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The 2010 Arkansas gubernatorial election took place on Tuesday, November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor Mike Beebe ran for re-election, and faced former State Senator Jim Keet, whom he defeated in a landslide to win a second and final term as governor, despite the year being a Republican midterm wave year and Democratic Senator Blanche Lincoln being unseated by a 21-point margin on the same ballot. Beebe's vote percentage and margin of victory was the highest of any Democratic gubernatorial candidate in the country that year.
As of 2024, this alongside several concurrent elections are last time that Democrats won a statewide election in Arkansas and the last time a candidate of either party carried every county in a contested election. 2010 marked the last time that a gubernatorial nominee and a lieutenant gubernatorial nominee of different political parties were elected in Arkansas.
Candidates[edit]
Democratic Party[edit]
- Mike Beebe, incumbent Governor
Republican Party[edit]
- Jim Keet, former State Senator
Green Party[edit]
- Jim Lendall, former State Representative and 2006 gubernatorial nominee
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[1] | Safe D | October 14, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[2] | Safe D | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[3] | Likely D | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Likely D | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[5] | Safe D | October 28, 2010 |
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Mike Beebe (D) |
Jim Keet (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | October 28, 2010 | 60% | 38% |
| CNN/Time Magazine | October 15–19, 2010 | 62% | 35% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 30, 2010 | 51% | 41% |
| Mason-Dixon | September 12–14, 2010 | 54% | 33% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 18, 2010 | 53% | 33% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 20, 2010 | 50% | 40% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | July 16–18, 2010 | 57% | 35% |
| Talk Business | July 17, 2010 | 50% | 41% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 15, 2010 | 57% | 33% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 19, 2010 | 53% | 38% |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Beebe (incumbent) | 503,336 | 64.42% | +8.81% | |
| Republican | Jim Keet | 262,784 | 33.63% | -7.03% | |
| Green | Jim Lendall | 14,513 | 1.86% | +0.21% | |
| Write-in | 700 | 0.09% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 781,333 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic[edit]
- Benton (Largest city: Rogers)
- Boone (Largest city: Harrison)
- Carroll (Largest city: Berryville)
- Newton (Largest city: Jasper)
- Madison (Largest city: Huntsville)
- Marion (Largest city: Bull Shoals)
- Baxter (Largest city: Mountain Home)
- Searcy (Largest city: Marshall)
- Saline (Largest city: Benton)
- Lonoke (Largest city: Cabot)
- Polk (Largest city: Mena)
- Sebastian (Largest city: Fort Smith)
- Crawford (Largest city: Van Buren)
- Pope (Largest city: Russellville)
References[edit]
- ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "2010 General Election & Non Partisan Judicial Runoff Election". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved June 27, 2014.
External links[edit]
- Elections at the Arkansas Secretary of State
- Arkansas Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Arkansas Governor from Follow the Money
- "2010 Arkansas Governor General Election: Jim Keet (R) vs Mike Beebe (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com". Archived from the original on April 19, 2013. Retrieved August 29, 2010.
- Election 2010: Arkansas Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- Arkansas Governor - Keet vs. Beebe from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Arkansas Governor's Race[permanent dead link] from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Official campaign websites (archived)
