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2024 Montana gubernatorial election

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Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent Governor

Greg Gianforte
Republican



The 2024 Montana gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of the U.S. state of Montana, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Primary elections will take place on June 4, 2024.[1]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Gianforte (incumbent)
Republican Tanner Smith
Total votes

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

  • Shawn White Wolf, perennial candidate[8]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ryan Busse
Democratic Jim Hunt
Total votes

Libertarian primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

  • Kaiser Leib, software engineer[6]
    • Running mate: Matt Campbell, transportation engineer[7]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Solid R July 21, 2023
Inside Elections[10] Solid R July 14, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R July 13, 2023
Elections Daily[12] Safe R July 12, 2023

Polling[edit]

Greg Gianforte vs. Ryan Busse
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Greg
Gianforte (R)
Ryan
Busse (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA[A] February 12–15, 2024 549 (LV) ± 4.5% 52% 30% 18%

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by KULR-TV

References[edit]

  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". National Conference of State Legislatures. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  2. ^ Anthony, Michael (January 17, 2024). "Governor Greg Gianforte to seek reelection". KFYR-TV. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
  3. ^ Larson, Seaborn (June 13, 2023). "Freshman GOP Rep. announces run for governor". Independent Record.
  4. ^ Hanson, Amy; Brown, Matthew (September 14, 2023). "Former firearms executive Busse seeks Democratic nomination for Montana governor". Associated Press. Retrieved September 14, 2023.
  5. ^ Silvers, Mara (February 19, 2024). "Busse taps Graybill as running mate in bid for governor's office". Montana Free Press. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
  6. ^ a b "FEDERAL PRIMARY 2024 Candidate List". prodcandidatefiling.mt.gov. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  7. ^ a b Ambarian, Jonathon (March 11, 2024). "Top Montana election races set as candidate filing period closes". KTVH. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  8. ^ Kimbel-Sannit, Arren; Sakariassen, Alex (November 28, 2023). "Who's running for office in Montana in 2024? Here's a running list". Montana Free Press. Retrieved January 17, 2024. Shawn White Wolf, who has run for a number of different positions in the Helena area in recent years, filed to run for governor in 2023 but has since withdrawn his candidacy.
  9. ^ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  10. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  11. ^ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  12. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites