hell-run-trump/story?id=81901418|access-date=January 21, 2022|website=ABC News|language=en|author=Gittleson, Ben|date=December 22, 2021|archive-date=January 30, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220130091322/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/biden-tells-abcs-david-muir-hell-run-trump/story?id=81901418|url-status=live}}</ref> and he would be 82 at the end of his first term. If re-elected, he would be 86 at the end of his second term. During late 2021, as Biden was suffering from low approval ratings in the polls, there was speculation that he would not seek re-election.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/582105-harris-says-2024-is-absolutely-not-being-discussed-yet-with-biden|title=Harris says 2024 is 'absolutely not' being discussed yet with Biden|website=The Hill|last1=Gangitano|first1=Alex|date=November 18, 2021|access-date=November 19, 2021|archive-date=November 19, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211119144835/https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/582105-harris-says-2024-is-absolutely-not-being-discussed-yet-with-biden|url-status=live}}</ref> If this occurs, [[Vice President of the United States|Vice President]] Harris and Secretary of Transportation [[Pete Buttigieg]] would be considered likely candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination, both having run for president in 2020.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.sfgate.com/national-politics/article/Kamala-Harris-2024-Pete-Buttigieg-primary-Democrat-16574572.php|title=Kamala Harris' team reportedly worried about 'messy' 2024 fight with Pete Buttigieg|website=San Francisco Chronicle|last1=Ting|first1=Eric|date=October 29, 2021|access-date=November 19, 2021|archive-date=November 16, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211116211944/https://www.sfgate.com/national-politics/article/Kamala-Harris-2024-Pete-Buttigieg-primary-Democrat-16574572.php|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name=":2">{{cite web|last1=Lowry|first1=Rich|author-link=Rich Lowry|date=November 18, 2021|title=A 2024 Harris-Buttigieg Primary Would Be Great for Republicans|url=https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/11/18/harris-buttigieg-2024-primary-republicans-522856|url-status=live|website=Politico|access-date=January 8, 2022|archive-date=November 20, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211120144014/https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/11/18/harris-buttigieg-2024-primary-republicans-522856}}</ref> Some prominent Democrats have publicly urged Biden not to run, including U.S. Representatives [[Dean Phillips]] and [[Carolyn Maloney]] and former U.S. Representative and the [[2022 South Carolina gubernatorial election|2022 South Carolina gubernatorial nominee]] [[Joe Cunningham (South Carolina politician)|Joe Cunningham]], though Maloney later apologized and said that Biden should run again.<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/carolyn-maloney-biden-not-running-off-the-record-nyt/ | title=Rep. Carolyn Maloney says "off the record," Biden is "not running again" | website=[[CBS News]] }}</ref><ref>{{cite web | url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3534157-sc-democratic-governor-candidate-says-biden-shouldnt-run-in-2024-due-to-age/ | title=SC Democratic governor candidate says Biden shouldn't run in 2024 due to age | date=June 23, 2022 }}</ref> There is speculation that Biden will face a primary challenge from a member of the [[Factions in the Democratic Party (United States)#Modern Progressive wing|Democratic Party's progressive faction]].<ref name=":3">{{Cite web|last=Otterbein|first=Holly|title=The left is already looking to 2024. Some want to see a Biden primary challenge.|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/01/progressives-2024-primary-challenge-526299|date=January 1, 2022|access-date=January 8, 2022|website=Politico|language=en|archive-date=January 7, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220107154419/https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/01/progressives-2024-primary-challenge-526299|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name=":4">{{Cite web|last=Dorman|first=John L.|title=Former Sanders presidential campaign manager says Biden will have 'a progressive challenger' in 2024|date=January 2, 2022|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/biden-progressive-challenger-2024-jeff-weaver-sanders-democratic-party-2022-1|access-date=January 8, 2022|website=Business Insider|language=en-US|archive-date=January 4, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220104014213/https://www.businessinsider.com/biden-progressive-challenger-2024-jeff-weaver-sanders-democratic-party-2022-1|url-status=live}}</ref> If Biden is not the nominee in 2024, it will be the first election since [[1968 United States presidential election|1968]] in which an incumbent president was not the eventual nominee of their party after [[Lyndon B. Johnson]], and if he chooses not to seek reelection, it will be the first election since [[1928 United States presidential election|1928]] in which an incumbent president did not seek reelection after [[Calvin Coolidge]].{{efn|Some erroneously claim that the 1968 election is the most recent in which the incumbent president did not seek reelection. In fact, then-president [[Lyndon B. Johnson]] did briefly [[1968 Democratic Party presidential primaries|run for reelection]], although he dropped out after only narrowly winning the first primary in [[New Hampshire]].<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.npr.org/2018/03/11/592301682/the-night-in-1968-when-a-nation-watched-an-american-presidency-crumble | title=The Night in 1968 when a Nation Watched an American Presidency Crumble | website=NPR | date=March 11, 2018 | last1=Elving | first1=Ron }}</ref> In comparison, then-president [[Calvin Coolidge]] did not mount any kind of reelection campaign in 1928, thus making the 1928 race the most recent in which the incumbent president chose to retire.}}
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|File:Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg|{{center|[[President of the United States|President]]<br />'''[[Joe Biden]]'''<br />from [[Delaware]]}}
|File:Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg|{{center|[[President of the United States|President]]<br />'''[[Joe Biden]]'''<br />from [[Delaware]]}}
}}
}}
[[File:Donald Trump official portrait.jpg|thumb|My boy Donald trump[[File:Flag of the NSDAP (1920–1945).svg|thumb|New flag of America]][[File:Bundesarchiv Bild 183-1989-0821-502, Joseph Goebbels.jpg|thumb|Joseph gobbles aka 'future vice president[[File:Scheidenvorhof.jpg|thumb]]Joe biden's pussy]]]]
====Potential candidates====
====Potential candidates====
{{As of|2022|11}}, the following individuals have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months. Most of these candidates are viewed as potential replacements if President Biden does not seek re-election, while some are viewed as potential primary challenges if he does.<!--Please DO NOT promote the idea that Jimmy Carter is eligible to run for re-election; it's very unlikely that he will do so.-->
{{As of|2022|11}}, the following individuals have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months. Most of these candidates are viewed as potential replacements if President Biden does not seek re-election, while some are viewed as potential primary challenges if he does.<!--Please DO NOT promote the idea that Jimmy Carter is eligible to run for re-election; it's very unlikely that he will do so.-->
<!-- Candidates must have been the subject of significant coverage in two reliable sources within the past six months. A passing mention in a list of other candidates is not significant coverage. -->
<!-- Candidates must have been the subject of significant coverage in two reliable sources within the past six months. A passing mention in a list of other candidates is not significant coverage. -->
* [[Eric Adams]], 110th [[Mayor of New York City]] (2022–present), 18th [[Brooklyn Borough President]] (2014–2021), Member of the [[New York State Senate]] (2007–2013)<ref>{{cite web|title=NYC Mayor Eric Adams is eyeing a White House run in 2024, report claims|author=Massie, Graeme|url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/mayor-eric-adams-president-biden-b2084412.html|date=May 21, 2022|access-date=June 21, 2022|work=Independent|archive-date=June 15, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220615161329/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/mayor-eric-adams-president-biden-b2084412.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=NYC Mayor Eric Adams thinks he has 'a platform to win' a bid for president in 2024: report|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/eric-adams-platform-to-win-a-2024-presidential-run-2022-5|website=businessinsider.com|date=May 21, 2022|access-date=October 17, 2022|author=Balevic, Katie}}</ref>
* [[File:Bundesarchiv Bild 183-H1216-0500-002, Adolf Hitler.jpg|thumb|Adolf Hitler (revived)]][[Eric Adams]], 110th [[Mayor of New York City]] (2022–present), 18th [[Brooklyn Borough President]] (2014–2021), Member of the [[New York State Senate]] (2007–2013)<ref>{{cite web|title=NYC Mayor Eric Adams is eyeing a White House run in 2024, report claims|author=Massie, Graeme|url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/mayor-eric-adams-president-biden-b2084412.html|date=May 21, 2022|access-date=June 21, 2022|work=Independent|archive-date=June 15, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220615161329/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/mayor-eric-adams-president-biden-b2084412.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=NYC Mayor Eric Adams thinks he has 'a platform to win' a bid for president in 2024: report|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/eric-adams-platform-to-win-a-2024-presidential-run-2022-5|website=businessinsider.com|date=May 21, 2022|access-date=October 17, 2022|author=Balevic, Katie}}</ref>
<!--*[[Tammy Baldwin]], [[United States Senator]] from [[Wisconsin]] (2013-present), [[United States Representative]] from {{ushr|WI|2|WI-02}} (1999-2013)<ref>https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3697313-democrats-flock-to-new-hampshire-in-2024-shadow-primary/</ref>-->
<!--*[[Tammy Baldwin]], [[United States Senator]] from [[Wisconsin]] (2013-present), [[United States Representative]] from {{ushr|WI|2|WI-02}} (1999-2013)<ref>https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3697313-democrats-flock-to-new-hampshire-in-2024-shadow-primary/</ref>-->
<!--* [[Steve Bullock (American politician)|Steve Bullock]], 24th [[Governor of Montana]] (2013–2021), 23rd [[Attorney General of Montana]] (2009–2013), candidate for president in 2020<ref name=":6">{{Cite web|last=Scher|first=Bill|title=Which 2024 Candidates Won 2021?|date=December 28, 2021|url=https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/12/28/which-2024-candidates-won-2021-525749|website=[[Politico]]|language=en-US}}</ref><ref name=":5b">{{cite news |author=Perry Bacon Jr. |date=January 14, 2022 |title=Opinion: If Biden doesn't run, Democrats have plenty of strong candidates for 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/01/14/if-biden-doesnt-run-democrats-have-plenty-strong-candidates-2024/}}</ref>-->
<!--* [[Steve Bullock (American politician)|Steve Bullock]], 24th [[Governor of Montana]] (2013–2021), 23rd [[Attorney General of Montana]] (2009–2013), candidate for president in 2020<ref name=":6">{{Cite web|last=Scher|first=Bill|title=Which 2024 Candidates Won 2021?|date=December 28, 2021|url=https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/12/28/which-2024-candidates-won-2021-525749|website=[[Politico]]|language=en-US}}</ref><ref name=":5b">{{cite news |author=Perry Bacon Jr. |date=January 14, 2022 |title=Opinion: If Biden doesn't run, Democrats have plenty of strong candidates for 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/01/14/if-biden-doesnt-run-democrats-have-plenty-strong-candidates-2024/}}</ref>-->
[[File:Osama bin Laden portrait.jpg|thumb|Osama bin laden aka secret service ]]
====Declined to be candidates====
====Declined to be candidates====
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On January 19, 2022, Biden confirmed that Harris would be his running mate in 2024 in his likely re-election campaign.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Rafford |first=Claire |title=Biden commits to Harris as his running mate for 2024 |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/19/biden-commits-to-harris-as-his-running-mate-2024-527418 |access-date=August 20, 2022 |website=POLITICO |language=en}}</ref>
On January 19, 2022, Biden confirmed that Harris would be his running mate in 2024 in his likely re-election campaign.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Rafford |first=Claire |title=Biden commits to Harris as his running mate for 2024 |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/19/biden-commits-to-harris-as-his-running-mate-2024-527418 |access-date=August 20, 2022 |website=POLITICO |language=en}}</ref>
==Republicans and far right only ==
==Republican primary==
[[Donald Trump]] was defeated by Biden in 2020 and is currently eligible to run again in 2024. If he decides to run, he would be seeking to become the second president after [[Grover Cleveland]] to serve two non-consecutive terms since the [[1892 United States presidential election]].<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/27/opinions/trump-2024-presidential-run-dantonio/index.html|title=Trump 2024? It could happen|publisher=[[CNN]]|first=Michael|last=D'Antonio|date=November 27, 2020|access-date=December 16, 2020|archive-date=November 27, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201127112444/https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/27/opinions/trump-2024-presidential-run-dantonio/index.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="The Washington Post">{{cite news |last1=DeBonis |first1=Mike |last2=Kim |first2=Seung Min |title=House impeaches Trump with 10 Republicans joining, but Senate plans unclear |url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/house-impeaches-trump-with-10-republicans-joining-but-senate-plans-unclear/ar-BB1cJkw7?ocid=msedgntp |access-date=January 13, 2020 |newspaper=The Washington Post |publisher=MSN |issue=January 13, 2020 |date=January 13, 2020 |archive-date=February 9, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210209183800/https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/house-impeaches-trump-with-10-republicans-joining-but-senate-plans-unclear/ar-BB1cJkw7?ocid=msedgntp |url-status=live }}</ref> As of November 2021, Trump has been considered likely to receive the Republican presidential nomination if he runs.<ref name=":5a">{{Cite web|last=Bravender|first=Robin|date=November 10, 2021|title=A top campaign strategist for Ted Cruz and Glenn Youngkin says 'if Trump runs, Trump will be the nominee' in 2024|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-republican-nominee-2024-biden-kamala-harris-jeff-roe-2021-11|access-date=January 9, 2022|website=Business Insider|language=en-US|quote=Immediately after Youngkin's upset win last week, political pundits started chattering about whether the Virginia governor-elect was on a fast track to the White House.|archive-date=January 9, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220109061340/https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-republican-nominee-2024-biden-kamala-harris-jeff-roe-2021-11|url-status=live}}</ref> However, there also multiple factors working against Trump: the [[United States House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack public hearings|hearings]] held by the [[United States House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack]] have damaged public opinion towards him,<ref>{{cite web|url=https://theweek.com/donald-trump/1014514/58-percent-of-americans-say-trump-should-be-charged-with-a-crime-over-jan-6|title=58 percent of Americans say Trump should be charged with a crime over Jan. 6, poll finds|publisher=The Week|first=Peter|last=Weber|date=June 20, 2022|access-date=July 13, 2022|archive-date=July 20, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220720185144/https://theweek.com/donald-trump/1014514/58-percent-of-americans-say-trump-should-be-charged-with-a-crime-over-jan-6|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.npr.org/2022/06/28/1108376010/trumps-legal-exposure-may-be-growing-and-4-other-takeaways-from-the-jan-6-hearin|title=Trump's legal exposure may be growing – and 4 other takeaways from the Jan. 6 hearing|publisher=NPR|first=Domenico|last=Montanaro|date=June 28, 2022|access-date=July 13, 2022|archive-date=July 20, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220720174924/https://www.npr.org/2022/06/28/1108376010/trumps-legal-exposure-may-be-growing-and-4-other-takeaways-from-the-jan-6-hearin|url-status=live}}</ref> Florida [[Governor of Florida|Governor]] [[Ron DeSantis]] raised more campaign funds in the first half of 2022,<ref>{{Cite web |last=Margaritoff |first=Marco |date=July 16, 2022 |title=Trump Fundraising Slows For First Time In 18 Months, Trails DeSantis |url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/donald-trump-fundraising-slows_n_62d2be11e4b0f69130305225 |access-date=July 18, 2022 |website=HuffPost |language=en |archive-date=July 20, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220720105743/https://www.huffpost.com/entry/donald-trump-fundraising-slows_n_62d2be11e4b0f69130305225 |url-status=live }}</ref> Democrats may attempt to invoke the [[Fourteenth Amendment to the United States Constitution|14th Amendment]] to prevent Trump from being eligible,<ref>{{Cite web |last=Papenfuss |first=Mary |date=July 18, 2022 |title=Dems Should Sue Now To Stop Trump Run Under Constitution Insurrectionist Ban: Lawyer |url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/14th-amendment-constitution-insurrectionist-ban-trump-lawsuit-alan-morrison_n_62d49f2be4b0f6913031334b |access-date=July 18, 2022 |website=HuffPost |language=en |archive-date=July 21, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220721053559/https://www.huffpost.com/entry/14th-amendment-constitution-insurrectionist-ban-trump-lawsuit-alan-morrison_n_62d49f2be4b0f6913031334b |url-status=live }}</ref> and in 2022 the [[FBI search of Mar-a-Lago|FBI searched Trump's estate at Mar-a-Lago]] which may result in political consequences or even a criminal indictment.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Garcia|first=Eric|date=August 17, 2022|title=Majority of Americans support FBI's raid on Trump's Mar-a-Lago home|url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-fbi-raid-americans-support-b2147176.html|access-date=August 21, 2022|website=The Independent}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last1=Sheth|first1=Sonam|last2=DeChalus|first2=Camila|date=August 19, 2022|title='I think he'll get indicted': Legal insiders warn that Trump could soon face criminal charges he can't talk his way out of|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-could-soon-get-indicted-mar-a-lago-2022-8|access-date=August 21, 2022|website=Insider}}</ref>
[[Donald Trump]] was defeated by Biden in 2020 and is currently eligible to run again in 2024. If he decides to run, he would be seeking to become the second president after [[Grover Cleveland]] to serve two non-consecutive terms since the [[1892 United States presidential election]].<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/27/opinions/trump-2024-presidential-run-dantonio/index.html|title=Trump 2024? It could happen|publisher=[[CNN]]|first=Michael|last=D'Antonio|date=November 27, 2020|access-date=December 16, 2020|archive-date=November 27, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201127112444/https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/27/opinions/trump-2024-presidential-run-dantonio/index.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="The Washington Post">{{cite news |last1=DeBonis |first1=Mike |last2=Kim |first2=Seung Min |title=House impeaches Trump with 10 Republicans joining, but Senate plans unclear |url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/house-impeaches-trump-with-10-republicans-joining-but-senate-plans-unclear/ar-BB1cJkw7?ocid=msedgntp |access-date=January 13, 2020 |newspaper=The Washington Post |publisher=MSN |issue=January 13, 2020 |date=January 13, 2020 |archive-date=February 9, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210209183800/https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/house-impeaches-trump-with-10-republicans-joining-but-senate-plans-unclear/ar-BB1cJkw7?ocid=msedgntp |url-status=live }}</ref> As of November 2021, Trump has been considered likely to receive the Republican presidential nomination if he runs.<ref name=":5a">{{Cite web|last=Bravender|first=Robin|date=November 10, 2021|title=A top campaign strategist for Ted Cruz and Glenn Youngkin says 'if Trump runs, Trump will be the nominee' in 2024|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-republican-nominee-2024-biden-kamala-harris-jeff-roe-2021-11|access-date=January 9, 2022|website=Business Insider|language=en-US|quote=Immediately after Youngkin's upset win last week, political pundits started chattering about whether the Virginia governor-elect was on a fast track to the White House.|archive-date=January 9, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220109061340/https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-republican-nominee-2024-biden-kamala-harris-jeff-roe-2021-11|url-status=live}}</ref> However, there also multiple factors working against Trump: the [[United States House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack public hearings|hearings]] held by the [[United States House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack]] have damaged public opinion towards him,<ref>{{cite web|url=https://theweek.com/donald-trump/1014514/58-percent-of-americans-say-trump-should-be-charged-with-a-crime-over-jan-6|title=58 percent of Americans say Trump should be charged with a crime over Jan. 6, poll finds|publisher=The Week|first=Peter|last=Weber|date=June 20, 2022|access-date=July 13, 2022|archive-date=July 20, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220720185144/https://theweek.com/donald-trump/1014514/58-percent-of-americans-say-trump-should-be-charged-with-a-crime-over-jan-6|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.npr.org/2022/06/28/1108376010/trumps-legal-exposure-may-be-growing-and-4-other-takeaways-from-the-jan-6-hearin|title=Trump's legal exposure may be growing – and 4 other takeaways from the Jan. 6 hearing|publisher=NPR|first=Domenico|last=Montanaro|date=June 28, 2022|access-date=July 13, 2022|archive-date=July 20, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220720174924/https://www.npr.org/2022/06/28/1108376010/trumps-legal-exposure-may-be-growing-and-4-other-takeaways-from-the-jan-6-hearin|url-status=live}}</ref> Florida [[Governor of Florida|Governor]] [[Ron DeSantis]] raised more campaign funds in the first half of 2022,<ref>{{Cite web |last=Margaritoff |first=Marco |date=July 16, 2022 |title=Trump Fundraising Slows For First Time In 18 Months, Trails DeSantis |url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/donald-trump-fundraising-slows_n_62d2be11e4b0f69130305225 |access-date=July 18, 2022 |website=HuffPost |language=en |archive-date=July 20, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220720105743/https://www.huffpost.com/entry/donald-trump-fundraising-slows_n_62d2be11e4b0f69130305225 |url-status=live }}</ref> Democrats may attempt to invoke the [[Fourteenth Amendment to the United States Constitution|14th Amendment]] to prevent Trump from being eligible,<ref>{{Cite web |last=Papenfuss |first=Mary |date=July 18, 2022 |title=Dems Should Sue Now To Stop Trump Run Under Constitution Insurrectionist Ban: Lawyer |url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/14th-amendment-constitution-insurrectionist-ban-trump-lawsuit-alan-morrison_n_62d49f2be4b0f6913031334b |access-date=July 18, 2022 |website=HuffPost |language=en |archive-date=July 21, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220721053559/https://www.huffpost.com/entry/14th-amendment-constitution-insurrectionist-ban-trump-lawsuit-alan-morrison_n_62d49f2be4b0f6913031334b |url-status=live }}</ref> and in 2022 the [[FBI search of Mar-a-Lago|FBI searched Trump's estate at Mar-a-Lago]] which may result in political consequences or even a criminal indictment.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Garcia|first=Eric|date=August 17, 2022|title=Majority of Americans support FBI's raid on Trump's Mar-a-Lago home|url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-fbi-raid-americans-support-b2147176.html|access-date=August 21, 2022|website=The Independent}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last1=Sheth|first1=Sonam|last2=DeChalus|first2=Camila|date=August 19, 2022|title='I think he'll get indicted': Legal insiders warn that Trump could soon face criminal charges he can't talk his way out of|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-could-soon-get-indicted-mar-a-lago-2022-8|access-date=August 21, 2022|website=Insider}}</ref>
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|File:Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg|{{center|Former [[President of the United States|President]]<br/>'''[[Donald Trump]]'''<br/>from [[Florida]]}}}}
|File:Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg|{{center|Former [[President of the United States|President]]<br/>'''[[Donald Trump]]'''<br/>from [[Florida]]}}}}
====Potential candidates====
====Potential candidates none only Donald trump can win ====
<!--
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*** Potential candidates must have at least TWO separate references from reliable sources that focus primarily on them as a potential candidate
*** Potential candidates must have at least TWO separate references from reliable sources that focus primarily on them as a potential candidate
The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, scheduled for Tuesday, November 5, 2024.[1] It will be the first presidential election after electoral votes are redistributed according to the post-2020 censusreapportionment. Incumbent president Joe Biden stated in January 2022 his intent to run for reelection to a second term, with Vice President Kamala Harris as his running mate.[2] However, as of November 2022[update] Biden has not yet committed to a reelection campaign.[3] Former president Donald Trump suggested in March 2022 that he intends to run for president for a nonconsecutive second term.[4]
In the United States, general elections follow caucuses and primary elections held by the major parties to determine their nominees. The winner of the 2024 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2025.
Article Two of the United States Constitution states that for a person to serve as president, the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, be at least 35 years old, and have been a United States resident for at least 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various political parties of the United States, which is awarded through a process such as a primary election. The primary elections are usually indirect elections where voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party's delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party's behalf. The presidential nominee typically chooses a vice presidential running mate to form that party's ticket, which is then ratified by the delegates at the party's convention.
Similarly, the general election in November is also an indirect election, in which voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the president and vice president.[5] If no candidate receives the minimum 270 electoral votes needed to win the election, a contingent election will be held in which the House of Representatives will select the president from the three candidates who received the most electoral votes, and the Senate will select the vice president from the candidates who received the two highest totals. The presidential election will occur simultaneously with House of Representatives elections, Senate elections, and various state and local-level elections.
The election has been the early subject of attention by analysts and commentators, as it will be the first U.S. presidential election to occur after the reapportionment of votes in the United States Electoral College, which will follow the 2020 United States census.[6][7] This realignment of electoral college votes will remain consistent through the 2028 election. Reapportionment will be conducted again after the 2030 United States census.[8]
The House of Representatives will have redistributed the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2020 census, and the states will conduct a redistricting cycle in 2021 and 2022, where congressional and state legislative districts will be redrawn. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states have bipartisan or nonpartisanredistricting commissions). The party that wins a presidential election often experiences a coattail effect, which helps other candidates of that party win elections.[9] In 2020, although its nominee Joe Biden won the presidential election, the Democratic Party did not flip any state legislature chambers and in fact lost both New Hampshire legislative chambers and the Montana governorship. This allowed the Republican Party to have redistricting control of seats in New Hampshire,[10][11] which had the potential to lead to gerrymandering that will stay in effect until the 2030 census, similar to the REDMAP project after the 2010 census.[11][12][13]
Candidate eligibility (white men only)
Section 1 of Article Two of the United States Constitution specifies that the president must be at least 35 years of age, a natural-born US citizen, and been a resident of the US for 14 years. The Twenty-second Amendment forbids anyone from being elected president more than twice. Both incumbent president Biden and former president Donald Trump are eligible to seek a second term. If Trump is elected, he would be the first president since Grover Cleveland to win a second non-consecutive term.[14]
Potential campaign issues
Economy
As of October 17, 2022, a New York Times/Sienna College poll shows Americans are most concerned about the state of the economy and the rate of inflation, and 49% of likely voters intend to vote for Republicans and 45% for Democrats in the 2022 congressional elections. The percentage of voters who consider the economy the most important issue increased to 44%, from 36% in July.[15]
The COVID-19 pandemic in the United States, which was declared to be “over” by President Biden in September 2022,[16] left behind significant economic effects which could pass on to the 2024 presidential election. The high visibility governors received during their responses to the pandemic has been viewed as having given them a boost in possible 2024 contention, in contrast to the significant advantage senators have had in recent cycles.[17]
"Abortion" A liberal thing
The Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization decision in June 2022, which overturned the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision and permitted U.S. states to fully ban abortion for the first time since then, brought abortion into the national spotlight. In the 2024 election, the topic of abortion is expected to play a role in the Republican primary. Potential candidates are divided on the matter, with former Vice President Mike Pence supporting a nationwide ban on abortion, whereas other potential candidates have struck a moderate tone and suggested that the matter should remain the decision of the states.[18]
Crime
As of November 2022, rising criminal activity and gun violence has put a stress on communities, law enforcement and political parties. The 2024 field is projected to respond to rising crime rates differently on partisan lines.[19] President Biden has advocated for an assault weapons ban, as well as federal funding to train and deploy more police.[20][21]
Democrat Joe Biden, elected in 2020, is the incumbent and declared his intent in January 2022 to run for re-election in 2024 with Kamala Harris as his running mate,[2] but on September 15, 2022, he told Scott Pelley in an interview for 60 Minutes that he has not committed to run.[3] On October 3, 2022, Biden reportedly told minister Al Sharpton that he is seeking re-election as president.[22] On October 11, 2022, he told Jake Tapper in an interview on CNN that he would decide whether or not to run after the 2022 midterm elections.[23] He is the oldest person to assume the office at age 78,[24] and he would be 82 at the end of his first term. If re-elected, he would be 86 at the end of his second term. During late 2021, as Biden was suffering from low approval ratings in the polls, there was speculation that he would not seek re-election.[25] If this occurs, Vice President Harris and Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg would be considered likely candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination, both having run for president in 2020.[26][27] Some prominent Democrats have publicly urged Biden not to run, including U.S. Representatives Dean Phillips and Carolyn Maloney and former U.S. Representative and the 2022 South Carolina gubernatorial nomineeJoe Cunningham, though Maloney later apologized and said that Biden should run again.[28][29] There is speculation that Biden will face a primary challenge from a member of the Democratic Party's progressive faction.[30][31] If Biden is not the nominee in 2024, it will be the first election since 1968 in which an incumbent president was not the eventual nominee of their party after Lyndon B. Johnson, and if he chooses not to seek reelection, it will be the first election since 1928 in which an incumbent president did not seek reelection after Calvin Coolidge.[a]
Candidates
Publicly expressed interest
As of November 2022[update], the following individuals have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.
[[File:Donald Trump official portrait.jpg|thumb|My boy Donald trump
New flag of America
[[File:Bundesarchiv Bild 183-1989-0821-502, Joseph Goebbels.jpg|thumb|Joseph gobbles aka 'future vice president
Joe biden's pussy]]]]
Potential candidates
As of November 2022[update], the following individuals have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months. Most of these candidates are viewed as potential replacements if President Biden does not seek re-election, while some are viewed as potential primary challenges if he does.
Trump announced in March 2022 that if he runs for re-election and wins the Republican nomination, his former Vice President Mike Pence will not be his running mate.[97] If that does happen, he will be the first president to drop their vice president and select a new running mate since Franklin Roosevelt in 1944. If Trump runs against Biden again, it will be the first presidential rematch since 1956, and if Trump wins, he will be the first person to lose a presidential election and then win a rematch of that election since Grover Cleveland in 1892. The last president to run after leaving office was Theodore Roosevelt, who came in second in the 1912 election as the presidential nominee of the Progressive Party, although Herbert Hoover did briefly seek the Republican presidential nomination at several national conventions subsequent to leaving office in 1933. If Trump wins, he will be the first Republican president to serve two non-consecutive terms, and the second overall after Grover Cleveland, a Democrat. Trump would also be the first person to win the Republican presidential nomination three consecutive times, and the first to win it three times since Richard Nixon.[b]
Candidates
Publicly expressed interest
As of November 2022[update], the following individuals have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.
Potential candidates none only Donald trump can win
As of November 2022[update], the following individuals have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months. Most of these candidates are viewed as potential replacements if Donald Trump chooses not to run again, while some are viewed as potential primary challenges if he does.
Many reporters, political experts, and political commentators have strongly noted that Trump selecting Pence to be his running mate once again would be very unlikely following rifts between the two over the future of the Republican Party and Pence's attempts to distance himself from the former president.[146][147][148] In June 2022, the House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack found that Trump said Pence "deserved" calls to be hanged on the day of the attack.[149]
^Some erroneously claim that the 1968 election is the most recent in which the incumbent president did not seek reelection. In fact, then-president Lyndon B. Johnson did briefly run for reelection, although he dropped out after only narrowly winning the first primary in New Hampshire.[32] In comparison, then-president Calvin Coolidge did not mount any kind of reelection campaign in 1928, thus making the 1928 race the most recent in which the incumbent president chose to retire.
^Nixon won the nomination three non-consecutive times, in 1960, 1968, and 1972. The 1964 Republican nominee was Barry Goldwater.
^"Someone else" with 44%; Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; J. B. Pritzker with 3%.
^Hillary Clinton with 7%; Joe Manchin, Matthew McConaughey, and Oprah Winfrey with 2%; Eric Adams, Tim Kaine, Phil Murphy, and Deval Patrick with 1%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Ilhan Omar, and Tom Steyer with 0%
^"Someone else" with 3%; Gretchen Whitmer with 2%; Phil Murphy, J. B. Pritzker, Kyrsten Sinema, and Raphael Warnock with 1%; Eric Adams, Andy Beshear, Jared Polis, and Gina Raimondo with 0%; Roy Cooper and Mitch Landrieu with no voters
^Hillary Clinton with 9%; Eric Adams, Tim Kaine, Joe Manchin, and Tom Steyer with 1%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Phil Murphy, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 0%
^Hillary Clinton with 7%; Joe Manchin and Tom Steyer with 2%; Eric Adams, Tim Kaine, and Deval Patrick with 1%; Kirsten Gillibrand and Ilhan Omar with 0%
^Hillary Clinton with 9%; John Hickenlooper and Joe Manchin with 2%; Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick, and Tom Steyer with 1%; Eric Adams, Kirsten Gillibrand, and Ilhan Omar with 0%
^Hillary Clinton with 9%; Joe Manchin with 2%; Eric Adams and John Hickenlooper with 1%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, Deval Patrick, and Tom Steyer with 0%
^Gretchen Whitmer with 2%; Other/Don't know with 14%
^"Someone else" with 3%; Michael Bloomberg with 2%; Sherrod Brown, Gretchen Whitmer, and Katie Porter with 1%
^Joe Manchin with 1%; "Someone else", Andy Beshear, Tulsi Gabbard, Kyrsten Sinema and Gretchen Whitmer with 0%
^Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
^GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
^Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[163]
^Ben Sasse with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%; Ivanka Trump with 1%
^"Someone else" with 38%; Greg Abbott with 4%; Tom Cotton with 2%.
^Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
^Liz Cheney, Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Glenn Youngkin, Rick Scott, and "Someone else" with 1%; Larry Hogan, Tom Cotton, Ben Sasse, and Kristi Noem with 0%.
^Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 2%; "Someone else", Greg Abbott, Chris Christie and Tom Cotton with 1%; Josh Hawley, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
^Candace Owens with 5%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%
^"Someone else" with 3%; Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 0%
^Candace Owens with 5%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
^"Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
^Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%; Chris Christie with 0%
^Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%; Dave Portnoy with no voters
^Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
^"Someone else" with 19%; Kristi Noem and Ben Sasse with 1%
^Dan Crenshaw, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Rand Paul with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy, and Elise Stefanik with 1% or less
^GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
^Rand Paul with 3%; John Kasich and "Someone else" with 2%; Dan Crenshaw and Tom Cotton with 1%; Greg Abbott, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
^Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[163]
^Ben Sasse and Ivanka Trump with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%
^Ivanka Trump with 4%; John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem with 2%; Rick Scott with 0%
^Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
^Rick Santorum with 3%; John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%
^John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
^"Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton, Dan Crenshaw, Lindsey Graham and John Kasich with 2%; Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
^Paul Ryan with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Kevin McCarthy with 2%
^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^Otterbein, Holly (March 17, 2022). "Sanders camp quietly pushes Khanna presidential bid". Politico. Archived from the original on March 23, 2022. Retrieved March 17, 2022. 'I'm not running in 2024,' Khanna said. 'I fully expect [Biden] to run and intend to support him strongly. If for some reason he didn't, that would be very disappointing, but there are a number of other candidates who I think I could get behind who would make sure that the Democrats beat Donald Trump.'
^Grim, Ryan (December 22, 2021). "Joe Manchin for President". The Intercept. Archived from the original on January 29, 2022. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
^Udasin, Sharon (May 30, 2022). "Colorado's Jared Polis is one Democrat not sweating November". The Hill. Archived from the original on May 30, 2022. Retrieved May 30, 2022. Countering media speculation about his political future, Polis said he has no intentions of running for president and doubts that he would "ever think about" doing so.
![Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg from Michigan [47]](https://thcscience.wiki/legality-of-cannabis-by-u-s-jurisdiction/?rdp_we_resource=https%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FFile%3APete_Buttigieg_official_photo_%28cropped%29.jpg)
